CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Well, look what the GFS is doing....lol. Hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Well, look what the GFS is doing....lol. Hmm. "The Coastal's back and you're gonna be in trouble....hey ladayla, the coastal's back.." http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=REeeucZtDY0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 "The Coastal's back and you're gonna be in trouble....hey ladayla, the coastal's back.." http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=REeeucZtDY0 The funny thing is that the GFS is targeting the trough that sort of boots the current ULL west east of HSE, out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 GFS has brought it farther west every run since 18z. Matches GGEM. Fifties frolickers next week in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 FROPA on T-day too, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 FROPA on T-day too, lol. Yeah that's a chilly day right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 pattern looks too progressive for a coastal... it will probably get kicked out like this one did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 So weather is back on next week? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Winter won't roar near the 25th with a up and down pattern, gonna wait until December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 meteorology>modelology? Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 12z GFS shows why you pattern forecast rather than sway with models. Storm back as 2cnd short wave captures. So No change in overall ideas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 meteorology>modelology? Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 12z GFS shows why you pattern forecast rather than sway with models. Storm back as 2cnd short wave captures. So No change in overall ideas Which is completely different than why he was hugging the euro, but if he considers rain on the Cape a win compared to his NE snowstorm....more power to him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Which is completely different than why he was hugging the euro, but if he considers rain on the Cape a win compared to his NE snowstorm....more power to him. LOL I know...yet he has close to 12K followers. Hype sells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 LOL I know...yet he has close to 12K followers. Hype sells. Bingo. And when folks learn that them they will truly be successful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Bingo. And when folks learn that them they will truly be successful Being a slimeball isn't in my blood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Bingo. And when folks learn that them they will truly be successful LOL. Depends on your definition of success. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 the weenies on the bus go round and round, round and round. the weenies on the bus go round and round all through the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 How far did you think it was? where do you get this stuff from? it's closer to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 where do you get this stuff from? it's closer to 6 Lol what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Bingo. And when folks learn that them they will truly be successful that attitude has no place in science Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 that attitude has no place in science I guess that's why he's a salesman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 that attitude has no place in science Public likes hype. Period. It excites people and gets them away from their boring monotonous lives. People look for and gravitate twds excitement and big events. The more these events can be hyped the more people want more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Public likes hype. Period. It excites people and gets them away from their boring monotonous lives. People look for and gravitate twds excitement and big events. The more these events can be hyped the more people want more Then you set yourself up to act like a 5 yr old when it doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 GFS OP brings me what I believe will be the coldest of my 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Flirting with single numbers to start December on the GFS? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Flirting with single numbers to start December on the GFS? LOL Flirting with the 498 dm, That would be a reality check for many folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Flirting with single numbers to start December on the GFS? LOL Yeah up and down sort of look into early December and the gates open per GFS. I stated this before, but even though it is the op run...it may have the right idea of potential cold outbreaks. When the long range GFS op hints at big cold or warm shots..it very well may happen in some shape or form, if the ensembles agree on the similar pattern driving this cold. Ensembles have a smoothed out mean and might not get the magnitude of the cold or warmth. So if ensembles agree that the pattern can deliver cold shots, the op runs may have the right idea on the potential magnitude, if you follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 So if ensembles agree that the pattern can deliver cold shots, the op runs may have the right idea on the potential magnitude, if you follow. Bingo, great point Scott. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 The time frame around the 1st week of december has delivered in the past, And its quite possible it may again, Dec 5th is a date that has yielded some decent events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 What exactly happened to the mostly sunny forecast for yesterday and today? Both mornings p/c from Box was mostly sunny both days have ended up overcast in W. MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Are we still on pace for warmest year? Yes, that shipped sailed a long time ago Not up here. Thru Oct, Farmington 2012 is running 0.9F cooler than in 2010 and so far Nov is adding to the difference. ND 2010 were +1 and +2.5, respectively, +2 and +3.5 if I use 1971-2000 rather than 1981-2010. Unless we run +10 (perish the thought!) from here to 12/31, 2010 retains the crown. (2010 actually finished 0.5 cooler than 1931 and 0.3 cooler than 1953, though I think the pre-1958 obs were from a somewhat milder location than those taken since then.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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