Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Man the 2nd weekend of March may be very warm. I think we see widespread 70+ the 2nd week of Morch. This is it winter fans. The season finale is this storm. Morch is sping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 i don't get BOXs forcast at least for my area, both nam and Euro show possible warning criteria snow, box has 1-2 iinches. Am I missing something. Even in the AFD they only saw 1-4 for the PVD-BOS corridor. Can't wait for the torch. this 6 inch winter can't be over quick enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Thanks, Eric--are you accessing their site or did you find this through FB? Accessing the site using my Gold Member privileges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I think we see widespread 70+ the 2nd week of Morch. This is it winter fans. The season finale is this storm. Morch is sping If models are right, it could be that warm. 70 anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Man the 2nd weekend of March may be very warm. Drinking green beer and kicking the hacky sack in a banana hammock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Drinking green beer and kicking the hacky sack in a banana hammock? Well that would be the 10th, but maybe green beer anyways? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I don't understand the watch from Taunton. It's definitely justified, especially north, but the amounts they reference (4"-8") in 24 hours isn't even close to criteria. They really need to be more consistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I don't understand the watch from Taunton. It's definitely justified, especially north, but the amounts they reference (4"-8") in 24 hours isn't even close to criteria. They really need to be more consistent GYX notes this in their AFD. Greater than 6" is expected, but over 30 hours it may warrant only an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I don't understand the watch from Taunton. It's definitely justified, especially north, but the amounts they reference (4"-8") in 24 hours isn't even close to criteria. They really need to be more consistent Look at the text for BOS as well. I don't get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I don't understand the watch from Taunton. It's definitely justified, especially north, but the amounts they reference (4"-8") in 24 hours isn't even close to criteria. They really need to be more consistent To say nothing of the amounts that are listed (at least in the CT zones) of 2-6". If they think the situation may evolve into warning criteria, it would make sense to issue a watch. But, it would seem better to put one out without specific accumulation amounts than to put in something that falls short of criteria. Then, you can leave the amounts to either the warning or--in the cast of the 2-6" forecast--an advisory. But, I'm must in the peanut gallery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 GYX notes this in their AFD. Greater than 6" is expected, but over 30 hours it may warrant only an advisory. As I was writing by post just before this, I was thinking back to my days in ME. GYX seemed to never have the amounts forecasted in the watches. I think it's a smart way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 seems fairly status-quo overnight for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 seems fairly status-quo overnight for the most part. Yeah no real changes it seems. I still think this may go north just a tad more on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I don't understand the watch from Taunton. It's definitely justified, especially north, but the amounts they reference (4"-8") in 24 hours isn't even close to criteria. They really need to be more consistent Yeah okx has a watch with 3-5" forecast. ???????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOOTH Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Yeah no real changes it seems. I still think this may go north just a tad more on the euro. Sure hope it comes North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Yeah okx has a watch with 3-5" forecast. ???????? Although with this winter, it's like we are living in VA so maybe use their criteria? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 To say nothing of the amounts that are listed (at least in the CT zones) of 2-6". If they think the situation may evolve into warning criteria, it would make sense to issue a watch. But, it would seem better to put one out without specific accumulation amounts than to put in something that falls short of criteria. Then, you can leave the amounts to either the warning or--in the cast of the 2-6" forecast--an advisory. But, I'm must in the peanut gallery. I'd be very concerned about qpf if I were you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Sure hope it comes North. You'll do fine where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I'd be very concerned about qpf if I were you. Oh, I most certainly am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I'm pumped for 4-8" here. All models give me 5+, with the euro giving me about 5". If I had to make a call I'd say 5.7 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 BOS to ORH is right on the line for the Thursday stuff. It's probably some mix for me by the water, but a nudge south would be nice. It's possble cstl areas could pick up another inch or so at night when winds back more nrly again. At least Will can get garbage low level left to keep snizzle going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 As I was writing by post just before this, I was thinking back to my days in ME. GYX seemed to never have the amounts forecasted in the watches. I think it's a smart way to go. Try this mike... http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/states.php?state=ma&map=on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 The euro was pretty much all snow for I-90. If it were a colder airmass, BOS would cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 The euro was pretty much all snow for I-90. If it were a colder airmass, BOS would cash in. Am I far enough north for thurs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Obviously. Highly doubtful this go 'round. We were at 60+" several weeks ago and have received about 20" since then. Whitegrass has over 100" and they usually beat us by 20 inches or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Am I far enough north for thurs? Thursday might be some lighter snows for you that won't do much. Maybe a couple of bursts can come by to deposit an inch, but the overall precip looks really light and inconsequential for us. I could see a little more Thursday Night as cold air comes south. Could be a classic cold air tuck and maybe another inch or so of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I think we will have to watch for a sneaky fast advancing warm layer between 850 and 700 that cuts into the fun a bit prematurely in CT / RI advancing ENE. Almost always seems to be a tongue of milder air and it is hinted at in some products. I guess typical SWFE characteristic really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I think we will have to watch for a sneaky fast advancing warm layer between 850 and 700 that cuts into the fun a bit prematurely in CT / RI advancing ENE. Almost always seems to be a tongue of milder air and it is hinted at in some products. I guess typical SWFE characteristic really. Even the NAM snow algorithms showed this. That's why I was unsure of Kevin's higher end of his range. On the other hand, I could see someone in a weenie band that might cash in, like last time. I still don't know how I feel for BOS. I could see myself wetbulbing to 32 in decent snows, but I think I'll need to keep the rates going pretty good, or else it will be a 33-34F light snow that won't do much. Some of the hi res models like our in house one keeps BOS more like 050-060 and 31-32F. Given that high, I can see that if rates are good. The euro looked pretty good here all things considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Try this mike... http://www.nws.noaa....state=ma&map=on That links to a NWS Box page with odd graphics but none of the links connect when clicked. Is their server down for maintenance or something?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Even the NAM snow algorithms showed this. That's why I was unsure of Kevin's higher end of his range. On the other hand, I could see someone in a weenie band that might cash in, like last time. I still don't know how I feel for BOS. I could see myself wetbulbing to 32 in decent snows, but I think I'll need to keep the rates going pretty good, or else it will be a 33-34F light snow that won't do much. Some of the hi res models like our in house one keeps BOS more like 050-060 and 31-32F. Given that high, I can see that if rates are good. The euro looked pretty good here all things considered. 3-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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