weatherwiz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Will you help Wiz and his mom shovel ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Gfs loves that band of waa precip, quick too, gets in here before midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 That s/w is so impressive, and not being modeled well. Going to town now in the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I think this is reasonable from WBZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Gfs loves that band of waa precip, quick too, gets in here before midnight. Yup...snowing for my ride home from work at midnight...even here according to the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Gfs loves that band of waa precip, quick too, gets in here before midnight. don't be surprised if that's liquid tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 LOL, Happy hour at ADP? Hey yo fat girl come here are you ticklish..yeah I called you phat..look at Wiz he's skinny..that never stopped him from gettin busy..he's a freak..he once got busy toe tapping in the bathroom at Bradley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 don't be surprised if that's liquid tonight. hence *precip* dp's are soaring along the south coast, not a good wet bulb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 GFS a good tick east of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 don't be surprised if that's liquid tonight. That's going to be a little wet for the south coast I think...for a little while anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 15z sref is deffinitely west by a good amount from 9z...but man its a hell of a gradient...verbatim probably shows a good shot of 6" by Phil. Old run 9z: 15z: It's moved me from a 0% probabiliyt of 1" to 5%. Can't get any better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Tolland FTL?? That was the only thing certain in this since its inception 5 days ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 the GFS is basically a scrape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Oh that's nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Stick a fooking fork in it. 4" is going to be the jackpot somewhere, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 That's going to be a little wet for the south coast I think...for a little while anyways. yeah i think most anything that falls before 12z-ish will be mainly liquid...or non-accumulating wet snow/mix...at least on the coast. but most guidance is pretty skimpy with qpf in that period anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 the GFS is basically a scrape Yeah that was an ugly run...hopefully its wrong. I don't have a lot of faith in guidance though handling all the convection and mesolows during the early stages of this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The LP is actually a tick further west..but the western fringe of the precip was shifted slightly east. A little bit odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 still offers up around .5" or so out here but it's got a ridiculously tight gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Kevin won't need to shovel, the dim sun should melt away any coating overnight......Dec 20, 2007 style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I wonder if I get an inch on the gfs? LOL whatever, I'm out till later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 That s/w is so impressive, and not being modeled well. Going to town now in the south. Am I in a twilight zone episode? I'm accustomed to hearing about experimental HRRR runs depicting a sudden and unexpected dispersion of a storm into a placid flurry. Enjoy your snow--you've waited a long time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 18z gfs is hopefully out to lunch SLP about 500 miles east of hatteras at 1pm tomm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Do any mets have anything to chime in WRT nowcasting? Are models missing anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Yeah that was an ugly run...hopefully its wrong. I don't have a lot of faith in guidance though handling all the convection and mesolows during the early stages of this system. The high is over eastern Nebraska; the low "should" be on the Del Marva. Such is life in the great year of the nothing fits physics or correlation madness - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Let's see how many GFS humpers we have..so far i see 3 or 4 who buy it...Ryan should be on humping it soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The high is over eastern Nebraska; the low "should" be on the Del Marva. Such is life in the great year of the nothing fits physics or correlation madness - Maybe we'll be pleasantly surprised later with the models lowering our expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Kevin won't need to shovel, the dim sum should melt away any coating overnight......Dec 20, 2007 style. Does a Chinese brunch give him gas or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The LP is actually a tick further west..but the western fringe of the precip was shifted slightly east. A little bit odd tighter wound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Yeah i think way to many people are on that train.. it amazes me what models are still doing this close in Let's see how many GFS humpers we have..so far i see 3 or 4 who buy it...Ryan should be on humping it soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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