weatherMA Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 front end thump maybe for some areas...again probably "elevated areas N of the pike"....then downpours. sweet. Fine with me...I'll take 3" and then rain at this point...not looking for a 100% snow storm. Yeah would be nice. I think no matter what happens with this track it's going to be tough for all snow for the CP and areas south of the Pike. I certainly think people would be okay with front end dump to pingers and rain the way this pattern has been. I'd take the Euro even if there was mixing here. It def snows a good bit on the front end. Exactly. Ideally right now would be the euro maybe 40-50 miles east. 80% euro/20% gfs please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I'm confident we'll be in the opposite pattern come summer. Dreary days one after the other of low 60's, clouds and fog. Joe will chime in that it's actually 70 in Fairfield and that he can't keep up with his lawns. Pete will swear that he had some mangled flakes. Kevin will comment on how good it is for running and how good it is for putting down the Lesco. Will won't visit the board at all. Scott will chime in about all the VFR conditions and flight delays. Tip will start a thread on some circulation that no one has ever heard of that might suggest a white Christmas in 2012. Jerry will talk about how all the squirrels food is moldy from the damp conditions and is really at a loss for how the winter will shape up. Phil will lament how the weather is hurting the Capes economy. The rest of us will have been banned. LOL on the TT, Pete, Will and Fella. That's the most I've laughed when I read John's part, funny stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I think the good fortune of the Pats and B's are lessening the blow as well. A Pats 1-and-out and a B's rut along with a continued disaster January may leave me banning random people. sig worthy Buck up little camper! It will be fine. 1979 was a great year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Thanks for that data for ORH Tip...if that verified I would think ORH would probably have a nice 33-34F wet snowfall going into the overnight hours on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Euro ensembles are over se mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Euro ensembles are over se mass. There must be members southeast because they are kind of cool given the track, but that's what the ensembles show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I think this may be the worst pattern I've ever been alive for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 There must be members southeast because they are kind of cool given the track, but that's what the ensembles show. So slightly west of the OP but cooler? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Euro ensembles are over se mass. That's west of the op, right? As go the ens, does so go the op? 33.7/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 So slightly west of the OP but cooler? That's west of the op, right? As go the ens, does so go the op? 33.7/13 Yeah it's west of the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Euro ensembles are over se mass. 0.50" line runs from SCH-LEB-IZG-RKD. 0.25" MSS-HUL. I'd imagine there's some juicy members in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Yeah it's west of the op. Euro should be discarded until the morning run, it's having some attachment issues with that sw s/w as always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Yeah it's west of the op. brilliant. maybe we can get a screaming sou'easter even into the berkshires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I think this may be the worst pattern I've ever been alive for. the worst 4 months in a row since I've been following models..no blocking at all..actually pretty amazing stuff if you ask me.This rubberband won't break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I would say that the gfs/gefs being suppressed is a good sign...but I'm not sure it means anything. I am more worried about all rain then no storm for sure. I am the most hopeful I've been this winter about at least getting a few inches on the front end before flipping to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 This could be an epic fail from 5 days out for the GEFS. I'm just hoping the euro calms down a bit, but this pattern would argue otherwise. There is still a lot of uncertainty, though so it will take another 48 hrs out potentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I think this may be the worst pattern I've ever been alive for. ah hahaha - it has its benefits though. there's some outdoor stuff - at least for me - that can linger. I'm really not sweating it that bad. I could almost bag it for this winter at this point. I just don't have the interest this time. it occurs to me that the Euro was among the colder guidance 5 days preceding the recent weak tropospheric folder event, which turned out to be primarily rain E of the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 I think this may be the worst pattern I've ever been alive for. Weren't Dec. '01 and '06 worse than this? Maybe not up in BUF I know they had some epic LES in '06. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Nam is really trying to push some warm humid air up into the south coast tom/tom night especially out towards the cape, mayb phil was right regarding some tstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 This could be an epic fail from 5 days out for the GEFS. I'm just hoping the euro calms down a bit, but this pattern would argue otherwise. There is still a lot of uncertainty, though so it will take another 48 hrs out potentially. Thats why i threw 12z thurs out there a page or so back before anyone kicks it thru the uprights because they may be in upstate ny by then.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Weren't Dec. '01 and '06 worse than this? Maybe not up in BUF I know they had some epic LES in '06. 12/8/2001 had one good storm (5-10")....then it was torch till Mar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 brilliant. maybe we can get a screaming sou'easter even into the berkshires. Time to lock up 1-4" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 12/8/2001 had one good storm (5-10")....then it was torch till Mar. Tuck Rule game too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Any comment on Euro ens for Fridays snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 The Euro says it's not the worst pattern ever for Upstate NY though.... not that it's a great pattern. Maybe you weren't around for 79-80, or 80-81 once past the cold xmas week and the endless cutters... I think this may be the worst pattern I've ever been alive for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Tuck Rule game too. Was at that game had about 6" down there by the end of the game.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Was at that game had about 6" down there by the end of the game.. Me too but no wind. Have the ticket framed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Any comment on Euro ens for Fridays snow? Looks close to the op to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 lol @ 18z NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2011 Share Posted December 20, 2011 Wow is the NAM juiced for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.