S&P Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 AMEN BROTHER Well, this is a drag. Looks like a full day of storm prep on the various jobsites. Still hoping for the right hook. Can't believe people actually wish this headache on themselves. Hopefully we just deal with 5-10" of rain and not much for winds. That'll cause problems enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 The great east trend has begun! I put my money on Irene making landfall in either RI or eastern MA, and then passing over Wiscasset, ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 SHIPS thinks Irene should restrengthen to a Cat 3 between 18 and 36 hours (NC outerbanks). It slowly weakens the storm...dropping to 87 kt @ 39.9N, 73.4W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 On the plus side, Pete, if we can manage any winds with the wet grounds out here, it might allow for one less "cut" in the never ending quest for firewood. Also, if a tree should happen to taken down my outbuilding, I'll be undertaking a fairly major (a very relative term, Pete) construction job. I have little doubt of a doubling my cache..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Updated blog post http://ryanhanrahan....rn-connecticut/ Good write up Ryan. Forward and to the point. . . . Of course it pretty much dooms my basement, but I that's why I went out and picked up 1000lbs of sand bags last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 storm tide water level from a Cat 2. The large wind field should allow for more surge than what is likely to be a Cat 1 at SNE landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 The great east trend has begun! I put my money on Irene making landfall in either RI or eastern MA, and then passing over Wiscasset, ME. Hi Matt - I have it pretty close to your thoughts. GON to IWI is my guess. Thinking the center passes juuuuust to the east of PWM. I told the guys at work that yesterday so I now have a vested interest in this. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I remember Gloria was 105 MPH sustained at 3PM over KBDL. Winds were damaging here ( 70 MPH gusts from the SE). However, rafl was < than 2" Bob was worse here overall with 5.00" RAFL and 68 MPH N-NW wind gusts. Both were moving at a decent forward speed. Lots of tree's downed in both storms. This is how I'm trying to relate this in my mind. If this goes Just west, then it's worse than those. As long as it @ 90 Knots at LF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I remember Gloria was 105 MPH sustained at 3PM over KBDL. Winds were damaging here ( 70 MPH gusts from the SE). However, rafl was < than 2" Bob was worse here overall with 5.00" RAFL and 68 MPH N-NW wind gusts. Both were moving at a decent forward speed. Lots of tree's downed in both storms. This is how I'm trying to relate this in my mind. If this goes Just west, then it's worse than those. As long as it @ 90 Knots at LF. Gloria was severely overestimated in real time. I think Josh was saying it was low-end Cat 2 at LI landfall, and then 1 at MA/CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Hi Matt - I have it pretty close to your thoughts. GON to IWI is my guess. Thinking the center passes juuuuust to the east of PWM. I told the guys at work that yesterday so I now have a vested interest in this. lol Yeah, I had to hold onto my hopes all during the western trend it will eventually shift east. I like to think of this as a Bob copy cat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 26, 2011 Author Share Posted August 26, 2011 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/24576-hurricane-irene-discussion-iv/ Morning gang. Sorry I'm late getting back into the loop. I was up from 230 am yesterday till 9pm last night and was exhausted. Keep my threads rolling along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 It seems like Irene is having the same fate as Ike...with a somewhat perpetual state of ERCs and the lowering central pressure working to not strengthen the eyewall winds, but instead, strengthen and expand the size of the wind field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 It seems like Irene is having the same fate as Ike...with a somewhat perpetual state of ERCs and the lowering central pressure working to not strengthen the eyewall winds, but instead, strengthen and expand the size of the wind field. Probably meaning 2 things 1) weakening will take much longer 2) better for wind damage for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Gloria was severely overestimated in real time. I think Josh was saying it was low-end Cat 2 at LI landfall, and then 1 at MA/CT I thought that the 105 over BDL was high. It did not make sense with wind gusts just to the east of the center. Thanks for clarifying that. I have those records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Probably meaning 2 things 1) weakening will take much longer 2) better for wind damage for us That's the spirit. Make sure that people understand that devestation will be upon us at all costs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I love damage, but this is even concerning me in NH now.. heavy rains and gusts to 70 is going to knock down a bunch of trees.. a lot of trees.. People up here are like " what's the big deal"? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 ryans currently on country 925 talkin irene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 ryans currently on country 925 talkin irene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coriolis Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I remember Gloria was 105 MPH sustained at 3PM over KBDL. Winds were damaging here ( 70 MPH gusts from the SE). However, rafl was < than 2" Bob was worse here overall with 5.00" RAFL and 68 MPH N-NW wind gusts. Both were moving at a decent forward speed. Lots of tree's downed in both storms. This is how I'm trying to relate this in my mind. If this goes Just west, then it's worse than those. As long as it @ 90 Knots at LF. I think you're misremembering Gloria. Gloria fell apart dramatically as it hit LI. The highest wind speeds measured were 74 mph in Bridgeport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I thought that the 105 over BDL was high. It did not make sense with wind gusts just to the east of the center. Thanks for clarifying that. I have those records. actually...it was a cat 1 in NY/MA/CT. That's from Landsea...it hasn't been officially accepted by the reanalysis committee...but it wasn't a major at landfall, that's for sure. They often used pressure to diagnose surface winds back then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 That's the spirit. Make sure that people understand that devestation will be upon us at all costs. I guess that broader windfield would allow for winds to extend further inland? I wonderr what that means for us on interior hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I think you're misremembering Gloria. Gloria fell apart dramatically as it hit LI. The highest wind speeds measured were 74 mph in Bridgeport. And 54 at BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 From wat I was reading around last night pretty shocked to wake up and see she's down to 110 mph rather than being either the same or a tad stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 More and more looks like the worst hurricane in 55 years both in terms of track and intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Can someone please post a zoomed in pic of all the model tracks through SNE. please and thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 This graphic is sick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 This graphic is sick! Holy!!!!! You should post the upton one for those of us on phones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Holy!!!!! You should post the upton one for those of us on phones That would be wind gusts of 80-85 mph...though 75 knots is just a tad higher than 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 OKX: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 That would be wind gusts of 80-85 mph...though 75 knots is just a tad higher than 85. What amazes me most is how broad that wind field is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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