CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 he said too much stuff going on right now to post. i asked him to post it. he loves the pattern..said a slightly warmer Dec 1995 Even thouigh the Euro blows I have a feeling it won't be as bad as the Euro shows. If the Euro is right I'm going to have Tip FedEx me his chair and noose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 nice looking euro run. very cold and wintry look to at least the first half of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 nice looking euro run. very cold and wintry look to at least the first half of the month. If you like big cold and wintry precip in northern New England it looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 so after going thru 8 pages .....i'm locking up 2-3 inches......per hour rates sometime prior to mon. am. at bolton valley, vt as we thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Excellent, in the spirit of Christmas kindness I'll buy several generators to sell to neighbors at substantial mark-up. At least it would be something exciting to track and observe. It would be about as exciting for me to track as a significant other's yeast infection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Even thouigh the Euro blows I have a feeling it won't be as bad as the Euro shows. If the Euro is right I'm going to have Tip FedEx me his chair and noose. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 If you like big cold and wintry precip in northern New England it looks great. eh...no complaints here. i'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 It would be about as exciting for me to track as a significant other's yeast infection. Festering itch FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishn Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 You have to have the PERFECT wind direction or otherwise LSC gets shadowed pretty badly. This is so true. I was so excited when I was a freshman to be going to school way up there thinking of all the snow I would see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 eh...no complaints here. i'll take it. With virtually no snow for you? Phil have you lost your weenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 With virtually no snow for you? Phil have you lost your weenie? LOL. well i don't need a blockbuster event. we went over this yesterday. i'll be happy with the cold, wind and scattered SHSN. i'm sure sometime during the stretch it will be snowing here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 If Gibbs like the pattern we're all set. No worries folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 man if the euro is right, some of the LE regions are going to get hammered in the next 7 days We may.........BUT, the event(s) won't be blockbusters most likely, wrt intensity....maybe so duration-wise, unless synoptically we can introduce a more westerly component to the mean llv wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Think I'll wait a bit longer to throw in the towel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 If Gibbs like the pattern we're all set. No worries folks I'm really not worried about the day 10 storm threat. The pattern looks good... the op Euro just sucks for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 We may.........BUT, the event(s) won't be blockbusters most likely, wrt intensity....maybe so duration-wise, unless synoptically we can introduce a more westerly component to the mean llv wind. yeah i was thinking maybe more like the upslope regions of WV given what looks like a pretty deep NW flow. some place like snowshow or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 yeah i was thinking maybe more like the upslope regions of WV given what looks like a pretty deep NW flow. some place like snowshow or something like that. maybe the UP as well. clearly doesn't have the east end of ontario/tug hill look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 This is so true. I was so excited when I was a freshman to be going to school way up there thinking of all the snow I would see... THat's what I thought as well Then I was told about this wonderful thing called downslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 THat's what I thought as well Then I was told about this wonderful thing called downslope ... but in order to downslope, it has to upslope somewhere... I think LSC suffers worst though on ESE flow during big synoptic events. That's when they downslope off the Presidential Range in NH and everyone else is getting .5-.75" QPF every 6 hours while the northeast Kingdom is seeing .1-.25". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 EURO has had some hard inconsistencies in the 5-10 day range. Flip flop galore. It looks like this threat is all but done, although with such a dynamic system sitting roughly 100-200 miles to my southeast with a 4 day forecast, potential errors could still put my area at risk for snow. Models are developing the 700mb low right over Cape Cod, MA. This means the models could be seeing potential for snow bands over me, but yet again the surface low moves too far to the northeast for any appreciable precipitation. I think we will know a lot more by tomorrow's 12z runs. Still not totally sold on a non event for cape Cod, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 The 12/4-5 threat is more of a deal than the 12/6 threat at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Yeah, there is a really good surge coming down on this run..post d6. This goes until about d7-8. Yeah, i'm wondering if we're in one of those old neutralize-the-anomaly games - we'll see. What's funny is the nearer term - though less likely, it's still not impossible that the NAM could be right. ...not to poke the hornet's nest or anything.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Will, do you actually think the 12z NAM could be potentially right about the first low giving SNE snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 The 12/4-5 threat is more of a deal than the 12/6 threat at this point. Violence agreement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 Will, do you actually think the 12z NAM could be potentially right about the first low giving SNE snow? Yeah it could be right. Even several of the other models that don't want to spit out much qpf have high RH in the 700mb region showing a potential weak deformation area backing SW over SNE. We might not get 2-5" like the NAM shows, but there could be coating to an inch or two over a lot of the area if that setup occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 You read through the thread and note the pessimists, optimists, optometrists, and neutralists. How one can be upset over this Euro run considering the calendar is beyond me. Yes it shows a modified cutter d10. But it also shows an easterly block a HP to the north, and a more classically placed 50/50. Get those 3 things, this storm won't be a cutter. In fact, even the Euro acknowledges the CAD if you look at llvl temps. And plenty cold after that. And we're not yet to mid December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 I think you overall have to like what's depicted. The cold builds in Canada as normal, and the persistent GOA low hugs the west coast of Canada with possible sw ridging..not to mention the block up north persisting. At least imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2010 Share Posted December 2, 2010 I think you overall have to like what's depicted. The cold builds in Canada as normal, and the persistent GOA low hugs the west coast of Canada with possible sw ridging..not to mention the block up north persisting. At least imo. Debbie just downs everything and everyone..luckily most people know to take with agrain of salt..and look for the positives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2010 Author Share Posted December 2, 2010 I think you overall have to like what's depicted. The cold builds in Canada as normal, and the persistent GOA low hugs the west coast of Canada with possible sw ridging..not to mention the block up north persisting. At least imo. In general the pattern looks great... megablock relaxes and eventually we kick out the ULL which is more or less screwing us in the 5-8 day period. I think down the road Dec 10-20 is going to be fun. op Euro verbatim probably blows for a lot of us but the signs are certainly there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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