powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 How is the 12z GFS looking for qpf up this way (northern VT)? Was the SE tick enough to take us out of the heavier amounts or will ratio improvement keep this a warning + event? GGEM certainly looks nice for us. 12z GFS is warning criteria snow for most of VT... total QPF is a widespread area of .75-1.0" and we'll likely be just as cold if not colder than anyone else in this storm being off to the NW sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Son of 97.....not as strong certainly but same idea on jackpots I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 does it still nail W NE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Not quite as wrapped up with that WCB....but its a happy medium for your area. Still dynamic enough that you can get good snows but not so ridiculous that it drives the mid-level 0C line well NW. There're two more runs before that 0º line stops budging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Well...this was all I needed to see . This is going to be a major hit for most of SNE away from the coast. WSW's should be flying by tomorrow morning for 10-16 of Deck Destroying snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 About a 9" snowfall....I'll take that and sprint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Isnt' that a really close call for NYC, too?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Where are the downers? I'm sure they will still find some negativity with the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Wow this even looks good for me? That 0C line has a sharp cut NE, you could be snowing in north Jersey and raining in Willimantic, really nasty warmth there ahead of the 988mb low at Day 2. But just too too close to call for BOS and NYC at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Call #1: 9-15" Call# 2: 7-13" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Long wave pattern + teleconnectors argue that it's possible. +PNA, Neg NAO dropping to neutral... very cold airmass relative to climo. It's all a question of timing and placement of S/W's as to where the axis of heavy snow sets up... cmon BIRV I know you're smarter than this. Euro was quite consistent on BM track around 72 hours out, so I think it would be foolish to throw in the towel at 48 hours. Obviously there's very small room for error so the 50-100 mile shift basically screws everyone near the coast, but that shift isn't locked in stone just yet. I think most reasonable people have a low expectation for major snows in april, but to say the pattern doesn't support an east coast snow storm is completely foolish in my opinion. Negative NAO can drop to neutral. classic weenie phrase, iconic ;D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 How do I make out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I don't think the Euro is dynamic enough for big snow for me. A touch too warm at 850. Hills on either side do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 la la la lock it in Rev Kev Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Where are the downers? I'm sure they will still find some negativity with the Euro Lower qpf. Not as much fun for western areas. But, any snow's always better than no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Can someone post total QPF from the Euro, interested in southern ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Isnt' that a really close call for NYC, too?? Yeah dude the 0C line runs from like JFK to Perth Amboy, Central Park is a bit below 0C at 48 with the 988mb low south of LI. Westchester looks to be at -1C, marginal but probably snow with those dynamics. Impossible to call for Bronx/Manhattan right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 How do I make out? Pucker up and put your lips on the dude's weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 How do I make out? Come here. I will show you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 WSW's should be flying by tomorrow morning for 10-16 of Deck Destroying snow Could be time to break out the back braces for some? Shovel an 2 inches at a time - max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 50 mile shift AWT - we all said that the correction NW might have been over-done. Too early to declare winners/losers obviously, except for the losers who prematurely gave up on this storm. Watch that -NAO dropping to neutral, it could help the weenie trendz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I don't think the Euro is dynamic enough for big snow for me. A touch too warm at 850. Hills on either side do better. Not the case in my locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Can someone post total QPF from the Euro, interested in southern ME. S ME gets about an inch of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Watch that -NAO dropping to neutral, it could help the weenie trendz Hey how many days were you suspended for? Was it 5 or 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Yeah dude the 0C line runs from like JFK to Perth Amboy, Central Park is a bit below 0C at 48 with the 988mb low south of LI. Westchester looks to be at -1C, marginal but probably snow with those dynamics. Impossible to call for Bronx/Manhattan right now. Easy. No accumulation. Even on the Euro I think Hartford is hard pressed to get more than a 2-4 of slop kind of deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 925mb temps are right near 30F from just south of BOS to IJD by 12z Friday. Pretty good track to try and keep the flow back around more to NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 Easy. No accumulation. Even on the Euro I think Hartford is hard pressed to get more than a 2-4 of slop kind of deal. 2-4" for Hartford on April 1st is a bid deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Come here. I will show you. LOL ray... You here? ... think.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 925mb temps are right near 30F from just south of BOS to IJD by 12z Friday. Pretty good track to try and keep the flow back around more to NNE. That means the hills fall into the upper 20's like Will said last night which means no tree snappage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 'CT Blizz' timestamp='1301508749' [/b]post='595882']Hey how many days were you suspended for? Was it 5 or 10? I hacked the admin codes and lifted it. SE trend is going to leave you high and dry with NE downsloping, be careful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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