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1234snow

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Everything posted by 1234snow

  1. Sorry, I meant more QPF and more snow! For some reason Tapatalk won’t let me post images.
  2. I like you for 4-6. To me you have the less uncertainty. No warm nose/downslope.
  3. 12k NAM is much better across the board for the valley except Chatty. Less downsloping this run.
  4. Dry slot in the valley is becoming more pronounced on all models. Looks like the jackpot will be close to John and into Kentucky.
  5. Noticeable difference on that run was a further shift northwest with the backside snow and a dry slot in the valley in the middle of the system.
  6. 12z GFES pretty much has 40+ hours of frozen precip for the whole area. Continuously.
  7. I think it may trend for a problem for the whole valley at this rate. I’d also be concerned for the big I-95 cities in the northeast.
  8. It almost doesn’t break apart the waves this run. Almost continuous moisture of some intensity for the forum.
  9. The trend from 12z to 18z at 500mb is almost as much as 6z to 12z. It keeps getting sharper and deeper. The trends aren’t done yet. Also of note this would be a wet snow. Some locations don’t get below freezing.
  10. RGEM and NAM do not have the Super Bowl Sunday storm or anything close to a storm. Interesting to see the 6z GFS cave to the Para. Energy was a little sharper this run. Still on an island though.
  11. Southeast peeps will probably want to put the 18z GFS on a poster like our 12z Euro run a couple of days ago. Lordy what a storm! Triple phaser?
  12. John if you look at the radar now you can really see the downsloping effects off of the High Knob massif in Scott County. The band finally redevelops toward Kingsport a little better.
  13. John if you look at the radar now you can really see the downsloping effects off of the High Knob massif in Scott County. The band finally redevelops toward Kingsport a little better.
  14. 12z UKMET at hour 144 (end of run) looks similar to the Euro at 500mb.
  15. Actually having a decent snow shower now. Starting to get a dusting. If this were at night the ground would be totally white.
  16. I know you aren’t lying! Lol. Finally have some snow mixing in. If the ground gets white here I would be shocked.
  17. Haven’t looked at many overnight models but the trends on the GFS are intriguing for next weekend. The wave is trending flatter which is leading into more of an overrunning event. Precip doesn’t make it north of Chatty. Stripe of snow from middle MS/AL all the way to the outer banks of NC on 6z GFS. All in all the 6z GFS advertising 4 waves from hour 126 to the end of the 384 hour run and plenty of cold air. Hard not to have some type of optimism for the next 2 weeks looking at that.
  18. Both the CMC and Euro are primed for major winter storms at 240 after the wave at 160-172 next weekend. Should have plenty of cold air to work with at the end of those runs. Our friend Barney has been popping up a lot for next weekend.
  19. Finally have half snow and rain. Temp 34. At least some big flakes to look at.
  20. 41. Dew point 24. Waiting on the band. It can take its sweet time.
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