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Everything posted by 1234snow
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Sorry, I meant more QPF and more snow! For some reason Tapatalk won’t let me post images.
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RGEM coming in a little wetter as well.
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I like you for 4-6. To me you have the less uncertainty. No warm nose/downslope.
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12k NAM is much better across the board for the valley except Chatty. Less downsloping this run.
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Dry slot in the valley is becoming more pronounced on all models. Looks like the jackpot will be close to John and into Kentucky.
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Noticeable difference on that run was a further shift northwest with the backside snow and a dry slot in the valley in the middle of the system.
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I think it may trend for a problem for the whole valley at this rate. I’d also be concerned for the big I-95 cities in the northeast.
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The trend from 12z to 18z at 500mb is almost as much as 6z to 12z. It keeps getting sharper and deeper. The trends aren’t done yet. Also of note this would be a wet snow. Some locations don’t get below freezing.
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East TN, SWVA, E KY, and Plateau NW flow obs. Feb 1 - 2
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
About the same as Carvers for this event: .5”- 195 replies
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- upslope
- may the flow be with you
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East TN, SWVA, E KY, and Plateau NW flow obs. Feb 1 - 2
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Somehow after no snow all night it is now covering the driveway lol.- 195 replies
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- upslope
- may the flow be with you
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East TN, SWVA, E KY, and Plateau NW flow obs. Feb 1 - 2
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
John if you look at the radar now you can really see the downsloping effects off of the High Knob massif in Scott County. The band finally redevelops toward Kingsport a little better.- 195 replies
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- upslope
- may the flow be with you
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East TN, SWVA, E KY, and Plateau NW flow obs. Feb 1 - 2
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
John if you look at the radar now you can really see the downsloping effects off of the High Knob massif in Scott County. The band finally redevelops toward Kingsport a little better.- 195 replies
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- upslope
- may the flow be with you
- (and 1 more)
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East TN, SWVA, E KY, and Plateau NW flow obs. Feb 1 - 2
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Actually having a decent snow shower now. Starting to get a dusting. If this were at night the ground would be totally white.- 195 replies
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- upslope
- may the flow be with you
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East TN, SWVA, E KY, and Plateau NW flow obs. Feb 1 - 2
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I found a 60dbz reading in New Jersey lol. A light snow band has actual made it here. 32.- 195 replies
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- upslope
- may the flow be with you
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East TN, SWVA, E KY, and Plateau NW flow obs. Feb 1 - 2
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I know you aren’t lying! Lol. Finally have some snow mixing in. If the ground gets white here I would be shocked.- 195 replies
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- upslope
- may the flow be with you
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Haven’t looked at many overnight models but the trends on the GFS are intriguing for next weekend. The wave is trending flatter which is leading into more of an overrunning event. Precip doesn’t make it north of Chatty. Stripe of snow from middle MS/AL all the way to the outer banks of NC on 6z GFS. All in all the 6z GFS advertising 4 waves from hour 126 to the end of the 384 hour run and plenty of cold air. Hard not to have some type of optimism for the next 2 weeks looking at that.
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Finally have half snow and rain. Temp 34. At least some big flakes to look at.
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38 and rain here.
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41. Dew point 24. Waiting on the band. It can take its sweet time.