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Everything posted by 1234snow
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
1234snow replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
And this model will be replacing the NAM, HRRR, and the RAP? -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
1234snow replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not to derail the thread but I remember the Accuweather days quite well! That is where it all started for me. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
1234snow replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not to derail the thread but I remember the Accuweather days quite well! That is where it all started for me. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
1234snow replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I still would feel much more comfortable with the Euro coming on board. I think the 6z Euro made steps in the right direction. We will find out soon! That being said I am tempering my own expectations just because we have 2 more full days before the event would start. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
1234snow replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snow totals were low for the Valley but the precip panels looked okay to me. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think I am more uncertain of the eventually outcome after the 12z runs for this system. Sheared out mess? Trough digs too far the west? I’m hoping we find the happy medium somehow.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
18z GFS brings the snow axis back to the south putting the whole state back in the game. Obviously this will go back and forth more than a tennis match.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The 12z ICON made a similar move as the CMC with moving the trough and cold air eastward at the very end of the run. -63 degrees show up in the model for 12z Jan 14th just north of the border of Montana.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
It was a major shift from the 0z CMC where on that run it dumped the trough out west at the end of the run.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
1234snow replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The end of the 18z GFS is quite cold.- 1,263 replies
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Got some pretty flakes flying now!!!
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Received a nice dusting around 30 minutes ago.
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According to the warning a large and dangerous tornado was in Sharon, TN moving northeast toward Dresden, TN
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Few flakes this morning!
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Last night as well.
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Is that the LLC going over the western tip of Cuba or the MLC?
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WJHL was showing a CC drop but very hard to tell if I was an accurate reading. Please be safe in the Kingsport area especially on south side of town.
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There it is: Tornado warning for Hawkins, Sullivan, Washington and Greene. Rotation just north of Fall Branch currently.
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It is pouring down hard here. The storm just east of the tornado warning looks like it is developing a little hook to me. Heading close to Colonial Heights.
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Tornado warning now for Hawkins County. Radar indicated.
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7 severe thunderstorm warnings across East Tennessee at the moment.
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You can click on the timestamp on the bottom right and it brings up a calendar where you go chose the date and time. Pretty cool.
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17
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Some #’s from the SPC meso page for East TN Super cell composite up to 16 Bulk wind shear effective up to 50kts CAPE - 2500 to 3500 Helocity 100-200 depending on which layer you look at Sig Tor is up to 3
