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A few days ago Accuweather released it's Fall 2017 outlook. It seems to be on the rain train for fall 2017 and that's certainly been the pattern this year. We've busted the drought wide open with several flooding events and no long interludes of drought. The temperatures are much less warm than last year as well. After a warm winter we've seen a mild spring and summer 2017. Will that continue through fall? Will we have an early frost or freeze or will it be extremely late arriving like fall of 2016? Time will tell, but I'm very happy we've survived another summer season in the Great Tennessee Valley and escaped some of the extremes we can face at times in the region. Accuweather Fall 2017 outllook. https://accuweather.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/ec7a292/2147483647/resize/590x/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Faccuweather-bsp.s3.amazonaws.com%2F8e%2F9d%2Fd3a3bf2c458f8f498c2346abde99%2F2017-us-fall-forecast-final.jpg Current drought monitor for August 2017 vs 2016. We are starting off much better as we head into fall. Especially given the balance of the next 2 weeks are supposed to be at or below normal on temps with normal or above normal rainfall. It naturally dries out in fall but last fall it was unnaturally warm and the soil moisture was gone by the time we started September.
Meteorological Summer ended 9 days ago. The weather is definitely looking fall-like over the coming week, with many areas looking likely to see the 40s for lows and upper 60s to low 70s for highs. I don't know if we'll see 30s as the GFS is hinting at (I've seen 30s in late September here) but do think upper 40s/low 50s will be wide spread.
Well September is quickly winding down, with nothing of major interest in the forecast through the end of the month. Figured it is time to start October. Does the tranquil weather continue? Looks like we may have our first shot at precip in some time mid-late next week.