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1234snow

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Everything posted by 1234snow

  1. 1234snow
    Coming down a nice thicc paste right now. Dusting.
  2. 1234snow
    Have woke up to 33 degrees and moderate snow!
  3. 1234snow
    Someone on the southern Plateau (probably not the correct terminology) is getting plastered.
  4. 1234snow
    I’ve pretty much given up hope here as virtually all modeling has shifted south the band.
  5. 1234snow
    Also of note is that the storm is now within the HRRR range in 18/0/6/12z runs
  6. 1234snow
    I love a good storm where I could get 6” or 0”. But, that is what makes these things so fun to track living in the Tennessee Valley. I have a gut feeling that some of the models are under doing the precip shield on the north but it doesn’t really matter if our 500/850 lows continue to trend south. Normally I would say they would trend Northwestward but with so much blocking in place a further southeast movement and off the coast looks very likely.
  7. 1234snow
    I’ll take the 12z RGEM and see y’all next winter. [emoji23]
  8. 1234snow
    Still so much uncertainty with this system. It will all come down to how the 500mb/850 low swings around the mountains. I would really like to see a NE motion instead of a SE or E one. That is going to be make or break for a big system or nothing at all.
  9. 1234snow
    For the whole run or for our first system?
  10. 1234snow
    Agreed. I’m not sure I’ve seen every single global model latch onto a similar solution in one run before. 12z GFS, EURO, CMC, ICON, UKMET all have a similar solution with someone in NE-TN/mountains/NC/SWVA getting accumulating snow. Even the ACCESS-G (Australian) has a pasting for the mountains. Yes, I just found that model haha.
  11. 1234snow
    That looks really solid. Pivotal 10/1 map does not match up with that at all.
  12. 1234snow
    12z UKMET has our cutoff swinging southeast of us and has an amped solution. Seems to be too warm based on the limited Pivotal Weather maps I was looking at.
  13. 1234snow
    12z GFS, CMC and ICON all trended further southeast with the 500 mb cutoff low. Stronger and slightly colder solutions. With marginal cold air we will certainly need the cutoff low to travel southeast of us.
  14. 1234snow
    18z PARA GFS popped some snow as the first upper low scoots across the region.
  15. 1234snow
    I know this has already been stated but the big Aleutian low will probably kill our chances at cold for a couple of weeks. It is nice to see that feature retrograde westward over time to allow some ridging to develop.
  16. 1234snow
    I think the lowest pressure for that area is 924mb. Not sure about world record for non-tropical.
  17. 1234snow
    12z GFS is interesting at the 500mb level with the trough going negative tilt with the second wave at hour 144 (12z Sun, Jan. 3rd) at the Bama/Georgia border. This pops a strong coastal low that heads up the Carolinas and then out to sea. Mountains get a few inches as most the precip shield stays to the southeast which is fine for now. At least there is a signal at the 500mb level. I’m interested in the 12z Euro now that it showed this wave last night.
  18. 1234snow
    12z GFS is BIG for middle TN. Foot+ in some spots up to 20 inches in Eastern KY
  19. 1234snow
    We have streamers!!!!
  20. 1234snow
    Ended up with 3.5” here. Not as high as some models had but very close to what I was expecting. Just a beautiful event that we will remember for a long time. Such a dynamic system at the perfect time of year. Merry Christmas everyone! I hope this snowfall could help ease the pain of a horrible year.
  21. 1234snow
    It is coming down. That is all. I will report back later after a Jeb walk. [emoji23]. Carver’s Gap time to get you a 5k in.
  22. 1234snow
    One of the quickest changeovers I’ve ever seen. It ranks up there with some of the fastest ones.
  23. 1234snow
    Switchover has occurred. Temp down to 34. It was 50 about 30 minutes ago. Watching the CC on RadarScope was simply incredible.
  24. 1234snow
    Intense wind and rain here. Power has went in and out already. Temp from 50 to 41 in a matter of minutes.
  25. 1234snow
    Poor Chattanooga is right in the edge of the line. If precip could fill in to the southwest of them it would probably be close to turning to snow.
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