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1234snow

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Everything posted by 1234snow

  1. 1234snow
    Actually having a decent snow shower now. Starting to get a dusting. If this were at night the ground would be totally white.
  2. 1234snow
    I found a 60dbz reading in New Jersey lol. A light snow band has actual made it here. 32.
  3. 1234snow
    I know you aren’t lying! Lol. Finally have some snow mixing in. If the ground gets white here I would be shocked.
  4. 1234snow
    Haven’t looked at many overnight models but the trends on the GFS are intriguing for next weekend. The wave is trending flatter which is leading into more of an overrunning event. Precip doesn’t make it north of Chatty. Stripe of snow from middle MS/AL all the way to the outer banks of NC on 6z GFS. All in all the 6z GFS advertising 4 waves from hour 126 to the end of the 384 hour run and plenty of cold air. Hard not to have some type of optimism for the next 2 weeks looking at that.
  5. 1234snow
    Both the CMC and Euro are primed for major winter storms at 240 after the wave at 160-172 next weekend. Should have plenty of cold air to work with at the end of those runs. Our friend Barney has been popping up a lot for next weekend.
  6. 1234snow
    Finally have half snow and rain. Temp 34. At least some big flakes to look at.
  7. 1234snow
    38 and rain here.
  8. 1234snow
    41. Dew point 24. Waiting on the band. It can take its sweet time.
  9. 1234snow
    Good catch on the overrunning band. The NAM has had it for a few cycles. More enthusiastic than RGEM.
  10. 1234snow
    I do know that it handled the big storm early on that hit Albany, NY with 40” of snow very well. It showed the northwest shield of snow better than other models. I haven’t saw the model brought up since then in any other storms.
  11. 1234snow
    12z RGEM was fairly solid for NETN and SWVA. Plateau picked up a couple of digital inches as well.
  12. 1234snow
    Ended up with 1.5”. Roads were certainly a mess. Several wrecks.
  13. 1234snow
    Just come back in from shoveling the driveway. Measured right at an inch. The snowflakes were the biggest of the season there for a couple of minutes. In a lull now.
  14. 1234snow
    Getting 46dbz snow. Big flakes!
  15. 1234snow
    Currently pouring the snow. Nice dusting so far.
  16. 1234snow
    Certainly another sneaky system that has the chance to over-perform for us. NAM isn’t as enthused.
  17. 1234snow
    A few snow flakes around the area this morning.
  18. 1234snow
    I’ll take the 12z RGEM and see y’all next winter. [emoji23]
  19. 1234snow
    Still so much uncertainty with this system. It will all come down to how the 500mb/850 low swings around the mountains. I would really like to see a NE motion instead of a SE or E one. That is going to be make or break for a big system or nothing at all.
  20. 1234snow
    For the whole run or for our first system?
  21. 1234snow
    Agreed. I’m not sure I’ve seen every single global model latch onto a similar solution in one run before. 12z GFS, EURO, CMC, ICON, UKMET all have a similar solution with someone in NE-TN/mountains/NC/SWVA getting accumulating snow. Even the ACCESS-G (Australian) has a pasting for the mountains. Yes, I just found that model haha.
  22. 1234snow
    That looks really solid. Pivotal 10/1 map does not match up with that at all.
  23. 1234snow
    12z UKMET has our cutoff swinging southeast of us and has an amped solution. Seems to be too warm based on the limited Pivotal Weather maps I was looking at.
  24. 1234snow
    12z GFS, CMC and ICON all trended further southeast with the 500 mb cutoff low. Stronger and slightly colder solutions. With marginal cold air we will certainly need the cutoff low to travel southeast of us.
  25. 1234snow
    18z PARA GFS popped some snow as the first upper low scoots across the region.
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