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Everything posted by 1234snow
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Also appears to imply the storm track would run up the East Coast as well. 18z NAM and RGEM runs were similar for sticking snow for a large portion of our state Thursday evening and night.
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The 15z HRRR was a little deeper at 995mb and was tucked more up against the western tip of South Carolina than the 12z HRRR (996 mb and a little bit east of that). The trend is our friend as the saying goes. And all models have been trending toward a slower and deeper low tucked up against the mountains.
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Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
1234snow replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I was confused by this as well considering the rains we had over the weekend. I guess the ground needed a good soaking.- 86 replies
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Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
1234snow replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just curious question here. Are the weeklies showing a lot of heat to go along with the dryness? Those two seem to go together in summer.- 86 replies
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I picked a bad day to mow. Lol
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About 4 1/2 inches here since yesterday morning. To say it’s a mess is an understatement. Prayers for all those effected with even worse flooding in their communities.
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Second hail storm of the “day” has hit Kingsport.
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Stay safe John! A long way to go for your area in this event! Currently under a simultaneous severe thunderstorm warning and flash flood warning here.
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78dbz on RadarScope with hail marker at 4” with cell SW of Johnson City and Jonesborough. Hail core of 2” passing over downtown Kingsport currently.
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Flash flood warning already issued for 5 TN counties just north of the MS border. Long way to go in the event. Not a great sign to see flash flood warnings already.
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Rogersville is fixing to hit up with a cell that RadarScope indicates up to 1.25” hail. No warning on that currently.
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I’m really surprised the SPC didn’t issue a Severe Thunderstorm watch for the forum area. There have been plenty of warnings issued this morning and 8 hail reports in the database at SPC. I feel like Flash Flooding will become a big issue statewide as well. 12z NAM really upped totals close to 6 inches for a wide part of the mid-state. 12z HRRR showed similar totals.
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Chattanooga area needs to be on the look out this morning from the cells in Alabama. Some rotation there. It’s going to be a wild day. Time to buckle up.
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- tennesse
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All rain now. Probably a half inch.
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Very surprised to see you with a mix at that temp. Also surprisingly, all snow here and 32.
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Appears to be snowing solidly in Lee County. Some strong returns there.
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Light snow has begun to fall here.
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38 here and 35 across the Clinch Mountain in Gate City. If that gives you an idea of micro climates.
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46 degrees now.
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44 degrees here. Constant sunshine all day. Fool me once shame on the models. Fool me twice shame on me.
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Then it appears for a lot of rain setting up after all of that snow on the RAP.
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Big flakes flying now. I am surprised. It is down to 32.
