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1234snow

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Everything posted by 1234snow

  1. 1234snow
    Only a very slight dusting here. Rained all night. Unbelievable. Was in the bullseye on all models for 3-6 and came away with nothing. I think I’m done looking at models for a while. It’s just not worth it if they aren’t going to be accurate.
  2. 1234snow
    Still mostly rain here. I have no clue why it still hasn’t turned over. I’m giving up and going to bed. Frustrated.
  3. 1234snow
    Still mainly rain here and 33. Watching cameras from a few miles northeast of here with some higher elevation and its hammering down.
  4. 1234snow
    Half rain and snow here at 34. Always the last to switch over. A painful wait.
  5. 1234snow
    36 and still rain here
  6. 1234snow
    One observation I will make is the lack of convection along the Gulf coast. Only one lone supercell moving ashore in Florida. So, moisture transport getting shut off shouldn’t be an issue with this one. But this does seem to be a different scenario than with true a Miller A setup.
  7. 1234snow
    For those on the plateau/Crossville area then to the northeast: Get ready. It’s fixing to come hot and heavy.
  8. 1234snow
    Temp is 39 with light rain beginning to reach the ground.
  9. 1234snow
    Sorry, I meant more QPF and more snow! For some reason Tapatalk won’t let me post images.
  10. 1234snow
    RGEM coming in a little wetter as well.
  11. 1234snow
    I like you for 4-6. To me you have the less uncertainty. No warm nose/downslope.
  12. 1234snow
    12k NAM is much better across the board for the valley except Chatty. Less downsloping this run.
  13. 1234snow
    Dry slot in the valley is becoming more pronounced on all models. Looks like the jackpot will be close to John and into Kentucky.
  14. 1234snow
    Noticeable difference on that run was a further shift northwest with the backside snow and a dry slot in the valley in the middle of the system.
  15. 1234snow
    12z GFES pretty much has 40+ hours of frozen precip for the whole area. Continuously.
  16. 1234snow
    I think it may trend for a problem for the whole valley at this rate. I’d also be concerned for the big I-95 cities in the northeast.
  17. 1234snow
    It almost doesn’t break apart the waves this run. Almost continuous moisture of some intensity for the forum.
  18. 1234snow
    The trend from 12z to 18z at 500mb is almost as much as 6z to 12z. It keeps getting sharper and deeper. The trends aren’t done yet. Also of note this would be a wet snow. Some locations don’t get below freezing.
  19. 1234snow
    RGEM and NAM do not have the Super Bowl Sunday storm or anything close to a storm. Interesting to see the 6z GFS cave to the Para. Energy was a little sharper this run. Still on an island though.
  20. 1234snow
    Southeast peeps will probably want to put the 18z GFS on a poster like our 12z Euro run a couple of days ago. Lordy what a storm! Triple phaser?
  21. 1234snow
    About the same as Carvers for this event: .5”
  22. 1234snow
    Somehow after no snow all night it is now covering the driveway lol.
  23. 1234snow
    John if you look at the radar now you can really see the downsloping effects off of the High Knob massif in Scott County. The band finally redevelops toward Kingsport a little better.
  24. 1234snow
    John if you look at the radar now you can really see the downsloping effects off of the High Knob massif in Scott County. The band finally redevelops toward Kingsport a little better.
  25. 1234snow
    12z UKMET at hour 144 (end of run) looks similar to the Euro at 500mb.
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