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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    We had some surprisingly big long period ground swell at Jones beach yesterday. It led to some rescues and the eventual closing of the water due to a severe injury in the shore break. The remarkable thing was, this swell was created when there was just a large trough open wave. Tropical storm force winds extended out 405 miles and shows the power of fetch in swell generation. We have seen major beach washovers
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I have been a life guard at Jones beach for 21 years and I truly believe this whole thing has gotten so blown out of proportion. I have seen sharks numerous times and we just don’t tell the general public. It’s the ocean and there are sharks. There has never been a shark attack on a human in NY in modern times. The risk is so incredibly small, you have a better chance of winning powerball then being attacked.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    38 and carol were the only legit majors during modern times. 1821 and 1630 are thought to be majors. There was another in the 1300s based on core samples. Obviously they were exceedingly rare for good reason. I suspect that’s about to change
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Gloria was supposed to rock LI as A major. Obviously that Did not happen. We have seen time and time again with storms taking a similar track that land interaction removes categories. In order for us to ever get a real major we need a 38 redux with a storm on a NNW track avoiding said land interaction
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s exactly the problem. We start to loose the effectiveness of the sea breeze. The warm water does help considerably with our severe chances though.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    LI can get exceptionally hot on the right winds. CPK needs a couple more dry days, to dry out the vegetation. It doesn’t feel that hot yet on the UWS
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s not 80 right on the beaches today. More like 70. Any westerly component in the wind will up well enough to drop temps at the beach
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s the best looking wave coming off Africa at this time of year I can remember. If it were peak season I would expect a long track major. It’s just so early.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Except we got jumped with the storms. I was shocked at how dry things were at my parents house yesterday, seems Wednesday’s storms managed to weaken just enough before reaching there. Let’s see if things come together today. I have a feeling we get missed just to the south
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Looks like a wet micro burst to me. We could play back the radar loops and see if there was any rotation detected. this evening should produce a few more severe storms in our area. Leaning towards central and south jersey.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Excellent storm driving home from garden city to lynbrook. Not severe though as winds were 40ish in gusts. Lighting was the main show, with some epic bolts
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Good thing we had the drought busting tropical storm last week (Nassau County) as we head into another hot dry period. To me it looks like the flow will be prohibitive for convection at the coast as we have seen time and time again this summer
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m thinking allot of late bloomers and Caribbean cruisers, which end up close to the east coast and in the gulf. Very interesting times on the way!
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not after all the rain we are about to get. Weeds and foliage for the loss.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The back door front squashed the storms before they could make it to the island. Had three drops in wantagh and a couple hundredths in lynbrook. Luckily the coast did relatively well last week. I think we all make up for it Friday
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pretty much spot on. It also has to do with water temps, the warmer the better for clearer waters and how much mixing there has been from surf. I have seen the ocean go from turquoise to murky brown from the start of a hurricane swell. Offshore water temps at the NY harbor buoy are exceptionally warm for so early in the summer, already at 76 degrees! This should help with convection this week.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Interesting, I had 6” in Wantagh. I wonder if it was your proximity to the sound.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nothing at all in wantagh, car coverer in Long Beach. Interesting snow patterns with that one. Nothing on the north shore hills near the warm sound but a strip of 2” around the LIE
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Gloria is my first weather memory. Watching LIPA remove the top of the big Norway maple in front of my house after it split and took down the power lines. I would have loved to have been a little older for that one. Probably the strongest winds during my life time with a brief period of 90mph gusts with what was most likely a sting jet caused be extra tropical transition.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    NYC bans anyone from entering the water. Including surfers. Canceling a long run body surf competition Saturday during premium conditions. Talk about over reactionary
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The real challenge is for cheaper and more effective solar cells. I saw something on solar cells that were super thin like film and this flexible. They could hypothetically be wrapped around pretty much any object. That’s the holy grail of solar technology.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not a great track for a high end landfall. Trajectory has too much land interaction before landfall. Good for what I assume are poor people living in substandard housing. All of the money in India is in the major city’s with the rest of the country still relatively poor.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nice to see some positivity. I agree, while it may not be a blockbuster KU I think we get at least one solid warning event sometime between 2/15-3/15
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    At least there is some positive news on that front today. Still plenty of prime snow season left. The island especially does well late season when near shore water temps are cold. Which they will be after this next cold blast.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed. The big arctic events In the city that set their record lows were big CAA events so it was likely similarly cold even at west Hampton
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