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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. First frost in wantagh this morning. Moving to Malvern this weekend. So I’ll be in a new location for obs
  2. Ripping pretty good in wantagh now. Low clouds are absolutely racing overhead
  3. 39.4 at the wantagh meso. Decent but still pretty meh after the event earlier this month. Let’s see if my theory of the winds dropping under the heaviest rain verifies. If it does strongest winds will be right ahead of the line
  4. Agreed, this thing looks nasty on radar. Even 50mph gusts out of the south will do damage. We haven’t had a south wind event with those kind of wind speeds in ages
  5. While I fully agree as it happens time and time again, I think that’s more of a summer thing has to do with the urban heat island. suns out on the uws
  6. I think we will see a 50+ at jfk later. Great setup for the south shore to see strong winds
  7. Yup! Perfect timing for this first cold shot. It’s not last November but it’s something
  8. Today cannot be good for early season snow making. Anything made already is getting rocked. About as good of a melt scenario as you can get!
  9. The problem is, it has become a political football.
  10. Just buried in leaves here in wantagh. Several days without wind and an incoming wind storm will do that. Oaks aren’t there yet but maples are at peak here. If we get heavy rain later there’s going to be street flooding from clogged drains
  11. I was in the east end (Neptune ave) at the time and do not remember more then a coating on cars and grass. Interesting, with such extreme snow patterns in that one I wonder if being west of Long Beach road and with less bay between you and Lb island meant more snow
  12. It seems that the strongest winds are always pre squall line in these events. one notable exception being some time in the 90s I remember an extremely strong fall squall line that brought damaging wind gusts in wantagh. I vividly remember the whole sky being filled with blowing leaves. This wasn’t the November southerly wind storm that brought 70mph gusts. Well see
  13. Nothing at all in wantagh, car coverer in Long Beach. Interesting snow patterns with that one. Nothing on the north shore hills near the warm sound but a strip of 2” around the LIE
  14. Yeah I would think 35-45mph. Which is plenty strong to knock down a ton of leaves. Mix that with heavy rain and it’s a street flooding situation
  15. Pretty cool ride into the city seeing the tallest towers in Long Island city in the clouds. Ceiling is super low at somewhere around 700’. This is something you used to just see in Manhattan. The pattern of extremes continues. Amazing how fast we flipped that mini drought. I have a feeling this corresponds to this winter with feast or famine periods. Lots of winter is over calls or it’s never going to snow expected.-
  16. Winds will bring down allot of leaves around the coast as we are heading into peak color. So FFW are likely.
  17. That’s an incredible micro climate spot. I drive past you almost ever weekend over the winter. I always look forward to the climb to see snow differences with elevation!
  18. Unreal, it’s not the first time and it will not be the last.
  19. We shall see. A period of colder weather yes. But the -PNA and SE ridge pattern has been so damn consistent. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the cold scaled back. Plus cold/snow in November has really proven to be a bad thing for the winter.
  20. I would take that and flip the trough to the west coast. I don’t think this winter is a complete dud however. There should be at least one period of blocking that yields a decent period of cold and KU potential. Other then that it’s +2-4 and cutter rain, transient cold and repeat. I’mp basing this off the incredible persistence of the screaming pac jet.
  21. Exactly my thoughts. Overall I think it’s a pac dominated -PNA winter. The wild card is a prolonged period of blocking that could save the winter.
  22. True, the November thing is starting to hold some water. I’d rather see a positive AO in November allow some cold air to build in the arctic. One thing is for sure, the arctic needs to cool down. Record warmth and record low sea ice up there effects everything down stream
  23. Ready to do some exploring this winter with the full icon pass. We really need a full scale pattern change to avoid cutters and lots of ice.
  24. This pattern scares me, for its incredible persistence. Absolutely nothing would be worse then cutter and rain to cold and dry to cutter and rain. We need a full scale pattern change.
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