LongBeachSurfFreak

Glad I went to Pa, some morning rain but it’s been dry the rest of the day. Meanwhile a rare summer all day rain on the island.

101 is great running weather. What a joke. Long Beach has made a huge comeback to it’s early 1900s heyday. Back when Reynolds built the gorgeous houses in the red brick street neighborhoods. With wrap around sleeping porches. Very much like other coastal towns (Atlantic city) it had a ruff patch mid century. I used to live in Monroe beach and my next door neighbor was an elderly women who had lived there since the 60s. She said during the 70/80s the complex had fallen into such disrepair the pool was filled with weeds and small trees. The boardwalk was known as an open air drug market. The great thing about modern Long Beach, even though it has gentrified it isn’t prohibitively expensive like some parts of Brooklyn. There are still affordable apartments available. I’m in Pa right now but based on radar looks like the south shore is getting a real soaking right now.

Winds already 15knots SSW at the beach. Seabreeze will keep the south shore significantly cooler today.

I Left that one out because it doesn’t have a 100% mortality rate like borrer and beech leaf. But yeah it is also a problem. If we lost oaks, that would be an ecosystem destroyer. They feed tons of wild life and we do not have chestnuts as a backup.

Yeah the lantern fly craze had allot to do with PR from the wine industry as they definitely damage grapes. But overall are just a nuisance. Just raked out my veggie garden which is exploding with the warm sunny weather today.

Allot are invasives. Like Norway crap maple, black locust and tree of heaven. Doesn’t make for a productive ecosystem because our animals and insects aren’t adapted for them. And tree of heaven for example is the host of spotted lantern fly. They should all be removed where ever possible so the few native species still going strong can take over. Very dependent on location which trees. Here on the island it’s oak, hickory, red maple, tulip, sweet gum, sassafras, and black gum to name a few of the most prominent and least blight/disease prone.

Ash borer beetle and southern pine bark beetle have killed literally billions of trees in the east. Next on deck is beech leaf disease. Add that to American chestnut blight and Dutch elms disease. Eastern forests are a shell of what they once were. Acid rain and climate change are the final death blows to what’s left.

From the NOAA marine forecast. That would be a sea breeze. THUSW winds around 10 kt

Exactly. Those years were exceptional. I hate to bring up Sandy but that event alone has a 600 year reoccurrence rate. Then a major snow storm a week later in early November, off the charts. I have a feeling this summer will be remembered for NE flooding again.

Likely above average, 1-2 degrees. Absolutely agree about dews, lots of 88 with a dew of 75. Our climate is more resembling the coastal Carolina’s during summer. As the higher temps with lower dews combo migrates north to Montreal and Maine.

I’m ready for the switch to typical south shore warm season drought. It’s been a while since we have had such a cool wet start to the summer.

Was just going to ask the same. Had to have been close to an inch here in SW Nassua that fell in less then 30min

It’s possible it’s the beginnings of. But even if it is we are likely to see a muted version in comparison to the last one.

Near zero vis on the beach right now. Hits like a wall right around merrick road. Let’s see if we can scrape together a couple tenths on the south shore.

Sea breeze just doubled in speed in about 30 min on the beach. It was remarkably calm all afternoon. Now, not so much.

Ok so an actual water temp reading from a NDBC NOAA buoy is incorrect got it. i was also in the ocean today at jones beach and it is most certainly 58 degrees. My friend was training for a triathlon and wearing a thermometer watch and it read 58. I’ll believe what I felt and what noaa records over what Lee Goldberg says from his office any day.

Ummm what? More like 58 degrees.

See breeze just kicked in. It was remarkably calm earlier. The breeze has an uncomfortable chill if your in a bathing suite.

Ended up not seeing an abrose jet event yesterday. Just a typical afternoon sea breeze. Looks similar today, maybe slightly stronger.

Unfortunately Florida would be my favored area for another Major. It’s only a matter of time before we see another Andrew into south Florida. I would never favor the NE for a hit as it’s a low probability year over year but it’s the most “due”. Water temps in the home grown area for the north east are the most anomalous in the entire basin. A Bob or Carol track would almost certainly lead to a major hit for eastern New England. Something that hasn’t happened since 1938. Obviously no one will feel sorry if the Hamptons are destroyed. Having spent time out there, there are middle to lower income communities were workers live. And these people would be the most impacted.

If anything delayed formation favors a home grown season. Further west of the MDR box water temps and OHC are still significantly above normal. While overall ace and named storm numbers may end up below hyperactive, an impactful season still looks likely. A rapidly intensifying storm on approach has much more damage potential then a decaying former MDR major.

Nice shot. I just missed the sunset walking out of the gym. As cool as the apocalyptic smoke from 2 years ago was cool i would hard pass on a repeat.

Nope. Need a Carington level event to get through the light pollution.

Yeah 40 mph gusts are common on the beach front with the Ambrose jet. The strongest events I have witnessed in 26 years of ocean life gaurding is probably close to 60mph. I have a hand held anemometer so I’ll take some readings this week.

Abrose jet should really crank this week. Water temps are relatively low in the mid to upper 50s. Creating a stronger then usual temperature and pressure gradient from water to land. The ultimate seabreeze. People thinking this is the first beach weather week are going to be treated to a sand storm and a fridged afternoon wind.