LongBeachSurfFreak

Winds were really funneling between buildings, a fully leafed zelcova tree was bending. That’s going to be the big impact. In March 50mph west gusts aren’t too big a deal, in October they are damaging. (To trees)

Sheets of drizzle and increasing winds on the uws. Headed home to the island

Getting close to game time for the wind switch. I think it’s going to take allot of people by surprise. Of course it would have been an infinitely more impactful event had it occurred at 5pm instead of 10.

Rain rates were higher then radar returns showed in the last batch that came through Manhattan. I was out unclogging drains and it had that heavy drizzle type of effect with small droplet size. This last batch and the fact that it’s producing good rates may get us closer to the predicted 2” amounts. central Suffolk I would be prepared for damaging winds with that line coming up

Which direction are those heading? 39.2 mph gust at the wantagh meso so far which is fairly high for that station.

Shocker rain amounts were way overdone

Precip shield rapidly approaching the city. Let’s gooooooo

That takes this right from a nuisance event to something potentially damaging. Trees along the coast are still in full leaf. incredible clouds currently on the island

From what I get from some of the Mets, there’s a lag between deepening and winds. This thing is moving too fast for us to maximize winds. Also the majority of the area is on the weaker side of the storm. There will be plenty of wind tomorrow though region wide with a prolonged period of west winds with gusts in the 40s

I’m thinking one of those massive region wide flood advisory type deals with a 100 mile wide band of heavy rain. .5-1” an hour type rates in that band. But being that it’s narrow and fast moving it never gets to a full flood situation. In another couple of weeks this same scenario would be much higher impact with leaves clogging drains. looks like the best winds on the front side will miss us to the east, so maybe some 40mph gusts for the coast. On the back side everyone should see some gusts approaching 50.

Everyone will on the backside.

Typical November pattern. Lots of screaming south easters followed by strong west winds. New Jersey surfers dream month.

If we do end up seeing a low with pressure around 970 there are going to be strong winds. It’s been a long time since even advisory level winds area wide. Some time early last spring. There are going to be allot of leaves blowing around from drought stressed trees

Upton doesn’t seem to be on board with strong winds yet. I guess it all comes down to the exact track of the low. I’m expecting a high impact event with at least advisory level winds

Tonight’s high tide ended up being the highest of all in my neighborhood. The entire end of my block had at least some inundation. Right up there with the highest tides since sandy and close to the perfect storm. Amazing that we reached these level without ever having high winds. Goes to show what days of large East swells can do by blocking water from leaving the bays. Also noticed some major erosion. A high impact event for the coast.

Strongest winds of the whole event right now

One thing that wasn’t blown was the marine forecast. Some of the largest and most powerful waves I have have surfed in Long Beach. Just monster walls of water imploding with a sound like thunder. Waves should increase even further into tomorrow morning. The huge east fetch is really working it’s magic.

Not the bust we needed here on the island. Only .38” yesterday. The drought continues

Up to .54” of much needed rain on the uws. It isn’t much under normal circumstances but we desperately needed it.

Finally the long duration soaking rain we desperately needed! The prolonged nature of the rain will allow the ground to slowly moisten and begin absorbing the rain. You do not want Short duration heavy convective rain when the Ground is dried to a hard shell as it just runs off. Winds are pretty meh so far on the island. I was surfing earlier and the waves are increasing. There should be some good erosion at prone locations. Long Beach is going to loose a ton of the dredged sand.

Not going to be a good time for me, or anyone in the horticulture industry. When it does happen it’s going to have serious consequences for area Forrest’s too.

It’s a good thing it’s not winter. This one would be tuff to watch. CC gets 3’ and the city has blowing pixie dust

I was way too young but from the story’s I have been told it was the storm of all time. I know a guy that surfed rockaway and said it was 20’ clean and ridable. He got injured after washing over a jetty.

Winds will be onshore in NJ, resulting in sloppy unsurfable waves. Offshore on li

It’s all about your perception: I think this fall has been incredible so far. Hurricane swell after hurricane swell. Followed by a solid nor’easter. A surfers dream. This one will not work out for New Jersey but there are spots on Long Island that will have world class waves this week.