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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
I do not think a change in track is what we need, temps are just too warm. What we need is a stronger low with stronger dynamics. At this lead time that’s still on the table. But the airmass isn’t going to cut it at the coast without a bomb. -
January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
That’s allot of white rain for the coast. Verbatim this is a big hit inland and elevated, more like something you see early or late season where you need some elevation to gets temps to workout. We would want to see this really bomb to draw in colder air and create its own cold pool. Plenty of time to get things to work, but I wouldn’t be too optimistic outside of our NW guys -
Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
2.5” Uws. Shooting for 3” and it’s going to be close- 1,119 replies
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Where were you the last 10 years? 14/15 started on 1/20 as the foremost example. Patterns like to lock in our current climate and a change to cold is on the way. Find the cold find the snow... Even last years disaster had a nice 10 day blitz. This is not 01-02 or 11-12.
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Huh? For all intents and purposes it hasn’t started. Wall to wall winters are super rare here and will be even more so moving forward. Be happy with a solid 30-45 day period on the way
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Still waiting on that storm track change. Other then that this one can still produce our first low end plowable event if it comes in like a wall. Feb 14 showed us what a wall of snow can do even right at the coast. It will be more of a now cast to see just how much lift we can get at the onset. A quick 2-4” more north less south scenario seems reasonable right now- 1,119 replies
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Wintry mix potential weekend of Jan 18-19, 2020
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
This screams last March to me right along the coast. (I’m talking immediate south shore and jersey shore) where East winds are the kiss of death and you scratch an inch of slush and 10 miles inland it’s another world. We really need to speed things up.- 1,119 replies
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Looks like those posts were made just before the winds swung around to ESE and really went off the scale. Up until that point (to a novice) it looked like we dodged a bullet. The tide posts I do not get, high tide hadn’t occurred and he was claiming victory. Either was that was the most epic bust on this forum of all time. He was like the captain on the titanic saying we can still make it when the ship was up in the air.
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January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
No one and I mean no one wants this more then me. Anything plowable (3”+) would be a dream come true as I just took the head role on the snow removal. I would consider this a bonus if it happens before we see a full scale pattern change. -
January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Way too much time to be locking in solutions. This is thread the needle. Allot has to go right. -
January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Anything that early would be a bonus, I would like to be inland and elevated for that. Once the pattern fully changes let’s see if we can rearrange the storm track. The last thing we want to see is, going from cutters and huggers to suppression depression. -
January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Just follow the trends of the last few years, even decade. Post 1/20 has been the sweet spot. Starting with Jan 15 -
January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Best bet is to hope for the best but expect the worst until if and when we see a pattern change. Otherwise it’s wash rinse repeat. -
January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
It was bound to happen eventually. We need major improvements in the PAC and or a strat warming event to salvage the rest of the winter. -
I had one of my favorite mornings at Stratton of all time yesterday. I made sure to be there for first chair and had the place to myself until about 10 when everyone started showing up after New Years party’s. The 2” of sleet and ice had filled in gaps and 6” of snow over the following two days made for deceptively great conditions. Obviously it wasn’t enough to call it epic as it gets beat hard by afternoon. But for that golden 1.5 hours it was truly special.
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It’s exploded already more then likely, we just haven’t seen it yet. For everyone complaining about the lack of snow you do not have to go far to get to deep winter. I just saw every possible winter weather precip type over a three day period in Vermont. 1/4” ice storm, 2” of sleet including a sleet thunderstorm with 6 bolts. 4” of snow, a light snow break that lasted 24 hours and added another inch. And finally a snow squall that dropped 2” in 20 minutes.
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Pretty brutal conditions at Stratton today with limited terrain and shave ice on ice. Monster crowds and lots of newbs made for allot of crashes. They actually stoped spinning the upper mountain lifts early when it got too ridiculous. Tomorrow will be interesting to say the least.
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It’s the depreciation. The second you drive off the lot it’s like throwing dozens of hundred dollar bills out the window
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Yep, I’m putting in a few years building my resume here and then the plan is to move to a college in New England and run their grounds department and snow removal. Tons of schools up there that need a head of grounds. I’m so over New York City, I’d rather drive to work With no traffic from my 40 acre house.
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Your going to have to go 2 hours north of the city for a nice snow storm with this one, 80s style. I do not think anyone wants a crippling ice storm or mid 30s and heavy rain that we going to see south of there.
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I know, I was just messing with you. As long as your fiancé understands your obsession. I would at least move to the colder suburbs. You get so much more for your money too!
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He’s not going to budge. Why he would decide to marry a girl that hates cold and snow is beyond me. I just got out of a 15 year relationship with a cold and snow hater and now am with a lover. We have plans of moving to New England eventually and it’s a beautiful thing!
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Main thread for tomorrow is becoming unreadable. Too many posters that need to sit back and read more and post less.
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Great conditions today at Stratton with that mid winter vibe. The 20” earlier in the week and 4” yesterday have the place cruising. Even with the hit this week there will still be plenty of snow left