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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Surprising, the wind has basically stopped here. Could be good for storms later. Holding on to some instability .
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Ambrose jet starting to kick in. JFK down to 71 gusting to 26 out of the south. Should continue to increase. .
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    No sign of the jet yet out by the old Ambrose light obs .
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I have watched so much seed and fert wasted in heavy rain. You want a prolonged light to moderate strataform rain to soak it in. .
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah likely an abrose jet later which will kill our storm chances. I expect a nice broken line with isolated severe over nj and the Hudson valley to hit a brick wall .
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    One of the most underrated invasives. On Long Island they produce pure stands. Very easy to see early and late as they are often the only foliage. They are also short lived and brittle. It’s too bad they were so extensively planted during the suburban sprawl of the 50/60/70s in the NYC and BOS Mets. .
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Then it would have produced. Now it’s just a waste. Raw east winds and misery mist. No thanks. .
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    No way. That was our best shot at 80. Currently the Sw wind vector isn’t so bad the further west you get. Really need it straight south north of sunrise west of rvc to for the marine layer .
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Finally warmed up here in SW Nassau. 72 and partly cloudy. Just went for a run an it couldn’t have been more perfect .
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    58 here with the south wind. So much for 70s .
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Tuesday is looking to be the real Ambrose jet day. Marine forecast has the wind going from sw to south and increasing which is a tell. Wednesday has the best potential for 80 on the south shore with light winds in the morning. .
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m surprised no one is talking about this. Likely the most intense storm in several years. https://x.com/zeb199818/status/2043312086869287255?s=46&ct=rw-null .
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s significantly warmer then yesterday on the south shore with the offshore wind .
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Wednesday looks like a moderate Ambrose jet day so highs will be early in the day on the island. Like you said if winds stay light we could make a run at 80 prior to the usual start around 1.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    They still have a 36” snow pack. Probably a glacier you can walk on at this point. .
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Caribou doesn’t get a crazy amount of snow. You don’t even need to leave NY. Tug hill Platue averages over 250” a year and has seen over 400” .
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah I have lots of memories of this time of year in Lb. At least it’s sunny. The worst days are zero vis fog and raw wind. Those days feel especially cold, meanwhile it’s 80 and sunny in NJ. .
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Onshore wind limiting temps on the south shore. JFK 51 and 62 CPK. Strong onshore winds next week with multiple Ambrose jet days possible. South facing coast will be significantly cooler .
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There was a subtle amount of return flow so you likely had some light onshore wind. That would keep dews higher and reduce radiational cooling .
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Gotta love KFOK, 24 tonight so far and 30 last night. Gotta be the best radiational spot on the north east coast. .
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah the key is not going over strong. 72/73 97/98 were dumpster fires. 82/83 and 15/16 were one hit wonders that would have been next to snowless if those two giants hadn’t been timed perfectly .
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    50s with non stop 40 70 rainy nor’easters all winter. That was 97/98. Perfect storm track with tons of miller A’…… But ZERO cold. When you have an all time ice storm up on the Canadian border you know it’s bad. .
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah, we are right on the cusp of leaf out. Once that happens evapotranspiration increases dews and lowers higher end temp potential. We can even rapidly warm up right to the coast pre leaf out before the sea breeze kicks in. .
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    When are you moving to Siberia? Scratch that it gets hot in the summer there. .
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not a bad forecast. We still have above normal water temps so I wouldn’t go for a really low number. I would focus in on home grown systems. The MDR will likely be hostile with increased shear .
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