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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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50s with non stop 40 70 rainy nor’easters all winter. That was 97/98. Perfect storm track with tons of miller A’…… But ZERO cold. When you have an all time ice storm up on the Canadian border you know it’s bad. .
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Yeah, we are right on the cusp of leaf out. Once that happens evapotranspiration increases dews and lowers higher end temp potential. We can even rapidly warm up right to the coast pre leaf out before the sea breeze kicks in. .
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When are you moving to Siberia? Scratch that it gets hot in the summer there. .
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Not a bad forecast. We still have above normal water temps so I wouldn’t go for a really low number. I would focus in on home grown systems. The MDR will likely be hostile with increased shear . -
Strong CAA currently. Gusting to 38 at JFK and 39 at EWR. Should be pretty uniform low temps near the coast .
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Very well said. All we need to do is look back at events of rapid climate change in the past. In the natural world they were caused by events like large impacts and super volcanos. The Siberian Traps (which occurred over a longer period) the results were the same with 96% of marine life going extinct. The release of greenhouse gases caused extreme global warming, with temperatures near the equator reaching 165°F (74°C). Ocean devastation: The CO2 led to ocean acidification and a lack of oxygen (anoxia), killing most marine life. Feedback loop: The eruptions may have melted frozen methane on the seafloor, creating a devastating feedback loop. All of this is on the table. . -
Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
The newer cultivars are sterile but the originals where brought over before anyone put any thought into invasive potential. There are saplings allllll over the place in NYBG and they are actively trying to eradicate them. Red bud is a great tree but weak in storms so not really suited to coastal locations. . -
Luckily it’s early so soil moisture is still high from the winter. Though we definitely do not want that to continue .
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Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
This is true. They are super invasive. They are all over the NY Botanical garden in some of the old growth patches. (The majority of the forest is second growth but there is some old growth in the Bronx river ravine) . -
https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1996/NJSnow-09Apr96.png April 9-10th 1996. Mostly a Suffolk event
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43mph gust at JFK. Gotta be some of the strongest east winds not associated with a storm we have see .
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Yeah they definitely cold for this time of year in the low 40s. To our north east in Atlantic Canada (where this airmass originated) water temps are in the low 30s. .
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40mph gust at JFK. Pretty strong back door cold front. .
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Back door cold front coming through. Just got here in Lynbrook .
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Need some serious CAA for the Park to go below 30 this late. Suburbs that radiate well are a different story .
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-50 for the winter low is even more wild. Have to garage a vehicle or good luck starting it. .
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I went to college in Maryland and the springs down there are amazing. Coming home on a weekend was a shock from fully leafed out trees to stick season in 250 miles. What we have today is not abnormal but after the first 80 here in SW Nassua yesterday it definitely is not pleasant. .
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Water temps to our north east, especially in Atlantic Canada are extremely cold after a very cold winter up there. So the cold wants to bleed south west. We need a big ridge to overpower the cold bleed. Once that happens it’s game on. .
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Pretty wild. First 80 here. 78 at jfk which is a little closer to the water. .
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Barely a sea breeze today so it’s roasting here just inland. Warmest day so far this season. .
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Likely early start to the monsoon. Especially with a developing nino. Could put a lid on the heat dome in the SW limiting heat ejections. How much that effects us here, I’m not sure. .
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It’s a legit ob from an ASOS station. As far as a micro climate sure. It’s in the heart of the dwarf pine barrens which is characterized by extremely sandy soils and radiates better then any non deep valley location on the east coast. Regardless of KFOK, KJK was almost 10 degrees cooler then the park or KLGA. .
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I vividly remember snow ripping during the day during better banding. It would finally start to accumulate with slush caked to absolutely everything. Then rates would diminish and it would change to light rain and everything would melt. The ultimate tease storm. .
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Just got back from a run and I’m sweating like crazy. Just far enough inland to get into some decent warmth. Decent fetch over land in western Nassua on the south shore vs eastern Nassua and Suffolk. .
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North shore doing its thing. Low 60s here but the south wind is back so as soon as it overwhelms solar insulation we are dropping through the 50s .
