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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, that was a testament to the record sea surface temps. Had we had water temps similar to the 80s you would be looking at 5-10 named.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I absolutely DO NOT want this in July it would be 100+ here right now. Some of us have to work outside…
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Just got back from the beach where as expected it was chilly right on the ocean. The thermal gradient was so tight that it was 10 degrees or so warmer up on the boardwalk.
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nice, I almost went the finance route but found Econ more science like. Either way, I’m a horticulturalist now! Heading down to the beach, temp just shot up here in lynbrook.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly. That’s why I think you need to combine the computing power of quantum computers with AI to get there. Just too many possibilities. As for math, yeah meteorology is a math degree. I’ll pass on desecrate math and theoratical equations. I just barely handled the math to get an economics degree.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Still requires a human element. AI isn’t even close to there yet. I’d say closer to 2050 then 2030. The real wild card is quantum computing. Currenlty waiting for the sun and heading to the beach for nice run.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Regardless of why he was closer to the actual number, absolutely no one on earth called that mid season shutoff. My concern is we see a return of those conditions this year. If it hadn’t been for the record water temps extending the season last year, it would have been rather unremarkable.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Our climate then was closer to present day Boston. Now more like Baltimore back then.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The wind really picked up in the last 2 hours. Must be an Ambrose jet type event.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s just putting off the inevitable. West winds will just keep upwelling more and more cold water. So when the flow does turn onshore again, the sea breeze will have a bite, even here in Lynbrook. Just spent a couple hours installing my cool weather veggies. I waited until after last night as we had a shot at mid 30s which isn’t good for any tender young plants. Obviously not the best radiating location, but we do radiate more then the city.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Especially this year with the water being colder then normal do to all the offshore flow and upwelling. This pattern will not do much to warm the water either. May be a chilly start to the beach season once the flow switches back to consistently onshore.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Top of the line spring day today. Just finished a 5 mile hike. Living on the south shore really makes you appreciate any real spring weather as we often skip right to summer…
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Just had a pretty strong gust that threw around some stuff in my backyard. I’d say close to what we had yesterday.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Convection produced and more in line with a STW instead of a widespread multi hour wind event. That’s what I think the NWS was going for.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Solid forecast. I think we see a Felix/dean style Caribbean cruiser this year. The OHC is off the charts and due for some heat reduction through hurricane induced upwelling.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Absolutely the definition of misery mist currently on the south shore. High 30s gusty north wind and sheet drizzle. It almost (looks) like light snow.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Could be a good setup for US landfalls as TW coming off Africa wait longer to develope. Less chance for early recurvature. The NE Caribbean is especially really overdue for another Irma type powerhouse.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Some nice high spots that are a doable commute to NYC.
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Allot of the time the guys doing the snow removal do not have a deep understanding of the weather. Just wasting salt and damaging the environment in this case. Any snow left on the road after plowing will melt in quickly melt in April as insulation makes it right through the clouds.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nice, thanks for posting that. I was estimating based on surface temps and conversion 1 degree per 200 feet.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The radar looks like it should be snowing 2” an hour right now. It has that exact texture. Because at beam hight it’s all snow. Snow levels probably currently between 1500-2000’ feet based on surface temps. That terrace I was talking about at 1500’ will be covered in several inches in the morning.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pouring right now in SW Nassua, I guess this system does have some decent dynamics. Let’s see how much we cool the column overnight.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    No clue. I was 1. Would have to see the historical data especially low placement and strength.
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah this late in the season it’s all about rates. Someone near the coast could get a coating. Most likely place would be highest elevations of north shore of the island somewhere like north hills at 300’. But it could be anywhere if it really dumps. It could just as easily be no one.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I mean they have tuned mass dampeners, which is a big weight at the top of the building that counters the sway. But yeah, if the winds cranking it can only do so much. None of those super talls were there yet for sandy. Other then the one under construction which is significantly shorter at 1,000’ and look what happened there. I would have to imagine in a sandy redux you would not want to be near the top of those buildings.
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