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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. Yep, without an offshore wind it’s fine. It’s next to impossible to maintain an offshore flow the entire day when the water temp is in the 60s.
  2. Yeah it’s honestly not that bad on the south shore right now. Tomorrow morning while the wind is NW should be the worst for the coast.
  3. It’s all going to come down to wind direction for the coast today. EWR is a lock for 100 coming of a low of 82.
  4. JFK has the best shot of setting an all time June record Tuesday. With compressional downslope heating. I’m not looking forward to 10000000 degree sand at the beach, it can get hot enough to cause 1st degree burns fast.
  5. Where climate change is a factor is in the strength and staying power of the ridge. If we hit 600dm that likely is directly attributable to CC. We can break that record and still not break temp records. JFK needs a wind vector of WNW to NW, for a daily record. The Park needs surrounding stations to be 105 to hit 100. So lots of little intricacies on a local level.
  6. Would have really gone to town if it had more time after the EWRC.
  7. It was sub severe here. But close, gusts definitely at least in the 40s with small branches down. Best storm of the year for sure.
  8. That bow coming up from central Jersey may be the real deal for the south shore
  9. Just closed the beach for lighting at jones. Meanwhile it’s sunny and will not rain a drop. South Jersey severe looks primed and ready with the line in PA.
  10. The PHL radar was in clear air mode and it looked like stationary yellows and reds over the city. The Upton radar was down at the time. I watch the radars all the time and have never seen incorrect returns like that.
  11. Flash flood event building over the city and western Long Island right now. Stationary convection firing. Could seed the atmosphere for later today. Might actually be a radar issue.
  12. Pin hole eyes can really produce some high end winds relative to pressure. Also the cdo is rather small too.
  13. It’s going to a complete shock to the system going from cool drizzle to a potentially historic heatwave.
  14. 95 with the incredible vegetation growth this spring. It’s as deep and dark into the foliage as it’s ever been. I would love to see JFK and LGA hit like 105 and the park is 95.
  15. Gulf should spin out a few monsters this season.
  16. The current water temp distribution is screaming low MDR numbers. It’s not just the cooler waters in the MDR itself it’s the warmer waters in the subtropics. This reduces vertical instability and reduces lapse rates in the MDR. This does further my prediction of a home grown season.
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