LongBeachSurfFreak
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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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It’s actually not too bad currently at jones beach, almost full sunshine. Significantly better then this morning.
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54mph gust at Nantucket. Impressive for a late May coastal.
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It’s really only happening up on the ski slopes, all infrastructure in southern Vermont is 2500’ or below. To answer the question about the low track, it’s hard to say what would have happened with a similar low and track in winter. Precip shield tends to be broader. Probably would have been a mix along the coast today. But this last band coming through likely would have been at least a few inches of snow.
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The trees are leafed out just below that camera at 3,000’. Could get nasty overnight. Above 3,000’ there are no deciduous trees just a mix of red spruce and balsam fir, a remnant of the borial forest that once covered the northeast after the ice age
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Best that happens there is a few mangled flakes in the air. Really need to be above 3,000’ for accumulations with such a marginal airmass. I mean it’s the end of May heres 3850’ in southern Vermont
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Definitely possible on top of the pocono plateau. Elevations over 2,000’. It’s been snowing and accumulating all day on top of the southern greens in Vermont.
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Nantucket gusting to 45mph and increasing hourly. It’s out there, just to our east. Personally I’ll pass on winds like that this time of year. It would just make a mess.
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Hypothetically more like 3-6” in the metro. Best banding has been setting up just east of the Nassua Suffolk border.
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Once we get out this cloudy cool pattern things will explode. We are nearing peak solar insulation which is what causes the best growth.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Good read. The lag effect between warming and melting is elephant in the room. So even if we stay at 1.5c it would take centuries to play out. It’s the feed back cycles that haven’t occurred yet that should raise the most concern. -
I get that, I was just pointing out cool and dry is worse for plants then cool and wet. It’s tends to dry out the leaves regardless of lack of frost. Tonight is a great example, low of 49 forecast with a gusty wind. Not a great night for warm weather vegetables. Thursday nights forecast low is also 49 but it will be raining which will help lock in moisture in broadleaves like those of Italian Eggplant.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I agree that fusion solves further increasing GHG levels. But that still leaves us at a level that corresponds to significantly more warming then has yet to be realized. My premise is that energy being essentially limitless allows for technology that was once too power hungry to be environmentally and economically feasible. Carbon capture may very well be feasible when removing the energy equation paradox. Desalination is another prime example. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
It’s not a gimmick. Once fusion becomes a reality. And with AI advancing at warp speed a solution to making fusion viable could occur significantly sooner then previously thought. limitless clean energy makes carbon capture and sequestration real. And it just might save the planet. -
The warm weather vegetables will be fine with temps in the high 40s. Dews will equal the actual temps so we are no where near frost. If it’s high 40s and the dew is like 20 that’s much worse. Eggplant is probably the most susceptible to cold and it will probably slow to a crawl for a week or two. Tomato’s will keep doing what tomatoes do and grow like weeds.
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Based on the marine forecast Utpton doesn’t seem that enthusiastic. Max winds 35 knots. The difference between 35 and 45 knots is substantial on the resulting seas. That will have a large impact on wether the jones beach air show can run.
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Especially as a man. Nothing worse then wearing a suit/tux in the heat. Congrats. Looking good for Sunday!
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Back in the 90s/00s definitely. I distinctly remember freezing my butt off day after day sitting on the life guard stand in June. The last few years it’s been remarkably warm. Water temps were especially warm last year. People were swimming during the air show!
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They aren’t going to cancel it for anything other the low ceilings. There might be modifications if the waves are 10’ though. Because they have all the rescue equipment out in the ocean, because that’s where the planes are doing their stunts.
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Supprised not to see 2013 on the list. Must have been a cheap mid night high.
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Timing is impeccable. I start life guarding at jones beach Friday. Should make for a very interesting air show!
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That gust front had some better winds some severe warned storms we have had in the past, not that, thats saying much…
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Yeah that was as of yesterday. Honestly I have been closely monitoring the SLF and while numbers exploded the second year they have leveled off. They are definitely a threat to vineyards but I’m not convinced they are the plague they were originally thought to be. Gypsy, emerald ash borrer beetle, Asian longhorn beetle and southern pine bark beetle all are far greater threats in my opinion.
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That’s why Dixie ally has always been especially dangerous. Suns out and temps skyrocketing. Increasing cape, but is there even a mechanism?
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They are all over Suffolk along the LIE. Many Oaks defoliated. They destroyed the last large remaining old growth coastal oak forest on the east coast in the late 70s on Gardiners Island. I would have done anything to see 600 year old white oaks. The island is pretty much off limits now anyway.
