LongBeachSurfFreak
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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Pretty meh right now. Maybe a second wave 10-12. -
The year of the incessant West wind continues. Easily had some 40mph gusts on the beach yesterday. Full on sand storm. People would walk down towards the water and quickly turn around after a couple minutes of sand blasting.
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Yeah that’s a big part of it. From my memory that storm was bombing out as it passed overhead. Likely very strong dynamics were able overcome drying.
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Absolutely wrap around. The front end of the storm was all rain.
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Christmas Day 2001. 9” in 5 hours, all wrap around.
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Even more so out on the island. It’s getting to that time of year though. Really was just a warm frontal passage. Wrap around should mostly dry out before pivoting through
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Around an inch.
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Nice moisture slug down in south Jersey. Trajectory looks to be eastern Li.
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You can see the micro burst in the rear velocity in the tweet rjay posted. A ef0 tornado would have produced notable damage, like trees twisted at the tops and falling in different directions. Since I saw the damage in Babylon that evening in my gfs old neighborhood I can verify it was straight line winds. All trees were facing the same direction and mainly uprooted and not sheared. Can’t wait for our severe season July/August. This never ending late march early April pattern has got to go.
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That was Isias. He is talking about a specific thunderstorm with a big micro burst that traveled close to the southern state from about the Nassua Suffolk border out into western Suffolk. I saw the damage right after as my gf was living in Babylon at the time.
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I figured there had to be some kind of damage. 78mph straight line winds around here would make a big mess.The last time we had anything close to that (from thunderstorms) region wide was the 98 Labor Day derecho.
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Does that do damage around there? Like uprooted trees, or is everything so resilient from severe all the time that it’s no big deal?
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I spent 10 years driving that shit road daily to Columbia. Took years off my life. So happy to have moved on!
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When I think of that thermometer, I think of a deep forest in lord of the rings New Zealand. Meanwhile 100 yards east it’s 10 degrees warmer on 5th avenue.
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Unfortunately there are only 3 dominant tree species in the Candian Tiaga. Balsim fir, Black Spruce and Larch. They are dominant because the can handle the extreme temperatures. They are all highly flamable. Until temperatures rise significantly (5c) that isn’t going to change. My theory is that the beginning of substantial climate change is acting to dry the forests out. Normally they would remain rather wet and cool in the summer.
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I would love to see some data on the amount of forest fires in the Canadian Tiaga forests historically. That area is basically uninhabitable so if fires are significantly increasing is size and frequency it’s a good climate change marker. I would think they have, so to the over the top patterns we have seen. And of course the smoke events here the last few years.
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That’s not correct. Downsloping winds are compressional, heating and drying the air. So an offshore flow in this area, given high enough 850 temps is capable of 90 degree temps no matter how high the soil moisture content is.
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Nice, figured the lighting would be amazing. Radar looked like best winds were south. I got to experience a real super cell in Dallas back in the day, absolutely other level compared to storms in NY!
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Wow that is some radar, I would be super excited if I were you. Definitely prolific lighting and some serious hail in those things!
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There’s a pretty strong sea breeze now at jones beach. After the first slightly warm day on the beach it is now freezing again. Water is a carribean turquoise, which is highly deceiving.
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Yeah at a certain point there is now where left to put the cars. I was just thinking this would be a pretty epic pattern in winter. A nice snow storm Thursday followed by days and days of heavy snow squalls.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
The lowering elevation through melting of ice sheets like west Antarctica and Greenland is powerful feedback. Could easily runaway and rapidly takeoff. It’s the type of feedback that is unstoppable regardless if we prevent further warming. -
We have the air show at jones so it was a beyond capacity crowd today. Believe it or not there were a few people in the water.
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It’s freezing at Jones beach again. Fully clouded over, the never ending wind whipping. Three layers and I’m shivering and I’m a very large guy who doesn’t really get cold. Being up in a life gaurd stand fully exposed to the wind will do that.
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Going to feel even colder then yesterday morning on the beach. Winds are significantly stronger.
