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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s significantly warmer then yesterday on the south shore with the offshore wind .
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Wednesday looks like a moderate Ambrose jet day so highs will be early in the day on the island. Like you said if winds stay light we could make a run at 80 prior to the usual start around 1.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    They still have a 36” snow pack. Probably a glacier you can walk on at this point. .
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Caribou doesn’t get a crazy amount of snow. You don’t even need to leave NY. Tug hill Platue averages over 250” a year and has seen over 400” .
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah I have lots of memories of this time of year in Lb. At least it’s sunny. The worst days are zero vis fog and raw wind. Those days feel especially cold, meanwhile it’s 80 and sunny in NJ. .
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Onshore wind limiting temps on the south shore. JFK 51 and 62 CPK. Strong onshore winds next week with multiple Ambrose jet days possible. South facing coast will be significantly cooler .
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There was a subtle amount of return flow so you likely had some light onshore wind. That would keep dews higher and reduce radiational cooling .
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Gotta love KFOK, 24 tonight so far and 30 last night. Gotta be the best radiational spot on the north east coast. .
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah the key is not going over strong. 72/73 97/98 were dumpster fires. 82/83 and 15/16 were one hit wonders that would have been next to snowless if those two giants hadn’t been timed perfectly .
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    50s with non stop 40 70 rainy nor’easters all winter. That was 97/98. Perfect storm track with tons of miller A’…… But ZERO cold. When you have an all time ice storm up on the Canadian border you know it’s bad. .
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah, we are right on the cusp of leaf out. Once that happens evapotranspiration increases dews and lowers higher end temp potential. We can even rapidly warm up right to the coast pre leaf out before the sea breeze kicks in. .
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    When are you moving to Siberia? Scratch that it gets hot in the summer there. .
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not a bad forecast. We still have above normal water temps so I wouldn’t go for a really low number. I would focus in on home grown systems. The MDR will likely be hostile with increased shear .
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Strong CAA currently. Gusting to 38 at JFK and 39 at EWR. Should be pretty uniform low temps near the coast .
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Very well said. All we need to do is look back at events of rapid climate change in the past. In the natural world they were caused by events like large impacts and super volcanos. The Siberian Traps (which occurred over a longer period) the results were the same with 96% of marine life going extinct. The release of greenhouse gases caused extreme global warming, with temperatures near the equator reaching 165°F (74°C). Ocean devastation: The CO2 led to ocean acidification and a lack of oxygen (anoxia), killing most marine life. Feedback loop: The eruptions may have melted frozen methane on the seafloor, creating a devastating feedback loop. All of this is on the table. .
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The newer cultivars are sterile but the originals where brought over before anyone put any thought into invasive potential. There are saplings allllll over the place in NYBG and they are actively trying to eradicate them. Red bud is a great tree but weak in storms so not really suited to coastal locations. .
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Luckily it’s early so soil moisture is still high from the winter. Though we definitely do not want that to continue .
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    This is true. They are super invasive. They are all over the NY Botanical garden in some of the old growth patches. (The majority of the forest is second growth but there is some old growth in the Bronx river ravine) .
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1996/NJSnow-09Apr96.png April 9-10th 1996. Mostly a Suffolk event
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    43mph gust at JFK. Gotta be some of the strongest east winds not associated with a storm we have see .
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah they definitely cold for this time of year in the low 40s. To our north east in Atlantic Canada (where this airmass originated) water temps are in the low 30s. .
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    40mph gust at JFK. Pretty strong back door cold front. .
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Back door cold front coming through. Just got here in Lynbrook .
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Need some serious CAA for the Park to go below 30 this late. Suburbs that radiate well are a different story .
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    -50 for the winter low is even more wild. Have to garage a vehicle or good luck starting it. .
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