LongBeachSurfFreak
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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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You don’t want anything to do with this. I was in Manhattan during ida, every stair case on my campus was a waterfall. Every basement of every building flooded. For the sake of lives and property I hope this is a major model fail. -
Just had to pull two life guard stands out of the ocean that floated almost a mile after falling in so to erosion. Beaches have really taken a hit this month. With a nino winter on the way it will only get worse.
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The surf is gigantic, being in a boat would be hell, if not straight up dangerous
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Sideways rain and monster chop in Zach’s bay for the Jones beach Ironman. The swim is still on as of now…
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Ahhhh haaaaa! I am life guarding the race! I’m good friends with the water safety coordinator and he’s insisting as of now it’s a go. I tried to no avail to convince him that the orientation of Zach’s bay being east to west means the chop is funneled right to the race start! Well, I fully expect them to cancel in the am…
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See my last post. I’ll add this, the large swells Lee created that effected the coast also had an upwelling effect.
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That’s not correct. Lee produced a large area of strong offshore winds all the way to the Carolina’s. Offshore winds created upwelling (I would need 10 pages to explain the process) it happened.
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Shorter window than you would think. It has a few more hours to play with the Gulf Stream before it hits the shallow shelf waters. Those waters were significantly upwelled during Lee.
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I was thinking the same thing. Some amazing tropical transitioning accruing. If this had started a few hundred miles further south we would have a beast of a hurricane.
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2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Where has Ldub been?????? I guess he lost faith after his 0/0/0 august forecast. Expect his return after Nigel goes extra trop and we have a brief break. I think this season is a big sign of what’s to come in the future. Record warm OHC overwhelms traditional teleconnections. -
I was generalizing about the upcoming cold season. This weekends storm is pretty meh. Though it does have some upside potential if all goes right with full moon tides.
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I think we are in for our best nor’easter in many many years. Record warm coastal waters and a strong El Niño. Just a hunch.
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Beat me! Great rainbow in lynbrook, Long Island. Way under producer as far as precip though.
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.27” at the wantagh meso. If the next batch misses to the east the southern Nassau precip hole continues.
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Finally a nice steady rain soaking rain for the island. Makes sense as we start to leave convective season and enter stratiform rain season.
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Lots of virgin warm water along its path. Recurve around 55 west. Should produce some swell for the east coast, but after Franklin and lee it will hardly be noticeable.
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Almost completely flat at Jones beach NY. What people do not realize as a storm transitions to extra tropical the stronger winds are focused on the SW side in relation to the sting jet. That has the effect of blowing down any previously generated SE swell. Behavior much closer to a normal cold season low and the reason east coasts do not receive swell like west coasts. The weather channel live shots are bordering embarrassing. Like hello from drizzle and 30mph wind gusts…
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Yesterday was a pretty spectacular day. Today the winds are a little too strong causing some chip and allot of close outs. The beach is fully flooded up to a wall the state built at homes beach. We’ll see what this evenings high tide does, as that should have the best combo of highest tides and largest waves.
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Lee’s living up to expectations surf wise on Long Island. Definitely once a decade conditions currently. 10-12’ sets with a couple 15 footers. The beach is completely washed over to the boardwalk. Tomorrow will be pretty much all time. I barely made the paddle out today so I’ll have to look for protection tomorrow. The next three high tides will do some major erosion as we have already lost about 10 feet of beach.
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Amazing how it finds a way to not rain on the island during any deep southerly flow convective setup.
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Spectacular! I have been closely watching the buoys up and down the east coast and it’s pretty clear the increasing size and therefore fetch area is really impacting wave production. The great Atlantic hurricane of 1944 passed 100 miles east of New Jersey but due to its tremendous size caused tremendous damage along the coast. That could be an analog for eastern New England this time.
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Keith, blonde hair, black wetsuit top.
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I’m case you want to see me talk about the surf rather then type it out here’s an interview I did today. https://www.fox5ny.com/news/hurricane-lee-threatens-beaches-with-erosion-and-rip-currents-this-weekend The real takeaway from Lee will be beach erosion in the north east. The huge wind radius and captured fetch will produce a once a decade swell event.
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Here’s me talking about the surf on fox 5 https://www.fox5ny.com/news/hurricane-lee-threatens-beaches-with-erosion-and-rip-currents-this-weekend
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Pretty incredible repeat of the July pattern. .11 at the south hold meso. Meanwhile over 6” in the Bronx.
