LongBeachSurfFreak
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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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Once we get out this cloudy cool pattern things will explode. We are nearing peak solar insulation which is what causes the best growth.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Good read. The lag effect between warming and melting is elephant in the room. So even if we stay at 1.5c it would take centuries to play out. It’s the feed back cycles that haven’t occurred yet that should raise the most concern. -
I get that, I was just pointing out cool and dry is worse for plants then cool and wet. It’s tends to dry out the leaves regardless of lack of frost. Tonight is a great example, low of 49 forecast with a gusty wind. Not a great night for warm weather vegetables. Thursday nights forecast low is also 49 but it will be raining which will help lock in moisture in broadleaves like those of Italian Eggplant.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I agree that fusion solves further increasing GHG levels. But that still leaves us at a level that corresponds to significantly more warming then has yet to be realized. My premise is that energy being essentially limitless allows for technology that was once too power hungry to be environmentally and economically feasible. Carbon capture may very well be feasible when removing the energy equation paradox. Desalination is another prime example. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
It’s not a gimmick. Once fusion becomes a reality. And with AI advancing at warp speed a solution to making fusion viable could occur significantly sooner then previously thought. limitless clean energy makes carbon capture and sequestration real. And it just might save the planet. -
The warm weather vegetables will be fine with temps in the high 40s. Dews will equal the actual temps so we are no where near frost. If it’s high 40s and the dew is like 20 that’s much worse. Eggplant is probably the most susceptible to cold and it will probably slow to a crawl for a week or two. Tomato’s will keep doing what tomatoes do and grow like weeds.
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Based on the marine forecast Utpton doesn’t seem that enthusiastic. Max winds 35 knots. The difference between 35 and 45 knots is substantial on the resulting seas. That will have a large impact on wether the jones beach air show can run.
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Especially as a man. Nothing worse then wearing a suit/tux in the heat. Congrats. Looking good for Sunday!
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Back in the 90s/00s definitely. I distinctly remember freezing my butt off day after day sitting on the life guard stand in June. The last few years it’s been remarkably warm. Water temps were especially warm last year. People were swimming during the air show!
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They aren’t going to cancel it for anything other the low ceilings. There might be modifications if the waves are 10’ though. Because they have all the rescue equipment out in the ocean, because that’s where the planes are doing their stunts.
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Supprised not to see 2013 on the list. Must have been a cheap mid night high.
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Timing is impeccable. I start life guarding at jones beach Friday. Should make for a very interesting air show!
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That gust front had some better winds some severe warned storms we have had in the past, not that, thats saying much…
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Yeah that was as of yesterday. Honestly I have been closely monitoring the SLF and while numbers exploded the second year they have leveled off. They are definitely a threat to vineyards but I’m not convinced they are the plague they were originally thought to be. Gypsy, emerald ash borrer beetle, Asian longhorn beetle and southern pine bark beetle all are far greater threats in my opinion.
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That’s why Dixie ally has always been especially dangerous. Suns out and temps skyrocketing. Increasing cape, but is there even a mechanism?
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They are all over Suffolk along the LIE. Many Oaks defoliated. They destroyed the last large remaining old growth coastal oak forest on the east coast in the late 70s on Gardiners Island. I would have done anything to see 600 year old white oaks. The island is pretty much off limits now anyway.
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Not a drop has reached the ground today in Lynbrook despite the radar showing showers.
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I do not remember hail with that storm. But I remember every second of the downburst like it was yesterday. I had a friend visiting from Jersey and he was freaking out. It was dark as night with torrents of sideways rain hitting the house. There is something about the smell of the air from all the crushed leaves that’s unforgettable after the storm. I’m trying to think if we have ever had a severe storm before Memorial Day on the island. I know we had hail in the April mid 90s NE severe outbreak. The stabilizing effect of the ocean is just too powerful the majority of the time in the spring. Which is exactly what has happened with this current event.
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I absolutely love severe thunderstorms. My favorite weather memory as a kid was the July mid 90s severe storm that tracked across the south shore. I cannot remember the exact date but the cover of news day the next day (I had it hanging in my room for years) said 5pm blackout. The gust front at the onset sent huge branches flying out of the backyard trees into the front yard. Estimated winds about 70mph. The trees still showed damage for many years after. The 98 derecho was another epic storm. And we will be lucky to hear a rumble or two today.
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Pretty amazing how consistently all the storms the last two days are either North or South. Just enough stabilizing marine layer to kill our storm chances.
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YES! My gf was living there at the time. The tree damage was pretty incredible. Lots of mature trees snapped like 20’ up. The kind of damage that only happens with 80+mph straight line winds. I wish I was there for the storm. I saw it that evening.
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I forgot how much this area sucks for severe. Having lived in Baltimore County and witnessed the same super cell that produced the college park tornado, that area is underrated for severe. In the 4 years I was there for college I saw at least 3 varifiable severe storms. Maybe 3 in 35+ years on the island.
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Yeah they are invasive Mute swans. What’s cool is the giant great blue heron that lives in the north lake! Glad the rain disappeared before the island, we need to dry out a bit.
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Really? You don’t know about Valley Stream and Hempstead Lake state parks? Hempstead Lake is a really great park with amazing trails and some gorgeous climax forests (not old growth but last logged in the 1800s when it became a reservoir for the Brooklyn water works) highly recommend that park to anyone on the island
