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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. Chance of verifying, .00000000000001% it’s almost easier to just not look at this point. We need something major, like a SSW to completely reshuffle the pattern. Unfortunately that’s just not happening with such an intense and stable +AO
  2. Okemo has been right on the border between snow and ice. It’s been ice storm after ice storm at Stratton. luckily there was enough snow on the backside of the last event to dust the crust enough to make it fun for experienced skiers/ridders. If at all possible I would go killington north
  3. Patterns have been so consistent I think you would have a good shot at nailing the forecast for next winter using this winter and last as the analogs. Obviously not what we want.
  4. I would feel fairly confident making that forecast. We need a major climatic event to reset the pattern
  5. Not saying it’s a lock, just that it wouldn’t be surprising. You could have taken last winter and made that your forecast for this winter and blown all the pro Mets out of the water for winter forecast
  6. I’m a big fan of the repeating pattern idea as well. Last February the vast majority of the board had thrown in the towel only to see that snow blitz. It’s entirely possible that something similar happens again
  7. From a horticulture perspective you do not want winter to return now. I have tons of perennials coming up on my campus. Add another week of warm weather next week and we will reach a point where the return of cold weather would damage this years bud sets. Let’s say we pulled off a late feb early March cold shot. 20s wouldn’t cause much damage but anything below 15 would be damaging
  8. Their forecast area goes all the way Into the dacks and southern greens and includes peaks over 3,000’. I would take that with a grain of salt south of kingston
  9. Had a great weekend at Stratton with firm groomers offering plenty of speed. Even in crap winters there are good days to be had if you put in the time.
  10. Based off the the incredible repeating pattern and the change in what the MJO means in March I think this winter isn’t over. After a warm February most will have stuck a fork in it only to have another March snow blitz.
  11. Where were you the last 10 years? 14/15 started on 1/20 as the foremost example. Patterns like to lock in our current climate and a change to cold is on the way. Find the cold find the snow... Even last years disaster had a nice 10 day blitz. This is not 01-02 or 11-12.
  12. Huh? For all intents and purposes it hasn’t started. Wall to wall winters are super rare here and will be even more so moving forward. Be happy with a solid 30-45 day period on the way
  13. Looks like those posts were made just before the winds swung around to ESE and really went off the scale. Up until that point (to a novice) it looked like we dodged a bullet. The tide posts I do not get, high tide hadn’t occurred and he was claiming victory. Either was that was the most epic bust on this forum of all time. He was like the captain on the titanic saying we can still make it when the ship was up in the air.
  14. I had one of my favorite mornings at Stratton of all time yesterday. I made sure to be there for first chair and had the place to myself until about 10 when everyone started showing up after New Years party’s. The 2” of sleet and ice had filled in gaps and 6” of snow over the following two days made for deceptively great conditions. Obviously it wasn’t enough to call it epic as it gets beat hard by afternoon. But for that golden 1.5 hours it was truly special.
  15. It’s exploded already more then likely, we just haven’t seen it yet. For everyone complaining about the lack of snow you do not have to go far to get to deep winter. I just saw every possible winter weather precip type over a three day period in Vermont. 1/4” ice storm, 2” of sleet including a sleet thunderstorm with 6 bolts. 4” of snow, a light snow break that lasted 24 hours and added another inch. And finally a snow squall that dropped 2” in 20 minutes.
  16. Pretty brutal conditions at Stratton today with limited terrain and shave ice on ice. Monster crowds and lots of newbs made for allot of crashes. They actually stoped spinning the upper mountain lifts early when it got too ridiculous. Tomorrow will be interesting to say the least.
  17. It’s the depreciation. The second you drive off the lot it’s like throwing dozens of hundred dollar bills out the window
  18. Yep, I’m putting in a few years building my resume here and then the plan is to move to a college in New England and run their grounds department and snow removal. Tons of schools up there that need a head of grounds. I’m so over New York City, I’d rather drive to work With no traffic from my 40 acre house.
  19. Your going to have to go 2 hours north of the city for a nice snow storm with this one, 80s style. I do not think anyone wants a crippling ice storm or mid 30s and heavy rain that we going to see south of there.
  20. I know, I was just messing with you. As long as your fiancé understands your obsession. I would at least move to the colder suburbs. You get so much more for your money too!
  21. He’s not going to budge. Why he would decide to marry a girl that hates cold and snow is beyond me. I just got out of a 15 year relationship with a cold and snow hater and now am with a lover. We have plans of moving to New England eventually and it’s a beautiful thing!
  22. Main thread for tomorrow is becoming unreadable. Too many posters that need to sit back and read more and post less.
  23. Great conditions today at Stratton with that mid winter vibe. The 20” earlier in the week and 4” yesterday have the place cruising. Even with the hit this week there will still be plenty of snow left
  24. My buddy’s said Stratton was ruff in the afternoon. Ice everywhere, glad I wasn’t there!
  25. Days one and two this past weekend at Killington. Natural snow was very limited with only a few inches. Being killington there was plenty of man made snow on the trails that were open. The problem was it was packed and by the afternoon the bottle necks were so pushed off that it became a dangerous Ice to moguls mine field. I saw multiple serious injury’s. There were way too many beginners out for those types of conditions and no easy terrain open. I took it easy after my double injury winter last year (broken collar bone followed by shattered wrist).
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