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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Can’t wait to hear what Mitch got! It’s going to be a long week waiting to get up there!! Tuff living on the coast. 0 at home .5” at work in NYC
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed, I have a feeling this is a big winners and losers day. Someone has a surprise 8” all out snow storm and someone has scraps and a coating
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    One thing to watch for the coast is the wind direction. It’s going to be tuff to get temps low enough for accumulations until the wind goes North. I’m thinking 1-2” at home on the south shore and 3-5” at work on the far UWS where I’ll be posting from. Be careful using snow maps as your source for QPF and where banding sets up. There is more further East that could be shown as rain that may actually be snow
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    40 in wantagh with a NE wind
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It ripped for about 20 min in the city, monster flakes with a peak rate probably 2”/hr ended up getting .5” from that. I made a big pile to see if I could get it to last until tomorrow. The joys of snow removal
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed, in the era of blockbuster storms clobbered would be something like the deform band in feb 06 which dumped something like 18” in the park alone. That’s not happening even in the perfect scenario tomorrow. i still like 2-8” for the park tomorrow
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m expecting a tuff day of snow removal tomorrow. Today was a breeze with half an inch that’s washing away. I’ll be able to plow away some of the leaves that are still falling! someone is in for a big big surprise tomorrow
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There’s not going to be any sleet with that band. It’s cold aloft but warm at the surface. Your going to need it to rip for the surface temps to crash and snow to accumulate. Your going to lose some qpf to rain
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pouring on the uws, it’s got to be incredibly nasty where temps are still below freezing with this batch of heavy precip
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That could easily be underdone in the city if we end up in the right band, or it could be the complete opposite. Big time now cast tomorrow
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Monster parachutes!!!
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I have 100% snow on 120th and broadway
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Moderate snow now with accumulation on the uws!!
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Sleet on the uws with a glaze of freezing rain on colder surfaces
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There is an obs thread i think the best bet for the city and coast is to set expectations low and hope for banding to setup tomorrow further east the forecast. As of right now this has the hallmarks of many storms pre 2000. You want to be as far NW as possible
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I think it’s a function of the mid levels being warmer then expected. Not a good sign for round one
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Started as plain rain on the Uws! I wasn’t. Expecting that at all
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    My buddy’s said Stratton was ruff in the afternoon. Ice everywhere, glad I wasn’t there!
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah I figure about the same seasonal snowfall as wantagh. I wouldn’t use December 2005, this is so completely different. temps and dews are lower then originally forecast up here. My campus is elevated on morningside heights right next to the Hudson. Expecting double here then home. Looks like we will get at least some accumulation this morning with the ground now cold
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, the south shore is going to struggle like usual. I’m looking forward to doing well at work on 120th and Broadway. I can usually expect to see a couple extra inches compared to the rest of the city in marginal events owing to fact that I’m about as far Nw as you can get. That’s were I am for 99% of NYC snow events. And by the way I moved from wantagh to Lynbrook on franklin Ave very close to Malvenre so we are neighbors now!
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    29 at the wantagh meso. Hanging on to a prayer for Monday evening.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s still entirely possible and why I’m sticking to 2-8” for the city for now. I really think someone in the metro area sees a surprise Monday evening. The where exactly is impossible to predict .
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Clouds moving in and temp 35 at the wantagh meso. Glad I’ll be on the far uws side for this instead of home on the snow starved south shore
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I think this is one of the wacky storms where right up against the sound rains while 2 miles inland scores. The front end is going to be a whole lot of nothing on the island regardless. It comes down to banding on the backside. I wouldn’t throw in the towel for you. Your in a good spot for a backside surprise
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    They do not have the elevation to get the lift on the easterly flow that the southern greens have. You can really ring out the moisture on the east side of the greens in these events. Regardless it should be close with more synoptic precip further south. If I had to pick a precise jackpot it would be mt. Graylock at 3491’ in the Berkshires. It’s going to puke snow out there for 36 hours. Down in the city round two is a tuff call. I’m hesitant to go big based on past events underperforming on the back side. But with the right band pivoting through you could surprise all the way to 8” hence my 2-8” call
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