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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Great question. Number one on my list would be one “60 storm. Hard to make happen but not completely impossible. A powerful slowly occluding low in just the right spot could do it. Feb 13 in CT style rates. Other then that I agree on the 10, 6” storms. Maximum snow removal = maximum money. 6” is a great plowable number. Ideally falling from mid December to mid February for maximum pack retention.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Conditions were solid mid winter in SVT this weekend. Enough coverage to finally get into the trees. The line between awful winter and decent is right around the MA/VT border.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    You need to be inland and elevated to pull anything off. And I mean well inland and well elevated
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I was just talking about that with my coworkers this morning. Back up to snowy Vermont for a three day weekend. Can’t wait. Our pain had been their gain lately. Amazingly there is no snow south of Vermont, even in the high elevations of the Berkshires
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Chance of verifying, .00000000000001% it’s almost easier to just not look at this point. We need something major, like a SSW to completely reshuffle the pattern. Unfortunately that’s just not happening with such an intense and stable +AO
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Okemo has been right on the border between snow and ice. It’s been ice storm after ice storm at Stratton. luckily there was enough snow on the backside of the last event to dust the crust enough to make it fun for experienced skiers/ridders. If at all possible I would go killington north
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I would feel confident making a forecast for next winter mirroring this and last winter. The pattern is incredibly persistent. Stuck.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Patterns have been so consistent I think you would have a good shot at nailing the forecast for next winter using this winter and last as the analogs. Obviously not what we want.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed, the theme has been to amp amp amp. Even if we get one of these to half work I’ll be happy. I have a new guy on my crew and would love to actually do a little snow removal
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m in the same boat, share house is at Stratton, but I do have an ikon and could head to sugar bush. I think southern Vermont is in for another ice storm. But 6” on the back side could make it fun. There is allot more snow up there right now then You would think.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I would feel fairly confident making that forecast. We need a major climatic event to reset the pattern
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not saying it’s a lock, just that it wouldn’t be surprising. You could have taken last winter and made that your forecast for this winter and blown all the pro Mets out of the water for winter forecast
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Amazing fetch, that’s going to create one monster swell aimed at Europe. I would Not be surprised to see some of the largest waves ever ridden at Nazaree Portugal. It’s too bad that thing will not disrupt the PV and drop the AO
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I tend to agree there could be some strong winds and damage with this. It’s been relatively calm for a couple weeks wind wise. I’m looking forward to enjoying the right side of the storm in Vermont tomorrow
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m a big fan of the repeating pattern idea as well. Last February the vast majority of the board had thrown in the towel only to see that snow blitz. It’s entirely possible that something similar happens again
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    From a horticulture perspective you do not want winter to return now. I have tons of perennials coming up on my campus. Add another week of warm weather next week and we will reach a point where the return of cold weather would damage this years bud sets. Let’s say we pulled off a late feb early March cold shot. 20s wouldn’t cause much damage but anything below 15 would be damaging
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Their forecast area goes all the way Into the dacks and southern greens and includes peaks over 3,000’. I would take that with a grain of salt south of kingston
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Simple, complete lack of arctic high pressure. Add more moisture in the atmosphere and it’s continuously cloudy.
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Had a great weekend at Stratton with firm groomers offering plenty of speed. Even in crap winters there are good days to be had if you put in the time.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Unfortunately, if we do not see a major change in sea surface temps down in tropics we could be stuck in this pattern long term. I still think March produces as the MJO reality’s change at that time
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Based off the the incredible repeating pattern and the change in what the MJO means in March I think this winter isn’t over. After a warm February most will have stuck a fork in it only to have another March snow blitz.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    At this point hope for a SSWA. We need a full scale pattern change or the curtains are closing
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Back over to moderate snow svt. Ended up being a much more frozen event then expected here. I wonder if it has to do with the strong lift and greens
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Moderate rain snow mix at 1200’ in SVT. Looks like heavy snow on the cams at Stratton. Doubt it lasts long
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’ll be at 2k+ in southern Vermont and expecting an all snow event.
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