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I recall 2004 being a surprise white Thanksgiving. Rain changed to snow.

I’ve noticed them last week or so.

Compromise between 18z Euro and 18z GFS = reality for the Dec 2-3 time frame?

Looks like they're bringing the cold back in after the 1st. maybe some chances there?

Christmas eve seems to always have a cutter and you can set your watch to it.

Can’t remember the last time we had such a long duration of steady rain.

yes it looks like the snow is headed to the Midwest quickly over the weekend

Different ways of getting there but GFS and Euro manage to drop 5” of slop on those runs.

Anybody else notice moths while driving around at night? I think it's that yearly hatch of who knows what bug.

We had about a foot of snow a few days after Turkey Day back in 2018. Picked up a half inch of rain in the morning and switched over to very heavy wet snow. Best November event for snow I've ever seen here hands down.

Can't wait till this gets in nam's range. Ha

18z AI Euro ticked northwest. Gives the coast and Inland some accumulations.

I was born in 1962. I can recall two Thanksgiving events. 1975 and that tree snapper about 10 years ago. Both were a sloppy mess with crap ratios. Both underperformed just based on early season climatology.

I'm dreading the inevitable dry slot

It is this. It started down by Tulsa on the previous day

Hope so! Festive mood flakes are great for business

Yeah 18z Euro gets the rain up to I-80 in IL now. Another bump north and Eurythmics will be playing at ALEK's lol.

18z euro continues the heartbreak here. Man I wish I was more north. Stupid waa

18z euro has a slightly stronger low, and a rain/snow line similar (slightly north) to the 12z. still sketchy if ur a chicago poster

That absolutely ripped my soul out. Full blown Kali Mah heart ripped out. When the cape pounded I ripped into some Jack Daniels.

Haha I remember that!!

December 07 saw 20 inches wiped down to nothing on Christmas eve, that was a bummer.

I’m really hoping my reports will be needed this winter!

Best was Patrick o'hearn downhill racer

Periods of rain are likely tonight into tomorrow morning. Tomorrow will be unseasonably mild with temperatures topping out in the upper 50s and lower 60s across the region. Colder air will rush into the region tomorrow night. The closing days of November will be much colder. There is potential for New York City's Central Park to experience its first freeze of 2025. The 1991-2020 normal first data is November 21. The 1961-1990 baseline was November 11. Last winter's first freeze occurred on November 30. The opening days of December will turn milder. However, colder conditions could begin to develop during the second half of that week and continue through the second week of December. Severe cold appears unlikely through at least the first 10 days of December. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around November 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.16°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.65°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through at least mid-winter. The SOI was +7.63 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.426 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 90% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.9° (1.1° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.8° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.