All Activity

For me it wouldn’t be “suffering”. It isn’t anything like, say, bad health/getting sick. “Suffering” is too harsh a word from my standpoint even though it’s not at all what I prefer as I want it colder than normal at any point in the year. The good thing is that it’s my favorite season of the year and warmer than normal in winteris still much better than, say, below normal in summer. In addition, this warmer period will be following one of the coldest 3 week periods from Thanksgiving through the first 17 or so days of December I’ve ever experienced and easily the coldest since 2010. Even if it’s going to be mild for awhile, forecast discussions would still be interesting in the most volatile season of all, winter.

I wouldn't call the 12z GFS or Canadian OP a torch for Christmas. Haven't seen the Euro yet. We are also still 9 days out . . .

Sit around the fire drinking coco? BTW I think this illustration is from Mt. Tolland.

Yes, but it was a hell of a 30 year run!

Lots of fine ways to jackpot in a storm

I would think so since this is something that gradually built up rather than what happened in @tamarack's story. It directly hangs over another smaller section of the building.

I forgot to mention this yesterday, but one of the Glacier National Park web cams had water drops, that is, rain. That is a result of such warm air.

I bet they enjoyed a good ice storm

Santa's been around since the start of time

Thanks brother ! I hope and pray your Wife gets well and you stay healthy. Dr said Flu was bad here too. He said Covid was too but it's Symptoms haven't been as bad as the other Viruses.

Never fails for Christmas. Lol idk why it irritates me so damn bad, I do like that millions of other peeps will be turning on the AC during dinner. Lol

Yeah, Kris Kringle or Jesus weren't even birthed yet.. lol

So Euro caved?

Get better soon. My wife has been battling a cough congestion over a month now. She never gets sick. The flu from all accounts is brutal this year.

Since 1980, for December cases with a WPO of -2 or below: PNA<0: 84.1%; PNA>0: 15.9%.

Today is the 5th anniversary of the December 2020 snowstorm. This weekend's snowstorm was the biggest December snowstorm since then.

-5 just outside of Houtzdale this morning.

A -AO allows for the Cold in the Arctic and Northern Lats to spill further South. +AO tends to keep it bottled up North. It's not guaranteed cold here as if other Drivers force a Trough in the West it can still be mild here. It however increases odds of the real Cold air of reaching the lower Latitudes by a good margin. Doesn't mean you can't get it to get cold , or even snow in our area with a +AO as sometimes with the right 500 mb Setup CPF can occur.

The scary thing to see is that for the foreseeable future, including into early January, most of the cold is bottled up in Canada and New England. While cold air can be brought down by a storm, CONUS will be literally almost entirely void of snow and cold through early January. This prime time for building snowpack up north and west which can held cool down some temperatures. At some point that ridge will have to roll over and we'll take that warmth on the chin. It would be preferable to have some storminess and cold to ring in the New Year

We probably need some heavy changes if we're gonna get that 12th straight La Nina +PNA Jan after a -PNA Dec. I don't see a -2.5 on 12/31 flipping to positive before 1/10 or 1/15. Does not mean we won't see cold and snow though if the AO/NAO are negative

Lol…their lifespan was 30 something.

I wasn’t born yet lol but looking back on the weather history, the 1989-90 winter was probably (easily) the most extreme pattern flip we’ve seen in the last 50 years. We went from a record cold arctic tundra starting in November right through the end of December, then got a big cutter on New Year’s Eve and that was all she wrote, light switch flip to an unmitigated torch for all of January and February….

I received 7" in Syosset on my snowboard (white azek board). I'm sure I could have gotten 8" plus going around my yard with a ruler into the ground.

I was too young (about a year and a half), but the weather records show that the January 1990 average temperature was 15 degrees warmer than the December 1989 average temperature. That type of temperature jump is something you see from March -> April or April -> May. You don't see that in the dead of winter. It's like spring began in January that season.