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From WPC: Probability of overall major storm impact: Probability of major snowfall amount:

I mean it is the NYP. Overhype is their MO.

We had a foot in cnj in feb 2024. .

I'm a Sox fan (see location). I think it's a pretty good haul for a guy that's probably not gonna be around for any possible winning window. Fein has a good chance of getting into the t100 very soon, and the others guys are really good high upside plays. Rosario and Fitz-Gerald (yes with a hyphen) had a ton of helium before they got injured this year, with Rosario likely out for all of 2027 because of TJ. Don't know about the last two guys.

Yeah I’m liking that on Monday. Stout ENE flow 925-850 with temps 10-15F.

No power = no Ji

Boring

Sorry I thought EURO was swinging better. I’m doing copium trying to breath life into the GFS

Mostly good ratios and strong cold air that we haven't seen ahead of a storm like this in quite some time. Sorry for being vague but I've never been one to write it all out since I'm usually too tired or burned out from work to write it.

Love it @Ellinwood!

Wife is at Costco central nj. No milk or eggs left. A lot of other stuff gone too. She got the lactose free junk she drinks. Stuff always tastes like it’s sour. It’s panic time . .

How are you gonna say it's wishful thinking when you didn't even look at it? Sounds more like your a Debbie thinking

This. If it says 1” I’d expect 0.50”. However, with the cold temps and light rates, it could be higher than normal in some cases

Hubbardston better be loaded up or Dave is going to have a conniption.

Noice!! Winter storm Fern on the Weather Channel…looking pretty sweet! I mean I’m buying if they sellin.

Strongly agree with your conclusion...but not getting worse today is a win. We lose a lot more than we win around these parts.

The rgem an CMC are always too amped an the Euro made a move to the GFS 2 runs in a row. The gfs ai an euro AI are almost nearly identical. An both bring a foot or more to the city. If the euro makes another move to the GFS tonight. You still gonna write it off? I understand that the GFS could go back the other way. But it's been steady

I think that's a bit of wishful thinking. The GFS is still on its own with jackpot snows from DCA to NYC. If the 18z was better than 12z, it was a minor shift. I haven't seen good images yet of 500mb/700mb/850mb.

Doesn't matter what falls. Central Park will log in the books 3.8"

what's folks' take on the Nats trade with the Rangers? Feels like some shit Rizzo would've done - we sure he's still not the GM?

C’mon Blizz you know you’re going at least 15”

If that warm nose ends up at +10 degrees or more like some models have shown there ain't nothing stopping that. At that point it's all about that surface level wedge being deeper for sleet.

Yep and that’s going over areas that will get over .50 of ice… Sometimes you have to look at a model and just say that doesn’t look right. EURO hasn’t looked right to me. .

It actually makes sense. the ai models are just glorified analogue forecast. the both use advanced ML techniques to train on a enormous data sets. Both models are probably trained on more or less the same data and probably use similar techniques

Weather channel going for the southern ice apocalypse and 12-18 for nyc