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Current temp of 48 is the low. .23” of precip with a bit more on the way.

Yeah, would be nice for the lower soil moisture to get at least one major storm system while the blocking and STJ is in place.

I try to not get too far ahead of things and just say at this point the temperatures next winter will probably be warmer than last winter was in the Northeast. Just hoping we can keep some semblance of a benchmark track going especially as we approach late January and February. I wouldn’t mind a mild winter at all if we could get a least one nice backloaded style event. The difference between 2015-2016 and 2023-2024 was that we got a great blocking pattern one winter and not so great the other winter. Even 2023-2024 had a good one week period in February with 2 events. But they were narrowly focused into portions of NJ and SNE really couldn’t cash in as much. We did get that record STJ in February associated with the larger event. Obviously, we would want to avoid a 97-98 outcome where we really didn’t get much snow at all. Unfortunately, we just don’t have the technology to forecast snowfall and blocking so many months in advance. Climate Reanalyzer now has the 500mb reanalysis maps. But they are delayed a bit to around the 8th of the following month. https://climatereanalyzer.org

Seed and fertilizer down. Bring on the rain

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/mar-13-15-2023

I’m pretty sure mine will be on at least one morning in the next couple of days. 50 out there now with .18” thru the tipper so far.

Looks like some frozen precip is working into the west side of the Catskills. I don't want to turn the heat back on...

Evidence of anomalous westerlies and an El Niño standing wave setting up….

42.8° with showers

Beautiful spring AM in New England.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1159 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 MDZ011-504-506-508-VAZ036-037-053-055-056-527-191200- /O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0003.260421T0600Z-260421T1400Z/ Southern Baltimore-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Nelson-Albemarle-Fairfax- Stafford-Spotsylvania-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1159 PM EDT Sat Apr 18 2026 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 29 to 32 degrees possible, especially northwest of I-95. * WHERE...In Maryland, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Southeast Harford, and Southern Baltimore Counties. In Virginia, Albemarle, Nelson, Spotsylvania, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Fairfax, and Stafford Counties. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

I hate this weather.

Moderate to heavy rainfall this morning with a temp of 42 degrees and very gusty winds.

Got lucky with another shower band moving through.....nice yard soaking and pollen eraser. About .4 at this time.

For Overnight Monday/ Tuesday am, Widespread freeze watch in effect for all areas including Eastern Shore except inside Beltways and SE MD (where frost is expected) WB 6Z 3K NAM

.25 so far....I will take every drop....

WB 0Z EPS continues to show wet and cooler late April/ early May.

48 and misty here

Summah! Hopefully a nice little preview of what’s to come back at home about a month from now, minus the bath water ocean ofc . Sending you all my best from the emerald coast.

Scored 2 more than the Phils but yeah, gets me a bit pumped especially against Pitt...

Yep the valley torched 85-90, we avoided any ocean influence until basically today, and everything really exploded. We're always the furthest ahead this time of year. The Hartford/Wethersfield area on 91 is basically full blown leaf out.

One down, 15 to go

93.7 here today. 4 straight days of at least 90. This would be considered hot in July. April rainfall remains 0.01”

Like clockwork the soaking rain that was forecast will be almost nothing.

At the same time you can already notice a pattern change,you can actually see this in East Asia as the MJO goes into the WH into the IO,you see more troughs,we should see a wetter pattern as we get into the 3rd week of April upcoming and more than likely into May