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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Had a 31 MPH gust with the baby shelf and then it was over. Instantly calm. Some decent rain incoming. 62F YouCut_20260405_122538730.mp4 -
2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The SW, US heat ridge, spreading east through the Midwest, Tenn valley, and Mid Atlantic makes more sense! -
Heavy rain here. 55 degrees
- 170 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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(and 2 more)
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I'm losin'it...
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Amazing you have anything. Different world from here.
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2026-2027 El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Back in 2023-2024 there was a pretty big spread between ONI and RONI. The ONI peaked at +2.1 C and the RONI at +1.5 C .Yet the 500 mb pattern across the Northern Tier and Canada was similar to 1997-1998 with the CONUS setting the warmest winter on record. Perhaps the weaker RONI was related to the lack of a robust Nino trough across Mid-Atlantic and Southeast and weaker Aleutian Low. Plus we got a big global temperature super El Niño baseline jump even higher than 1997-1998 and 2015-2016. Also note the global temperatures hardly fell in 2025. -
3.04 since night before last.
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Since I posted that, I have had enough rain to get to .15, but still not a lot. Better than zero though.
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So tired of the clouds. Depressing
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Spring has yet to arrive in Marquette County. There's been a handful of days above freezing but no real significant thaw weather to speak of. Snowpack is about as dense as it gets with 16-18 inches Liquid locked in. A shot of colder air this evening into tomorrow could yield 4-6 inches locally. Looking ahead, snow is probably not done but maybe big storms are. A few pics from this morning.
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You remind me of Patrick Star from SpongeBob SquarePants -
Yikes I ended up with more than you.
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Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
WeatherGeek2025 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
happy Easter everyone! -
The ice on my pool is almost melted
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I think my biggest concern is the injury bug that has hit the org the past year to 18 months. And every time its a key piece. Overall very frustrating time since the end of the 24 regular season.
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.09 inches so far. That's the extent of my rain. It has been hard to get good rain.
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Super mega Nino coming. At least the drought will be gone when we get no snow next year?
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Thanks, Charlie. 1. Isn’t the range of science based predictions of the amount of GW in the very longterm in a pretty wide range as opposed to a narrow range? My understanding is that he’s near the lower end of that range. 2. In addition to the warming effect of increased CO2, there are other factors that could come into play. Spencer believes that there are negative feedback factors that will ultimately limit the amount of GW compared to most model projections. That’s supposedly why he’s near the lower end of the range. 3. He said it MAY even be beneficial not that it would definitely be beneficial. There’s the potential benefit of larger global crop sizes due to a greener planet resulting from a combo of longer growing seasons where they’re currently grown, an increase in the amount of crops grown in higher latitudes, and the increased CO2 photosynthesis effect. Also, cold has killed a good bit more than heat from what I’ve read. However, I do realize that eventually deaths from heat will rise enough to potentially start killing more than cold though that would likely still be a long ways off if that were to happen. Could these good things outweigh the bad things and make it net beneficial? I’m not saying that but it could be debated. Personally, I’m worried about rising sea levels. 4. A greener Earth could be one of the negative feedbacks that Spencer has cited since greener means cooler highs such as has occurred in the Midwest. In addition, drought frequency in the Midwest has dropped since the 1990s.
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2026-2027 El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
At least this year snowman19 has something tangible to hang his hat on to get a warm winter. By last fall he had relegated to posting 3,127 tweets about high solar. lol -
^My neighborhood sentinel^ LOL
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Decent front end thump moving in... 55F -
0.22” of rain since 9am. including in new car. Sunroof left open overnight by someone else.
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