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Ha. Psychostick. I saw them live back in September. Funny dudes.

It did. Very Short lived though. I feel this will be too. Anyway, go have fun in the sun, and stay off your phone. We’ll hold down the fort for you.

This dropped to 13.9 at 7:30! , excellent radiational cooling.

Great job. For some reason, this type of pattern has preceded El Niño development. So it will be interesting to see how things go since this has been the most amplified version of the pattern we have seen in December.

Because its the 84 hour NAM - would be interesting if it ends up leading the way.........the 06Z run is not giving up the northward track yet

Looking like mostly rain here on the far southwest edge of today's wave.

Hope it’s right. Tired of cold and cracked bare ground. Would love to sneak in some 50s and sun

Some mood flakes and a dusting to start the morning. But my current focus is on the upcoming pattern that looks to offer some real chances, including a strong west-based -NAO pattern. The first chance appears to be this weekend with a southern slider that, at first glance, appears to be a miss to the south. However, the track is very close to the benchmark for our area and it would not take much of a north trend to produce here. Temps are marginal, but evaporative cooling and melting along the system's northern edge could help produce enough diabatic cooling to support a changeover to snow.

That’s what happened mid December which I mentioned earlier in December.

EPO tanks and we warm up before hopefully the cold spreads east. That’s called climo for these.

This weekend still has potential for a light event

This is different with no block and a SE ridge.

24.1, dusting last night

Nothing. Way to go, Euro.

Heavy dusting

Record low sea ice thickness this year near the North Pole due to how much warmer than normal it has been there. https://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

Currently 23.2/16.3 with a few flurries in the air. It flurried yesterday morning until 9-10 am, and started again overnight around 4-5 am, but never enough to accumulate. Still nice seeing it fall, and it has been chilly! Fell back into upper teens right after midnight, but slowly rose once the clouds (and flurries) returned, low 18.3 degrees.

First half of January is toast. The blistering hot start to winter has come to a screeching halt. Signs of a more active and colder second half of January though, we shall see. Pretty disheartening to be wasting peak winter like this.

You’re certainly not wrong. Love how the vacation guy weenies you for saying exactly what has happened every single time this autumn, and now early winter season.

That ain’t even a torch for New England…all the best with that Ken.

It’s starting to look like a +TNH develops maybe just after we pass mid-January into late January. The caveat with +TNH patterns is that they are also correlated with +AO (+NAM), +NAO and a healthy SE ridge. So, while certainly arctic cold, it’s not going to be a “KU” pattern with ‘big dog’ snowstorms up the I-95 corridor, DC-BOS as some folks on twitter are saying….

Forecasts seems to have bumped up to 4”+ around this way. With the 1.5” we have on the ground already, this will provide a nice blanket for the week with the weather. Nice to have snow on the ground again and be getting chances over 1” rather than what it’s felt like the last few years of chasing anything.

Nice! Appears to have been virga here

Every time they’ve tried to warm up they reverse back to cold since the fall. Same thing will happen again

In all honesty, it feels like we have had back to back wins here. The 8ish inch storm (2nd biggest in 4 years). Then despite the cutter/rain, still ended up with full snow coverage afterwards. Prior years, that would have been wiped out with only a brown glacier left behind...it actually looks and feels like winter, during winter, at least around here. The kids actually got to sled, when we got back yeaterday, I definitely did not think that was going to be possible after all the rain....now lets get some more next month