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  2. That's so wrong in so many ways. I would say I have a 70% completion rate with a 112 rating especially with the big ones.
  3. What event?? We had no wind whatsoever in Westfield. Last Friday night, now THAT was some wind around midnight
  4. track would be a banger month or two later but should be a white rain event at best imby few models selling some LES making it's way into NE IL, riding obviously
  5. Yeah the wind woke me up, it was ripping pretty good but thankfully appeared to be just above treetop level here.
  6. There are no exaggerations involved since its stuff that has already happened. The warmer the seasons get, the more they are falling into these repeating patterns. Both the actual patterns and the model error or bias patterns. It’s a reliable feature for better long range forecasting.
  7. Those enhanced trades in the CPAC are destructively interfering with MJO propagation, which is why it has really slowed down. While I believe it does propagate into phase 6, I have serious doubts as to what happens once it starts getting into phase 7…
  8. WBAL still mentioning snow for early next week. Nothing accumulating but exciting all the same
  9. Wind was insane last night. Even though I only had a gust of 37 (because I live down in the hollow) If i'd walk up on the hill from my house I could hear those winds were much stronger. Wife was in bed when that came through and she said it sounded like there was thunder with it (probably explains why my German Shepherd was not on the porch, she went and hid). Picked up .05 rain with that too.
  10. What we know when we look back.. Blend of Model gust tool was 15 MPH conservative---just not a valid-useful product for this situation. I e en checked the 19z issuance yesterday--- cant use it for this kind of CAA pattern with 35 MB difference between the departing New England low and the Central Plains high pressure system.
  11. Not bad. Im going to wait until tomorrow to really dive into this thing and see where this goes. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  12. Today
  13. Yeah even ack was barely gusting 55ish.. Not sure BOS/ORH peak but looked like around 50 ish. Meh
  14. Still out but it’s no big deal. The only thing in my fridge is some Kraft cheese and beer.
  15. Was still blasting well after midnight... max gusts since 2AM this morning. Also news accounts of trees down in Queens etc. KACK: Nantucket, Nantucket Memorial Airport, MA, United States [48kt, 25m/s] KBDR: Bridgeport, CT, United States [45kt, 23m/s] KBOS: Boston, Logan Intl Arpt, MA, United States [43kt, 22m/s] KBVY: Beverly, Beverly Municipal Airport, MA, United States [42kt, 22m/s] KCQX: Chatham, Chatham Municipal Airport, MA, United States [42kt, 22m/s] KEWB: New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA, United States [41kt, 21m/s] KEWR: Newark, Newark Intl Arpt, NJ, United States [46kt, 24m/s] KFOK: Westhampton Beach, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s] KFRG: Farmingdale, Republic Airport, NY, United States [44kt, 23m/s] KGON: Groton/New London, CT, United States [47kt, 24m/s] KHPN: White Plains, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s] KHWV: Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s] KISP: Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY, United States [43kt, 22m/s] KJFK: JFK Intl Arpt, NY, United States [42kt, 22m/s] KLGA: New York, La Guardia Airport, NY, United States [47kt, 24m/s] KMDT: Harrisburg, Harrisburg Intl Arpt, PA, United States [40kt, 21m/s] KMTP: Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY, United States [41kt, 21m/s] KNHK: Patuxent River, Naval Air Stn, MD, United States [43kt, 22m/s] KOQU: N. Kingston / Quonset, RI, United States [45kt, 23m/s] KORH: Worcester, Worcester Regional Airport, MA, United States [44kt, 23m/s] KPVC: Provincetown, MA, United States [43kt, 22m/s] KPVD: Providence, RI, United States [44kt, 23m/s]
  16. The 06z GFS is starkly different than other modeling regarding snow shower chances. We'll see which way they go over the next 48-72 hours. This may be an all winter trend, as it seems is often the case of very different outcomes being shown by it and the Euro until the last minute.
  17. Decent fail with the models on this one; maybe one decent gust at 2am. Hopefully DIT didn’t hit too many leaves on his morning run.
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