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  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Torch TigerI'm really not trying to be a weenie, but you have to be careful with convection and multiple lows. Believe, I don't aim to look like an ass and hedge in the wrong direction, but sometimes it just works out that way.
  3. CoastalWx
    Even 25 miles will help out. I don’t want to hype myself up for disappointment.
  4. HIPPYVALLEY
    I just did the pot of boiling water into the air trick for my wife and teenager. I could tell they were somewhat impressed, but also annoyed by my enthusiasm.
  5. MickeyTim6533
    snooze fest
  6. WeatherGeek2025
    i shouldbe just stuck to the euro ai solution and stayed quiet now i look like a bad forecaster on my weather page. oh well lesson learned
  7. Kasper
  8. buckeyefan1
    That’s absolutely beautiful
  9. housemtnTN
    Oh, well thats interesting LOL
  10. ldub23
    If you want good news the SREF has a general 0.7 of precip over central and SEVA which if we get 15-1 rates could be 10+
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    00z...06z was a bit worse, but F5 doesn't have the off hour data.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    February is about all there is to talk about in the medium range now. State of the atmosphere at the end of January, 2026:
  13. jm1220
    Thanks! Excellent job as always.
  14. EastonSN+
    Lol yeah. Repeat of 1970 through 1999. Few and far between.
  15. JakkelWx
  16. JKEisMan
    In any case, I’m still watching the nam and mesoscales today, screw the globals.
  17. JakkelWx
    i think its cold outside.
  18. CoastalWx
    What run is that? it just seems like too much suppression. Maybe I get grazed here, but was hoping for something to help out this winter in another tier.
  19. franklin NCwx
    Appreciate that!
  20. JenkinsJinkies
    Everybody here is claiming snow storms. So I’m going to go very long range and claim an 80 degree day sometime in the week after Easter. We’ll have to torch eventually and what better time than early April? We’ll have earned it by then.
  21. dendrite
    TOL +6 IJD -10 BOS +12 OWD -15
  22. olafminesaw
    I am guessing most of those Eastern solutions are showing an elongated low with deeper pressure on the East side. The GFS OP has this feature, but the primary low on the West side
  23. tnweathernut
    The truth is probably somewhere in the middle of these QPF amounts on the euro. One thing I mentioned to Carvers yesterday…….. how many times out of 10 things trend (and verify) east and south of modeling inside of 72 hours. My guess would be 1. Doesn’t mean Knoxville area cant work its way out of a snow, but it’s not like it’s a bad thing being on the north and west edge of guidance 36-48 hours out.
  24. GBOVolz
    It just increased our snow just a little from 4” @ 10/1 to 80” at 10/1 [emoji23][emoji23][emoji23] .
  25. eaglesin2011
    Again, we don’t want it to move that much more north than it already is.. Dry air would kill us even more .. 3-7 is perfect for me.. I actually would like to be able to get out of my neighborhood in the next week lol
  26. PackGrad05
    I'll gladly take a central NC screw zone of 2-3 inches. Still more snow than 95% of the systems we get. WRAL first call going with 3-6 inches for central NC.
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