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I'm extremely impressed by this start to February, particularly for high temperatures. Unusually large diurnal ranges are keeping the mean temperatures in check to an extent, but max temps have been soaring. With the current forecast, odds look very good for a top 10 warm February nationally, perhaps top 5. Average high temps are well within striking distance of a number two finish (1954's +7.34F over 1991-2020 mean would be a stretch).

At least baseball season is starting, something to look forward to. Love the Bassitt signing.

The latest teleconnection forecasts have turned increasingly toward an AO+ as February moves into its final week. If these forecasts are accurate, the return of colder weather, albeit not severely cold, following the February thaw that remains likely through February 20 +/- a few days could wind up being fairly short-lived. If so, even if February ends with cooler than normal temperatures as suggested by the ECMWF weeklies, a milder regime could rebuild during the opening week of March. Forecasting skill for the teleconnections is fairly low beyond 10-14 days, so it will probably be another 5-7 days before one can be more confident about the outcome for the first week of March. Finally, the cooler weather with some opportunities for rainfall that will build into the Southwest by the middle of next week probably won't last more than a week. Warmer temperatures should return to close February.

? how bad could it have been, what did you go with

19th is the time frame i've been watching, That's our next shot i think.

WGAL posted that MDT has had 17 consecutive days with at least 5" of snow, ranking as the 15th longest stretch and first since 1994. Yesterday broke Harrisburg’s 19 day run of lows below 20 - that’s the 7th longest streak.

Might make a run at 60 mid next week. Mid 50s look likely at this point.

Wouldn’t take much on the gfs to make later next week more exciting.

Hey! Theres a thunderstorm crew that will be showing up here soon. We'll track severe that always fails too lol

And the CMC is a no-go. She dead y'all. I blame the tarriffs for this.

Two of my favorite ski experiences ever. Wildcat and Bretton Woods - senior year of high school. Fuck that was a long time ago.

Same with snowmobiling.. unless you buy used, and do all your own repairs and maintenance.

I just don't want to hit 60° this month. It can start March 1st, but my Co-Op site is just 16 days away from having it's first winter in a decade with no 60°+ readings. This is a meaningless stat that only matters to me, but it's important to my sanity for some reason. Just give me this.

Upslope? Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Best post I've read so far today.

bncho is averaging almost 7 posts per day since his join date. I expect to get 7 inches of snow from this system. Better perform.

Well...no. It's more like when I'm looking for outies, but the algorithm keeps showing me innies

It's been a great year for xc, which relies almost entirely on natural snow. Aside from a couple of days post-Grinch right before xmas, there's been good-to-excellent skiing in most of CNE/NNE, and since late Jan, in SNE as well. Tickets are much cheaper, and in many cases groomed trails are free to use.

13 is mad foxy

This is all great info ... I'll just add that it is annoying at time to wonder if the general zeitgeist of denialism hasn't been enabled. If you look at this site, https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/ and cursory start going back month after month ... large numbers of them emerge that feature a region of cooler anomaly, either occurring right smack in the midst of one of human society's greatest contributing Industrial anuses ... or, near enough by to wonder if the sensibility was touched. We are not registering the big heat of CC like other places. We've had some memorable heat waves...yeah. But they rarer comparative to frequencies elsewhere. Our low temperatures are in particular, more notable in that regards spanning much of the GL/OV/MA/NE/SE Canadian region. That's obviously and intuitively related to WV increases ... but given the perennial circulation modal constraints, as the Pac flow moves across North America's topography, our experience is preordained. Well fuck if I can't make my point yet again... I just happened to check and NASA just finished tabulating the January numbers and there it is again. The festering cold holes collocated with policy making-villes of the world ...and on and on and on we go - I just wonder/feel at times if what is needed is not having these blind the Idiocrasy from sensing the reality. Because this bias might be doping the minds of the general civility. Otherwise, maybe human kind will register the direly needed renaissance in their thinking about this issue

I saw the following image today: I’m not doubting the general accuracy of this. For example, this shows NO record lows at KATL vs 37 record highs since 2020. The last record low there including ties was way back on 9/7/2017! So, the zero record lows is confirmed. A better representation of the SE US to minimize the warming effects of UHI as well as warming from increased traffic on airport runways (big problem at ATL for example) would be to use a rural station like the far N GA small town of Blairsville, GA, which has a pretty long record (back to 1931): Per my counting (hoping I didn’t miscount…if I did it should be only minimally off): Since 2020 including ties, it has had 24 different days with record highs and 7 days with record lows. Since 2010, 65 with highs and 25 with lows Since 2000: 87 with highs and 42 with lows So, of course GW is real. But large cities’ records often cause an exaggeration of the degree of warming. So, it’s important to separate out UHI/airport effects as much as possible. —————— Daily records from here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ffc

In Vitro uterus?

You’re too kind sir!