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Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
simbasad2 replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Created sort of a "0.5th call" as we approach around 60 hours from precipitation onset. Don't pay attention to the numbers on the side (I even crossed it out) just focus on the shade of the color. While not a full forecast, it does outline some aspects of my thoughts such as 1. Snow more favored for I-95 and surrounding suburbs, but slightly less confidence as you travel northbound on I-95 closer to NYC 2. Snow less likely as you head towards the far northwest suburbs and the shore 3. Despite these differences, the entire map is shaded as I think this will be an event where everyone in the region has a very good shot at getting some sort of snowfall -
Minor snow possible sunday 12/14/25
MJO812 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Euro bumped up amounts -
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18z Euro faster and weaker
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Ruin replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
So feeling, this could be one of those winters where it shows the storm.It shows a storm and then it stops.And we move on to the next storm, rinse and repeat, and all this cold air goes the waist and then we warm up -
Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
This one’s very easy . Put the qpf maps away. You’ve done this long enough. Though we may do better here farther East -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Welcome. Good to have you! -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
Jackstraw replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
New clipper thread started. The Shameless crew are ignoring it lol -
Or doesn’t fall…
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May be the last snows for most of the Sub for 2025. All models are showing decent 2 day accumulations of 3 to 6in or more from IA into Central/S IL, Central/S IN through N KY and E/SE OH with wiggle room a plenty. Go
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I appreciate his positivity…but he seems to be in the “convince yourself mode” and hoping for some good trends tonight. -
Up in here
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Welcome to the Board ! -
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
SnowtoRain replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like another 0"-2" event -
I see you're using the 40 to 1 ratio rule!
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
That model needs a lot of work -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
GBOVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
For all of us. lol . -
Two Decembers that flipped very greatly from cold first half (+2-4 days) to mild second half would be 1875 and 1895. The means changed as follows: 1895 ___ mean 1-17 30.7 ___ mean 18-31 47.7 ___ overall 38.4 1875 ___ mean 1-20 29.1 ___ mean 19-31 41.3 ___ overall 33.4 The largest upward shifts in recent Decembers are 2003 ___ mean 1-21 34.5 ___ mean 22-31 44.2 ___ overall 37.6 2005 ___ mean 1-22 32.0 ___ mean 23-31 43.2 ___ overall 35.3 The most prolific change was in Dec 1895 and most of the rest of the winter (Jan-Mar 1896) turned quite cold again. Winter 1875-76 remained mild well into Feb 1876, March was cold.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Golf757075 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Lol. I try man! Tough game for me lol -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
My stance is by 12z runs tomorrow any guidance that was ticking more “favorable” will revert back leaving an outcome of just some snow showers. Maybe someone gets a coating -
12/12: The little Friday clipper that could? Or won't.
bncho replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
GBOVolz replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Welcome to the board fellow golfer . -
Minor snow possible sunday 12/14/25
jm1220 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Reasonable at this point. Hopefully it amps up a little more and we can get those 3"+ amounts.
