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  2. This!! All winter the AI been balls on under 120 hrs
  3. It's only 3 more days man. You can make it.
  4. Minimal. Minimal enough to say GFS isn't really an outlier....
  5. Earthlight just tweeted that he can’t believe snowmaps are going out already on his weather account. And he’s 100% right. Models are jumping all over the place. We are just under 4 days away from this storm and it’s very, very possible we see huge changes. Hurricane Hunter recon flights are scheduled to go out and they are increasing the number of weather balloon launches. All the “players” get on the field tonight and all the new recon flight/balloon data is going to get ingested in the models. Don’t be shocked if we see some very drastic model changes over the next 24+ hours
  6. I think as the first LP re forms off coast we might rise above but quickly drop before the second prong.
  7. The 18z GFS said, “Bam the torpedoes. Full speed ahead!!!”
  8. More importantly it looks like the jackpot area moved further south again. Hope this is true. I don't care if I get a foot of snow. I just dont want an inch of ice. Please.
  9. If all the models lined up in unison, it would be no fun. This is the great chase for 2010,2016, or Knickerbocker redux. The fact we have pulled off some monsters in our lifetime makes it more interesting to follow.
  10. Anyone know if other models are getting extra data sampling the baja low or just GFS? Sometimes good observations outweigh model accuracy and I'm unsure if this is something that would require knobs to be turned at other met centers who probably don't care as much about a CONUS event
  11. Same. We know the same now as we did last night.
  12. Yeah that's more or less what I was thinking but didn't word it as well earlier. I thought the GFS was relatively "closer" to the Euro which itself was pretty good at 12Z. The ICON is far different than either.
  13. I mean rug pull chances are declining and will accelerate their decline if nothing significantly changes between now and tomorrow.
  14. I'll look forward to watching the Pens as the 0z comes out.
  15. Not really sure why we have a banter thread at all. Fuck it. I am putting my imby posts back in the main thread.
  16. The ai gfs looked point on to euro/euro ai
  17. It’s getting hard to ignore the GFS even though it’s the GFS. .
  18. Aigfs shows valley above freezing for 2 hrs but rest time below 32.
  19. I'm gonna ride with the euro AI. All winter when it locks in a solution 120hrs an under its been Money. It hasn't wavered much when all other models are all over the place
  20. 1.7" ice in Chattanooga would be terrifying. I seriously hope this doesn't verify.
  21. All I can do for the GFS is just cheer it on. It is kind of like that kid(who has no business at the front) that manages to hang with the top milers for three laps. And then you are like, “Does he have one more lap in him?” Maybe. I hope. Sit and kick, baby!
  22. Idk, that has kinda been jumping around a bit on GFS depiction. To me that was more noise than a trend
  23. Yeah, bummer we don't have anything big to track here, but I'm just grateful we've finally turned the corner on the nearly unabated torch that the first half of winter brought. The next week has really trended colder from how it looked a few days ago. Now hopefully we'll get a little more snow to go with it.
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