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This!! All winter the AI been balls on under 120 hrs
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It's only 3 more days man. You can make it.
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Minimal. Minimal enough to say GFS isn't really an outlier....
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
snowman19 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Earthlight just tweeted that he can’t believe snowmaps are going out already on his weather account. And he’s 100% right. Models are jumping all over the place. We are just under 4 days away from this storm and it’s very, very possible we see huge changes. Hurricane Hunter recon flights are scheduled to go out and they are increasing the number of weather balloon launches. All the “players” get on the field tonight and all the new recon flight/balloon data is going to get ingested in the models. Don’t be shocked if we see some very drastic model changes over the next 24+ hours -
I think as the first LP re forms off coast we might rise above but quickly drop before the second prong.
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The 18z GFS said, “Bam the torpedoes. Full speed ahead!!!”
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
CavalierHoo replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
More importantly it looks like the jackpot area moved further south again. Hope this is true. I don't care if I get a foot of snow. I just dont want an inch of ice. Please. -
If all the models lined up in unison, it would be no fun. This is the great chase for 2010,2016, or Knickerbocker redux. The fact we have pulled off some monsters in our lifetime makes it more interesting to follow.
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Anyone know if other models are getting extra data sampling the baja low or just GFS? Sometimes good observations outweigh model accuracy and I'm unsure if this is something that would require knobs to be turned at other met centers who probably don't care as much about a CONUS event
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Same. We know the same now as we did last night.
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage Thread 2
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah that's more or less what I was thinking but didn't word it as well earlier. I thought the GFS was relatively "closer" to the Euro which itself was pretty good at 12Z. The ICON is far different than either. -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
Thrasher Fan replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
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I mean rug pull chances are declining and will accelerate their decline if nothing significantly changes between now and tomorrow.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'll look forward to watching the Pens as the 0z comes out. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
clskinsfan replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not really sure why we have a banter thread at all. Fuck it. I am putting my imby posts back in the main thread. -
The ai gfs looked point on to euro/euro ai
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It’s getting hard to ignore the GFS even though it’s the GFS. .
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Aigfs shows valley above freezing for 2 hrs but rest time below 32.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
Franklin0529 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
I'm gonna ride with the euro AI. All winter when it locks in a solution 120hrs an under its been Money. It hasn't wavered much when all other models are all over the place -
1.7" ice in Chattanooga would be terrifying. I seriously hope this doesn't verify.
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All I can do for the GFS is just cheer it on. It is kind of like that kid(who has no business at the front) that manages to hang with the top milers for three laps. And then you are like, “Does he have one more lap in him?” Maybe. I hope. Sit and kick, baby!
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January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
NorthHillsWx replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Idk, that has kinda been jumping around a bit on GFS depiction. To me that was more noise than a trend -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
paweather replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z GFS -
Yeah, bummer we don't have anything big to track here, but I'm just grateful we've finally turned the corner on the nearly unabated torch that the first half of winter brought. The next week has really trended colder from how it looked a few days ago. Now hopefully we'll get a little more snow to go with it.
