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Weekend looks kinda crappy

North wind at 18 knots is far from ideal for us beach folk.

"Global warming doesn’t cause bedrock to buckle...." whaaaat, um, no. I mean I realize you're asking Don but I could help my self. Just in brief and off the top of the head, there are three easy aspects in how CC may both directly and indirectly factor. 1, glacial rebound. 2, liquid water fluxing 3, bedrock? With rebound, that happens because if land spends multiple multiple Millennia in a stable/colder climate regime, the ice accumulation weighs down. This gravitational anomaly supplies a constant pressure downward into the undergirding and surrounding bedrock. Over time ...succumbs by sinking. Remove the ice, the land may rebound... upward. And it doesn't do so according to any necessary ease. It tends to do so in jolts felt as tremors. With increasing melt ( liquid flux) the basal water may enter ground; in CC, the warming summer means this quantity is rising. Over decades, repetitious freezing and thawing literally cracks the Earth due to phase change expansion(contraction). How much so notwithstanding. But this is a weakening implication in the integrity of the supporting geology beneath the overriding ice - failure ( land slide) results. These two also work together. In fact, #2 actually happens first, then... #1 tremor triggers the landslide. Whether these factors were in play in the higher terrain/alpine region of Nepal, I am not claiming so.. But Mr Martz makes a blanket all preclusive statement that is epistemically false. Beyond these two, the third relates to, what officiating/reviewed source said or analyzed and proved that "bedrock" indeed failed? It is possible that the undergirding was actually a strata of compressed glacial deposits mixed with icy compressed rubble. An avalanche was inevitable - probably so, anyway, but if this was the type of supporting foundation beneath the overcasting of ice weight ( which itself was calving the leading segments), then the whole structure probably would not need to wait for the geological time for #1 and #2 to work together.

People here look at Pittsburg and the Alleghenies and extrapolate that weather magically changes as soon as you cross the Mason Dixon. Look at the philly forum and a lot of times they're dealing with the same patterns as us. It holds in winter too if there's been a lack of Miller B's.

Yeah it ended up being just yellow on radar that went over us. Moderate rain for awhile that added up to 0.33" here. Fine because we've had plenty of rain lately.

It's a month long respite that's about to end. Modeling was showing a wet September before abruptly collapsing last week.

SC PA has done pretty well the last 2 days, but its amazing how we are part of that Hagerstown split that happens a lot. Chambersburg and Frederick will get smoked and we'll get a little distant thunder on the M/D.

Hawaii is a hurricane magnet now

Well, for most places east of the BR it has gotten wetter. Much wetter.

I don't know, the Philadelphia area is often in a drought pattern when we're in one too.

Yep. PA is just as mountainous as here, yet no downslope or rain shadow for them.

Slowly turnin' the fire up under the toads

18 beans. Out of those 4 being large for Boone

Summer heat peaked in early/Mid July and never really came back outside of a day or two.

Yes, the cocky Chris Martz was wrong with his initial thought that this disaster was earthquake induced. But I think most of this from him yesterday is at least worthy of discussion/debate. Opinions? Climate alarmists refuse to let go of their narrative about Nepal despite the load of evidence against their claims. The avalanche (and by extension, flood) in Nepal last week was triggered by the collapse of bedrock beneath the Yala Glacier, not the glacier partially collapsing itself. Global warming doesn’t cause bedrock to buckle. It was likely geological in origin caused by seismic activity in recent years and months causing fractures in the rock. The Himalaya are highly active due to plate tectonics moving India into the Asian continent. And the “melting permafrost” argument doesn’t hold much water either because temperatures have generally been below freezing, even during summer, where the glacier sits ~17,000 feet (5,200 meters) up. You aren’t going to see a lot of days get above 0°C (32°F). Not every environmental disaster that happens needs to be blamed on humans. Nature itself is more than capable of causing these types of events. It’s time to get rid of the mentality that mankind is the cause of every bad thing that happens. @donsutherland1

.42" from the round of storms after midnight. 1.69" event total so far and 2.55" for the month

Going to be nearly impossible to get anything that tries to spin up in the eastern tropical Atlantic to make it far. Just an incredible ribbon of shear across the MDR. It’s extraordinary how hostile the basin is.

81 / 71 here more sun (for now)

Cloudy with light rain

The next Euro forecast going into winter won’t be released until Saturday.

Bright and sunny