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39.3/36 here. Just give me some flakes Saturday morning.

Yep. Played 9 after work and it was chilly where the sun dipped behind ridges. Last 4:54 tee time of the year for sure. 36° here.

What are your thoughts about the horrible 2023 FL Keys bleaching event caused by prolonged record hot SSTs in the low 90s? Key West buoy hit an amazing 92.8 during the late afternoon of 8/2/23! Several of us here followed this disaster and posted about it: The devastation there was amplified by the persistent heat as measured by the amazingly high DHW: Two species were nearly wiped out! The good news though is that they saved genetic material from them thank goodness: However, even these coral species are not entirely lost. During the heat wave, scientists saved about 150 genotypes, a.k.a. genetic material, of elkhorn coral and 250 genotypes of staghorn. They’re stored in biobanks at the Mote laboratory and The Reef Institute in West Palm Beach, Florida. The material will be used to propagate and reintroduce staghorn and elkhorn corals once conditions are more favorable. https://www.sierraclub.org/sierra/two-florida-coral-species-were-nearly-wiped-out-heat-wave

Just wanted to share a viewer email we got into the newsroom today because I think you’ll all appreciate it: RE: Terrible Rain Forecasting…. You guys absolutely suck at predicting any type of participation you can't even do it 24 hours in advance let alone 12 hours in advance, anything you guys say is going to happen as far as rain goes 95% of the time does not even happen or even come close to what you said was going to happen I know it's ultimately a prediction and you get paid to guess and then people plan their lives off your freaking guess. But you guys really suck you get it wrong more than anybody else. There really is no point in watching any weather anymore outside of just temperatures cuz that's about the only thing you guys can get right. You guys really suck bad, An Don't know your ass from a hole in the ground.. you suck,.. completely change my f****** plans because you guys have been saying all week long it's going to rain on Thursday and Friday afternoon and then nothing, no rain at all, am nothing even in sight for f****** rain. You guys should all be fired from your job you were just on the news this morning talking about rain this afternoon I mean damn you can't even predict weather in the same day your forecasting an repotting on it..

feels like when the Brewers get a lead, that's pretty much a wrap.

I’ve been tired of @JenkinsJinkies schtick for awhile now.

Re: reefs Generally hitting record levels these days, e.g.: https://www.aims.gov.au/monitoring-great-barrier-reef/gbr-condition-summary-2023-24 There's only been significant record-keeping since the 1980's, so we don't know what the trend is, or whether or not bleaching events that we've seen are normal vs CC-caused or not. Certainly not seeing any "death of the world" trending there. Re: Extinctions - let's look at that, shall we? Here's a database of recent extinctions: https://recentlyextinctspecies.com/database/most-recent-global-extinctions Starting from the top: Achatinella apexfulva - land snail; native to Hawaii; made extinct by introduction of predator by the rosy wolfsnail, deforestation, and the Jackson's chameleon. Not climate change. Ecnomiohyla rabborum - Rabb’s fringe-limbed treefrog; made extinct by chytrid fungus. Not climate change. Microcolpia parreyssii parreyssii - Parreys' thermal snail; existed in only one tiny locaion, made extinct by groundwater extraction. Not climate change. etc. etc. (not about to look up the details on the whole list) Wikipedia list of extinct species: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lists_of_extinct_species Cursory search - could not find a single one made extinct by climate change. There are thousands of them listed though, so maybe there are some I didn't see. The vast majority of extinctions happening, by far, are due to things *other* than climate change. Hunting, fishing, habitat loss due to deforestation, introduction of new predators, etc etc. Most of these are human-caused, yes, but not climate change. Bottom line: Fearmongering. There is no "world death" looming, of any sort. At least not due to climate change.

Already 31 here. It be cold.

CoCoRAHS shows 0.6" to 0.7" total for Fort Collins-Loveland, 0.9" Broomfield, over 1" Boulder, 0.55" Denver, 1.5" Golden (past 4 days)

36F at 9:30pm. Getting to be that time of year.

just did a quick reply and looked when I had 3 seconds and Euro AI gets the NC shore then would be east of us.. but that run was better than previous runs

Recently moved back west to Elko, NV to work for the NWS, so I'll be posting when I can here. We had our first snow of the season Monday night/Tuesday. Ruby Mountains got a good 4-6 inches or more.

Highs this week: 10/12: 90 10/13: 93 10/14: 93 10/15: 93

You must have missed the ‘we’d be in a drought if not for the storm’ talk

Well below normal is the most likely outcome. One huge storm that lines up with blocking and delivers near normal seasonal snow for people south of boston is the second most likely outcome. The ski resorts will likely have a ratter winter with tons of rain outs and bare runs off the sides of the trails. We were kinda due for that, with how good the last two winters were over the interior.

That would take all of 3 seconds. What you're saying , without saying - AI is well East.

First ripe pawpaw from my trees. We did it.

My guess is by the end of winter we will be tired of rain.

Ike is the only on the list not a MH at landfall. However, that’s a technicality because it was at the high end of cat 2 and it was also gigantic in size! I wonder how high the surge was for these devastating hurricanes in comparison: -Sea Islands of 1893 -Galveston H of 1900

Good data. Honestly I don’t think anyone can make a forecast for next season due to the historical unprecedented magnitude of this Nino. It’s impossible know what the response will be next year. So I should probably back down and say something like 50-200 Ace. Really anything is possible. Since you have some great data access do you have any info on a possible tsunami on the east coast created by the great Lisbon earthquake of 1755? I can’t really find anything concrete. .

That slight risk certainly expanded a tad.