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Will be 2nd Rainer of the week here.

Ralph what is Hurricane saying now?

yeah.. and can we please kind ask people to stop with the GFS sucks routine. folks sound like psycho hypocrites considering what they were doing to the Euro with the same fang dango bullshit last month. Can, seriously.. All models score, all models blow it. It's just the status of the tech. Grow the fuck up. Will's right...this is reversal Feb 1 incarnate. Just stop Edit, this wasn't directed at you but it's annoying

Just get more guidance onboard for christ sakes and stop fuking with us.

Have to give the gfs credit. Its like a dog with a bone on this one. Will not let go. Disappointed in the rest of the guidance if this goes the gfs route.

We should be OK, especially you and INS. I really don’t wanna be reading “shredded / ragged” radar posts tomorrow. We’ll see…

It looks like primary wintry threat in the advised area is going to be some elevated freezing rain accrual and perhaps a bit of sleet, as some low level CAD takes a bit of a hold tonight and advects temps near freezing near the surface and 925mb from the NE. Flood watches here tonight, something I haven’t seen in a hot minute. This first batch of rain has already delivered over a half inch here in the last two hours or so. Think the main thing is ice jam potential but looking at the flash flood guidance it is actually quite low. We basically melted out completely here the last couple days, so that top layer of ground is saturated and probably not completely thawed either. Good chance for some sharp rises in the local waterways. Otherwise a much needed rainfall.

Not that it’ll pan out but while good, it was worse for both going back to midday yesterday

The real fun game is to drink for every post that says a model is wrong or the GFS sucks or the euro is gonna cave Your BAC will be over the legal limit in 15 min

Agreed!

Yeah, that’s where I’m at as well while secretly embracing everything Korean.

My fellow brother in Christ, I HOPE we’re worried about mixing come this time tomorrow, that would mean a lot of things went down.

Noticeable uptick in probability from WPC of at least minor impacts for the area.

Tuck tuck tuck! Blizzard blizzard blizzard! Dc to Boston Dc to Boston Dc to Boston!

Doesn't hurt to see what they think

As long as it don't come far enough west that we have mixing issues

So we care what wpc says though? We know that the models say

The terrible thing is it gets to the point where ya have to add "but it's wrong, so wrong" to everything to keep someone from quoting you and going "but you know it's wrong???" lmao. 100% true about that dumb insanity def.

Actually we do. As far west as possible the last minute east shift

If GFS holds at 00z and Euro makes a concerted move westward, I'll be intrigued.

Very latest from WPC... I like where they got the low!

gefs continues to tick totals up

Not since the bbq

They're just trying to convince themselves so that the fall doesn't hurt so much.

Until it dramatically turns E and screws us...that's where the problem starts!