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Philly news tonight with voluntary restrictions in certain areas.

F ing Omen title. Has brought nothing but bad luck, bad timing and zero rain.

Too bad Electric Blue closed

@WxUSAF Please change the title of this thread. Its ridiculous- the antithesis of the reality of the situation going forward. Maybe just delete the first part and make it "June 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion".

Any chance we see anything from this tonight in long exposures? https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/update-g3-watch-4-5-june-utc-days

No changes in the drought status for the area with today's update. If some of the LR forecasts come to fruition there will probably be some parts of the area(probably SE) that will be in extreme drought category.

Smoke? There’s some cirrus moving through. Vis seems fine.

87F for high. Sitting at a comfy 75F now.

Wildfire smoke ruining a perfect evening?

US Drought Monitor is a contracted service with the University of Nebraska-Lincoln with decades of AG experience. The composite for the area has actually shown improvement from week to week after the last period of rainfall leading to a downgrade in category from Extreme to Severe at a higher prevalence. The top soil layer is only part of the equation and it takes more than 5-7" of rain to combat a persistent deep layer soil moisture pitfall. It took a step in the right direction this go around compared to what has been occurring. I can tell you don't like government bodies by this response and I for one have issues with some government entities as well because I want to hold governments at all levels to a higher standard, however the work done from top to bottom in this industry is critical in maintaining a positive report with the AG industry which spans far and wide across the U.S. This group is consistently praised by the decision-makers at large and anecdotal evidence from a small part of a bigger picture does not represent the entire story. We can agree to disagree, but I thought the map made sense from all the data I have parsed, which I do on the daily while I'm on the job.

You can call the ASOS weather phone. They pretty much all have one…AWOS too. A few of the bigger sites do have online software with realtime data. The NWS has 1 min obs from PHX up on their site too.

Hence "CoastalWx!?"

Gusts last for 10 mins before it resets

I do actually. Can see boundaries nicely. Works well with coastal fronts.

Scott uses the TBOS FAA radar for local wind insights. The pride of Weymouth - having a radar! LOL.

I'll definitely remember this one. Really, the only near full-proof plan with Kalshi is to wait on DSMs/remarks and "trade" on highs/lows that already occur. You need to compete with bots and that's difficult to accomplish unless you develop a bot yourself. I do wonder where people get observations from in near real-time. Odds flipped well before an observation was provided at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KBOS Anyone from the NWS know? I think MADIS is the closest you can get to ~real-time.

The US Drought Monitor failed miserably again this morning. This is typical of a government entity that sucks up dollars and spits out crap. Augusta- Severe and Extreme Drought.. It does not exist..

Nice to hear from you Buckeye.

Yea, a -5 departure for the winter in a place like Atlanta and southern apps probably implies some much below normal periods in there that if timed up with a nino-style stj can give them their freak snows. Meanwhile, during those same periods we're cold but watching the juice slide under us. Likewise, when a place like Columbus or Detroit sees a +5 departure for the winter in a nino, chances are that the cold periods are dry and the warm is wet. But like i mentioned in an earlier post, super ninos can definitely pack a surprise or two.

Duplicate observations too. I claim foul play! There were other 88 degree observations afterwards, and the DSM does have 88 at 14:59LST (after the random gusts to 51kt) so I'll take the 'L' on this one. If I mention AI again, ban me. Every time I question AI's reliability/efficacy/etc..., I get lit up lol

It seems to be warming near the oceans, on the East coast and West coast, but not as much in the Midwest, where it's flat. I remember global predictions in the 90s had a +PDO/El Nino pattern projected for decades forward, but it has not happened that way. Maybe some of the EC warmth is associated with +AMO decadal.

I’m in Weymouth sort of in the northern part of town a couple miles from the water. I had a pretty good southwest wind all day, usually if that’s the case and Logan Seabreeze they’ll bump after 4 o’clock many times it’s like between five and 6 o’clock.

This is a good point. But even then, its not steady temps across the board. Its still colder in the mean in the north than the south. Which means blues in the south arent necessarily great for snow, but reds in the north arent prohibitive of snow either.

SW 13kt and back down to 86°. Maybe a pilot had the over on 88°

Going to be a snowy winter in Vegas and Miami!