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  2. Regan
    Sure. But I’m just trying to find some hope. It’s so pessimistic in here.
  3. Snowncanes
    Honestly that radar depiction doesn’t even make sense with the Synoptics above. I wouldn’t buy that void. I do wish pivitol had RH% for the HRRR though
  4. Grayman
    I’m heading over to the sanitarium boys. Feel free to meet me over there.
  5. PackGrad05
    But he also says that HRRR and NAM are both showing this.. and we would like to see them getting snowier, not less
  6. Divine
    Yeah at the end of the day Brad is the best metrologist in the Carolinas. I have alot of trust in what he puts out.
  7. Moonhowl
    38 F and patches of blue sky around here.
  8. Regan
    Allan says he’s not a fan of the hrrr past 18 hours
  9. snowwors2
    Bottomed out @ -.6° for the fourth time below zero in this frigid stretch‼️
  10. Malacka11
    Feeling pretty good about at least getting my inch
  11. John1122
    Finally getting that foggy look, the flakes are small, the temp has dropped a degree and snow is beginning to cover up raised surfaces where the snow had melted off.
  12. ADB83
    Anything can happen and the models are all over the place. But I’m in the Triad and Brad is bearish on snow there. I don’t want to be on the other side of what he’s thinking. Or apparently the NAM lately (and now HRRR) .
  13. jlewis1111
    Its not over til its over... How reliable are the SREF's?
  14. PenguinLover
    HRRR looking solid for a decent snow in NW ATL.
  15. USCG RS
    HRRR at 32 hrs is a stretch. It's not always wrong, but it's a short range model designed for really 12-18 hrs out at most. If that look is real, I would not be surprised to see this be pretty dry forum wide. But based on how the storm is already developing, I would say this is not going to develop and be shunted further East like the HRRR appears to be showing.
  16. SnowenOutThere
    Yeah would suck to get a total of 2 inches of snow before the flip to sleet and then watch a storm hit south... Seriously though it is what it is and we'll have more chances. Don't need to doom and gloom yet.
  17. wncsnow
    Its quite interesting noticing the same precip maximums as the meso low snow that forms in 2003. Obviously that was more of a strong clipper but this could have the same footprint but with more widespread totals. I could see someone getting 12-15" out of this in a small area.
  18. PackGrad05
    Both the HRRR and the Nam 3K are showing that huge snow void.
  19. winterwx21
    Also the arctic blast coming in next Sunday looks extremely impressive. Maybe even colder than the one we're having now, which is crazy. It has been a long time since we've had a truly cold winter like this.
  20. fountainguy97
    yep when that ULL forcing arrives it'll be hours of .5 hour rates all night into the day tomorrow.
  21. EHoffman
    Beautiful day to radar hallucinate. Did you see how far north the virga is getting?
  22. BooneWX
    My soul is a bit crushed yall, not gonna lie. My toddler has come down with some sort of virus. Shes by far the most sick she’s ever been. Luckily, she’s negative for the big 3 (rsv, flu and covid) but man am I bummed. She loves snow and I really wanted to take her out.
  23. Stovepipe
    No model that I saw leading up to this had snow starting before around 7pm in the central valley. Temps were shown to creep up to around 36 and then crash down hard by the time snow starts. So far it looks to me like we are about on track for that.
  24. CentralNJSnowman
    I'll take the under
  25. AirNelson39
    Let’s hope the hrrr is a big pile of trash. How does it go to that extreme in one run? If I recall it busted badily on the high end for last storm so here’s to hoping it’s just trash.
  26. migratingwx
    I said most of the available data.
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