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You have your head in the right place. "How will we ever recover our Credibility" This event is a long shot and has elevation written all over it. There was a time when a thread would not have been created. This time, after the encouragement of headliners, it was created. American Weather is treading into very dangerous territory.

Here in west babylon we got slightly more than a coating with the squalls but it disappeared within a couple of hours

Nobody had that. think I’m near 9.5” now.

You'll take your half inch, and like it. @ravensrule

Ice? Was able to broom this light powdery snow off very easily.

We tried to tell you .

3” maybe 3.25 total. 9” on the season

Som of the heaviest snow I’ve ever seen here, short lived, but we picked up a couple inches in like a half hour

Maybe Jan ends up warmer than Dec?

Agreed, it was a good post. A lot of people here owe the pope an apology. He doesn’t sugarcoat things, but whether people like him or not, he knows what he is talking about. I disagreed with him (likely wishcasting on my end, I wanted my seasonal forecast to be right) and called for a wall to wall cold and snowy Jan. I am waiving the white flag on that idea. This doesn’t mean I’m punting the month, but there is large scale cross guidance agreement that my ideas about the progression of Jan will be incorrect.

Isn't the outdoor hockey game today? Think it's in Florida.

That was the squall of a lifetime lol.

Currently partly cloudy. Windy . 17.6F Snow wise, not a bad start so far. 18.5" But, I am absolutely done with the winds this year. Enough is enough.

After the warm up looks conducive to more winter weather. At least it doesn’t look to get kicked down the road.

Big credit to your seasonal, you were adamant about the first 15 days of January in early fall and didn’t wavier. Very very impressive Ray

Thank you SO MUCH for this clarification, this helped me understand what was going on. To weenie eyes however, this is a north trend, hence the name.

LWX AFD from this afternoon on the "threat" Meanwhile, stalled front to the south will try to lift back to the north Friday evening into Saturday. A wave of low pressure looks to traverse this boundary Saturday morning with a secondary wave of low pressure lifting north and east of the Deep South toward the VA/NC coast Saturday night into Sunday. With residual high pressure to the north and east, cold air will be available for some wintry precipitation to occur across portions of the forecast area Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Main question is if phasing can occur, which remains highly uncertain. Right now, the highest confidence for wintry wx would be along and south of I-66/US-50 and east of the Blue Ridge mountains. We`ll continue to monitor this threat to see if the northward trend amongst the guidance continues. If so, some travel disruptions are possible late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night, especially on elevated and untreated surfaces. More at weather.gov/lwx/winter.

Any data for that criteria, no days 50+ in January, in Orange County airport in Montgomery NY?

Absolutely. I made a post about this yesterday. I love that you incorporated the word pedantic though lol.

Because there is no chance of any snow after this for the next 10 days or so?

Very longtime reader of threads like this here (but hardly ever post). It has been an absolutely brutal start to winter in the Intermountain West. I live in Colorado in a small mountain town west of the Divide and it is no exaggeration to say we have the worst snowpack (or lack thereof) as of today in recorded history. Snow is vital for the health of ecosystem and economy around here. It once was the case that both the East and West could have good winters at the same time but it seems nearly impossible now.

DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -2.0 -2.5 -1.5 +0.5 +1.7 +2.5 +3.0 +2.0 +1.5 havent done this in like 6 years but im back!

Personally I don't pay much attention to surface temps in the long range as long as h5 looks favorable. Distilling the LR takes a bit of skill.

Just walked the dog for a bit. It is most definitely cold but the sun was pretty low.

I don't care. They're not my maps. I would use different colors.