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Looks like Heatmiser!

Y'all can keep that nonsense

"VIOLENTLY BEAUTIFUL"

A solid hit of rain in Raleigh today at least!

Hoping to not jinx it, but eyeballing about .35” for the day in the gauge with more to come.

Since GFSX MOS only goes out 8 days, I assume you are looking at 2 m temps? I would not use 2 m temps beyond 5 days as they get whacked often b/c the do not incorporate climo stats like MOS does. Same goes for ECMWF. I've seen the GFS 2 m temps a number of times over the years show 110 for BOS DY7 are beyond.

Severe thunderstorm watch posted further south/east from DC, including Calvert and St Mary's.

Winds picking up. Steady rain. Sitting at just over 1.5" since it started yesterday.

heh ..maybe we will get some brightening sooner than thought? https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined seems to be collapsing S while thinning

Better than expected totals and more to come. Over 0.6” and counting.

From a former co-worker: "I'm up the First CT Lake and its overflowing. River is 10x the normal summer flow and completely unfishable. Locals saying they've never seen the lake this high."

While these very long range forecasts aren’t the strong suit of these seasonal models, notice how weak the subsurface cold pool is near the Dateline by next March. The warmth in the east looks similar to March 1998. But the cold pool is significantly smaller from the Dateline and westward. Nino 3.4 is also much warmer than 1998 by the end of the run.

This is not "contest." It is a discussion forum. And the fact the hot wx looks like it will occur irrelevant here. I was talking about the overuse and obsession w/ "heat dome" and other concocted labels/terms the media focused on to hype.

Looks like more rain chances Thurs-Sat

Using my "I'm the boss" card this afternoon. The area of rain is building and looking good. I'm going to put my bathing suit on and go for a rainy hike. It's been so dry that it should feel great out there.

You are missing the point. Target audience is not the issue. It's how things are handled and communicated. When you commit logical fallacies and display clear biases, cognitive or otherwise, that skews the truth or outright lies, influencing perception of many, and this biased information get shared across social media. How is this good for society overall? Science communication should be objective and present *all* data, reasonable views/sides, and note caveats/shortcoming of the data/findings, not cherry- pick to promote a particular narrative That's bad science and disingenuous. And calling those out for it or noting errors is part of the scientific process. Science is self-correcting and evolves over time, not ever "settled."

Hey, that's me! Getting some decent rain the past hour or so though.

0.22 yesterday and 0.14 so far today.

There’s a tiny stripe from Centerville to Tysons to Silver Spring that managed to get fringed both days.

Steady light stuff continues. No Flash Flood but it's good to see a constant steady light rain falling. Feels like it's been a while... Temp actually went down to 66F:

Gravy on the biscuit so to speak.

Yeah. that whole monitoring system is both needed, but is also in need (imho) of some sort of reevaluation of technique. I took a deeper dive and read 'how' they come up with it a while ago. It's a combination of empirically derived, plus human perpsective. If I recall right it's 3 blended aspects: 2-layer time -dependent of deeper layer vs surface recency, then opinionated by human Climo and Mets. It 'sounds' good on paper that way, but mmm When wells are supplying, area res are 80+ if not topped, and rivers a meandering just fine, something seems off with all that orange.

Route 9 in Chestnut Hill.

He never listens.

Peabody route 1