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It's only happened once before, when 3 robust el ninos happened in the 1982-92 period, which was a solid +PDO period. After the 2nd el nino event was a strong la nina. If we do get a very strong el nino, I'm almost expecting that after 2 in a short period, it's going to have to correct to the opposite direction, and a robust la nina will follow after it. And there was somewhat of a correction in 1983 and 1984, even before the robust 1988 event. There was none in 2024 or 2025. It's got to correct, unless we've reached a point of no return and the global climate is permanently altered.

Barely a quarter of an inch.

NWS from Sterling has slammed us in Waynesboro with a 70% likelihood of numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms late night and Friday morning before noon. I'm still waiting for the first drop at 7:00 and the predictor radar of course keeps the rain over southeast Va..

.75 inch so far here. Thanks Arthur.

And, it failed. Next chance is Monday and I'm wondering - does that miss us north or south?

Thankfully the storm wasn't bad at all here. Picked up an inch and a half of rain. We did have a 50mph gust in a Tstorm, but other than that it was barely windy. I see many areas to my east got much more rain and wind to my east. There were reports of a tornado touchdown though in that Tstorm. Hoping areas that REALLY needed some rain have cashed in.

Looks like Monday maybe?

What a radar to wake up to. Hallelujah

Weather World reSnspdtoom9a1h0l2t5tga956flm01hhu1484t9tg71flilt05i0u6u12hc · After some big temperature swings over the past 5 weeks, we see minimal big heat for Pennsylvania through mid-July. We also see regular opportunities for rainfall (every few days) during this period

Maybe some decent tstms SNE if the low passes far enough N.

What about the supercells and TOR warnings in MA? Not a complete fail.

Maybe there is hope for rain. But usually as the time gets closer the amounts go down. So we'll see what happens.

Went stein at 00z. Ticked north 6z.

I was up in the Adirondacks yesterday and got pummeled. Tornado watches, extremely heavy rain, and crazy wind for hours. That was fun...

Wasn’t GFS showing 1”+?

Monday could be an interesting setup near the low track which is all over the place. Gfs is likely tossed.

NNE wasn’t a question. SNE hype failed and we knew. If you look the rt 2 north area worked out well. Congrats to the old barns and maples in VT.

RDU set yet another record high yesterday, 99. This is the ***16th*** record high set in 2026 and is made even more notable by passing the old record of 15 record highs set in a calendar year (2007), keep in mind it is only June. If you think this has been a hot start to the year, it has now become historic for Raleigh! And we still have the second half of the year and raging El Niño, this year will possibly see the record double.

NE Gaston County, NC. We're getting significantly underforecasted rain (thank goodness) and LLM's are largely to blame, by my opinion. My gut feeling about the "ice storm" with perfect dendrites was correct. Almost everyone got it wrong - and I have a degree in nothing! I'm doing the whole monitoring of the motion of the clouds, any vorticity/etc., electrostatic perception wizard way of doing things now and it's working. Can't explain it but I brag lol All I use now is radar returns, and my mind just bends even without the proper education (though I did do a lot of thermodynamic, electric/fluid flow dynamics and won each one back in college)* *Which I dropped out of Enjoy it, everyone! The heavier stuff JUST NOW started falling here too.

Oh for crying out loud, lol Subscriber bait! I mean a historically strong niño just sounds like a torch to oblivion year without a winter to me, smh

Never received even a sprinkle down here northern Waynesboro... 2nd time past 24 hours that occurred with a blob completely evaporating after appearing to be a cant miss...

Not surprised we dont have a summer thread. VT is boring.

1.3 mi path spinner moves thru 3 states!

Euro weeklies have it around the 2nd week of July