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The NOAA ERSSTv6 Sep PDO was -0.74: -As expected based on WCS, this was less negative than Aug’s -1.12 -This is the least neg Sep since 2019’s +0.44. -2023 Sep was way down at -2.52! -This is the 3rd month in a row that NOAA came in less negative than avg of WCS dailies, which was ~-1.0 in Sep - The NOAA August PDO had come in at -1.12 vs the WCS avg of ~-1.55. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/v6/index/ersst.v6.pdo.dat

Setting up for a big season of snowstorms to make up for the deficit from Droughtober

Looks like Hi res keeps all the rain south tomorrow night . Stein settling in for the region rest of month

We need an active November to get us over the top. Been pretty dead for awhile now severe wise.

Still raining here. Up to 0.5", 61F. Fired up the fireplace for the first time this season!

I was thinking the same. The rain was mostly supposed to be tonight. I am happy with the inch we got. Finally!

0.33” here as rain wraps up. Not hopeful about getting much more given model trends

1.03'' here so far. Winds turning NE/CAD setting in.

NOAA Offical RONI ERSSTv6 released for September and JAS. 2.08C and 1.69C

Here I got rain since 12:45PM-1:30 moving NE with some of it very heavy. This is in addition to a quick shower this morning and moderate rain (few tenths) late yest. afternoon from popups. It appears I’dreceived 1.5”+ from all of this with most of it just since 12:45PM. This compares to ~2.55” for all of Sep! Update at 5: been getting additional mod to heavy rain since 4:45. I’m now likely at 2”+ since yest.

It will be an interesting winter with DirtySnowchez posts

A+ day apple picking despite the doughnut line 59.9/39 off of a max of 63.6F

In the land of edibles and gummies, yes

0.0" so far and less than .25" forecast for the next seven days

Had to go to Easton for soccer and the foliage on rt 24 is coming along nicely. Lots of maples there.

Is this a real place?

Yes, I have had some pretty dry weather here this year but last night it poured from 7:30 to 10ish then it rained another half inch overnight. I do average 60+ inches of rain a year though.

At least the Ravens game won't be a quagmire if this comes to fruition.

Beautiful day - Love it Heavy drizzle continues , up to exactly 1.00 inch . 2nd highest total for an event since May.....

About a third of an inch here. But what a shitty day to get anything done outside. The original forecast here was for showers last evening into this morning then partly to mostly cloudy the rest of today, with the main event tonight into tomorrow. Much like last weekend. Glad I took half a day yesterday- a bit warm but got some outside stuff done.

.84" today. A perfect introduction to an El Nino cold weather season. Northern area's were slighted, but this often occurs with El Nino's.

We agree that the absolute 3.4 temp has been blowing away its record since summer on OISST. But a portion of that difference from prior records is obviously due to the globe being near its warmest on record: -Avg trop ocean warming since 1997 is ~0.6C. So, without any of that warming, 2026 OISST would still be warmer going back to Sep 1st. But the diff would be ~0.6 smaller. -Avg warming since 1982 ~~0.8C. So, it would still be warmer than 82 w/o the GW since then but would be ~0.8 smaller diff. -It has warmed ~0.3C since ‘15. So, even after taking into acct GW, it would still be blowing away ‘15. -It is pulverizing ‘23 as that was a much weaker Nino at this point vs the other 3 and there’s been some GW since then. -Also, keep in mind that cyclonicwx’s OISST graph has been ~0.4 warmer than NOAA’s OISST the last 2 months. They used to be within ~0.1 apart on avg. I don’t know why, but it’s possible Alex’s OISST has been skewed a few tenths higher due to a bug for all I know. -Even after taking into account both a possible bug in Alex’s graph and GW, ‘26 looks like it would still be at a record in 3.4.