All Activity

Barney cold on the gfs

Well said, well done Don. As always ….

I didn't like it verbatim, even at 12z. Leaving some room for this to dig further south, but not holding my breath for additional positive trends. Just watching

Fully expecting brown ground again within next 2wks. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

At least we aren’t watching Pensacola FL get a blizzard like last year.

Hii

If you're on the east coast more moisture will be involved. Mostly everyone else its clipper type systems...which can produce, but not your big winter storms. The exception may be potential around the 12th.

Montgomery County just blasted this email to everyone (parents/staff/etc): MCPS is closely monitoring the weather forecast for Friday morning. Current weather forecasts indicate the possibility of a wintry mix beginning earlier than expected, which may affect travel conditions for students and staff. We are checking with our county partners and continue to evaluate timing, possible road conditions, and impacts to school operations. If any changes to school schedules are needed, we will notify families and staff as soon as possible through all normal communication channels.

On Christmas Day.

Hopefully Sunday night.

16f. Will be chilly in the morning Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

At least verbatim cold is pressing south.

The GFS is an outlier with respect to Sun-Mon. There is very little overlap between the EPS/GEPS and the GEFS right now. But... the GFS has trended "better" for a few runs now. Negatives are north SLP track and southerly winds, positives are decent antecedent airmass and potent shortwave.

I'll predict a low of 21 for MDT. You will get down to 17.

When is CC going to give us Richmond's climate?

Prince Georges County schools 2-hour delay.

Time to break out the ice fishing gear!

Something to watch, on the HRRR, it seems to be focusing on two bands with a dead zone in the middle. One up near or south of dc and the other through Richmond.

The RGEM snow accumulation map I showed in now through Saturday. I should have showed the time stamp and duration. There's a weak mid-level shortwave interacting with the offshore SLP. It could generate snow showers on Saturday. I agree that the Friday and Sunday events are frustration.

Temp holding at 37 currently.

FWIW pretty visible Met Mike Masco posted this.... FWIW!..

https://twitter.com/CapeAnnWeather/status/1996710869364101141?t=xw0bh92Nz0-y6ZfsWPKO_A&s=19

33 with light to moderate snow here. About to head off the mountain for a while. Looks like no precip down that way currently.

1989 I think

How much precipitation will fall in the RDU area? Quarter inch?