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Who remembers the "Carolina Crusher"? I sure do. I hope it's not a repeat

If your south of 40 or west of 75..you're gonna need to send them a visual confirmation first lol...I have no doubt the social media backlash from the ice storm has made them lean heavily into their conservative side.

Yeah unless we start seeing significant west trends then PVD area is out. Maybe a flurry or something.

12z GFS doesn't dislike @WxUSAF's frontal passage

And you shouldn't. I told my son that I cant tell you the number of times these types of systems have screwed the Piedmont.

Lol they just called for 3-6 the last storm so take what they say with a grain of salt

Vis sat over the gulf stream will be amazing Sunday

This is like watching a Jet game where they're hanging in there but you know what's likely going to happen. Not what's definitely going to happen, just what's likely going to happen. It's turned out favorably a few times before, so you keep watching, but deep down you just know you should be cleaning the garage or changing the oil right now.

DT-Wxrisk says it is a Miller C because it wants to slide off of Hatteras and out to sea

it's ours

I am surprised that it being 24 hours out that MRX has not updated surrounding areas to a WWA and for that matter included a few counties around the present WSW with advisories. I guess however, knowing how conservative they are it reflects their normal movements.

We are 36-48 hours from the start and the UKMet has half an inch for Raleigh and the GEFS has double digit snowfall. Go figure

I love the "It's not going to snow, but I was still fascinated by all of the moving ennui particles on modeling...still interested in seeing just how it ultimately doesn't snow" I couldn't give two shits once I know it won't snow.

That and the BN after, keeping a nice, white, useful snowpack in place. Oftentimes we get 2' of snow and it's 45 the next week and gone into slush and puddles. The globals haven't shown a high much above freezing in SNE before Valentine's Day.

the old McDowell county special

This is a Miller "who?" because no one knows anything

We're still in a good spot for at least a 2-4 event and likely 3-6.

Anyway, looks like a threat of a few inches next Wednesday.

I miss the 2009 and 2018 storms where nothing ever wavered but an inch or two haha. We can’t latch onto a storm 2 days out much less a week anymore

The SLP that’s near the NC coast actually gets absorbed by the one further offshore on the GFS.

Never get the hype with overrunning events. In theory, seems great but it almost always comes down to us somehow trying to thread this impossible needle between an amped up system that bring temp issues and a colder storm that has no juice.

Hard to tell at this point what are trends and what are just windshield wiper wobbles. GFS jumped back up but we lost the Candian/RGEM. Gonna be an interesting 24-48 hours.

Well let's get some clippers to give us several options of a few inches out of time, and maybe one of them can blow up into a major storm

Gfs is clipper city

ACK grazer