All Activity

Created sort of a "0.5th call" as we approach around 60 hours from precipitation onset. Don't pay attention to the numbers on the side (I even crossed it out) just focus on the shade of the color. While not a full forecast, it does outline some aspects of my thoughts such as 1. Snow more favored for I-95 and surrounding suburbs, but slightly less confidence as you travel northbound on I-95 closer to NYC 2. Snow less likely as you head towards the far northwest suburbs and the shore 3. Despite these differences, the entire map is shaded as I think this will be an event where everyone in the region has a very good shot at getting some sort of snowfall

Euro bumped up amounts

18z Euro faster and weaker

So feeling, this could be one of those winters where it shows the storm.It shows a storm and then it stops.And we move on to the next storm, rinse and repeat, and all this cold air goes the waist and then we warm up

This one’s very easy . Put the qpf maps away. You’ve done this long enough. Though we may do better here farther East

Welcome. Good to have you!

New clipper thread started. The Shameless crew are ignoring it lol

Or doesn’t fall…

May be the last snows for most of the Sub for 2025. All models are showing decent 2 day accumulations of 3 to 6in or more from IA into Central/S IL, Central/S IN through N KY and E/SE OH with wiggle room a plenty. Go

I appreciate his positivity…but he seems to be in the “convince yourself mode” and hoping for some good trends tonight.

Up in here

Welcome to the Board !

Looks like another 0"-2" event

I see you're using the 40 to 1 ratio rule!

That model needs a lot of work

For all of us. lol .

Two Decembers that flipped very greatly from cold first half (+2-4 days) to mild second half would be 1875 and 1895. The means changed as follows: 1895 ___ mean 1-17 30.7 ___ mean 18-31 47.7 ___ overall 38.4 1875 ___ mean 1-20 29.1 ___ mean 19-31 41.3 ___ overall 33.4 The largest upward shifts in recent Decembers are 2003 ___ mean 1-21 34.5 ___ mean 22-31 44.2 ___ overall 37.6 2005 ___ mean 1-22 32.0 ___ mean 23-31 43.2 ___ overall 35.3 The most prolific change was in Dec 1895 and most of the rest of the winter (Jan-Mar 1896) turned quite cold again. Winter 1875-76 remained mild well into Feb 1876, March was cold.

Lol. I try man! Tough game for me lol

My stance is by 12z runs tomorrow any guidance that was ticking more “favorable” will revert back leaving an outcome of just some snow showers. Maybe someone gets a coating

Welcome to the board fellow golfer .

Reasonable at this point. Hopefully it amps up a little more and we can get those 3"+ amounts.