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I don't have access but I heard from the ENSO thread that the weeklies today were a solid look for the eastern US.

Praying for your survival

24 here in Thurman NY ADK park. 1800’. Up at the camp. Looks like we could see decent ice for a period. Glad my camp is off grid. Batteries at 90%. Beer fridge full. Be safe! .

that was from 9am this morning.. but the 20z HRRR RAP and RRFS are interesting even for here.. just need the precip not go to far north or else we meh..

With the kind of wind expected, power outages become an inevitability for someone. I spent the afternoon tuning up my generator to assure it will stay on at DCL.

Its like the snow at night-time...clockwork. Thats just how we do things.

We deal with the overblown icing products every icing event. There will probably be spotty outages in the hill towns and here-north, but I’d be surprised at anything widespread. A half inch if accretion is a lot of ice. Heck this is only 5/16” radial.

Because a day like this is a beer drinking day Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Plow just came by and salted road. No precip. falling. 28.6F

We are at Troegs for dinner and it’s just a raw miserable day. But half of Hershey is here for some reason.

this was a confirmed tornado in Illinois

I read that the severely cold 1917/18 winter produced such a freeze.i would have enjoyed listening to your grandfather and hearing how it was first hand. In the early to middle 50’s when I was in my single digits, sustained cold would result in broken ice flowing down the center of the narrows. (no bridge at that time) I guess it sourced from the southern extent of the frozen over Hudson River. As always …..

Bills fans will be unbearable again if that happens, lol Now, objectively for them...if they knock us out they'd better win it this year for their own sake--Mahomes is out of the way and they won't get a better shot! I hope they don't though, lol

Back to reality in Fayetteville. Went from 74 to 46 in an hour.

Now vs late Nov.

CAR is going with 2-4 here, up to an inch of sleet, and possibly 0.25 of freezing rain. I just hope by the time the rain gets here around 3-4pm we can Dryslot. Went and cut and packed our trails all open again today with the new snow after last Friday's wind and rain, honestly we're ready to groom, just need to have a bit of a net gain, even an inch or two would be huge

Hoping for more IP, less ZR. Impressive diurnal range today, 30/-11.

I know,i posted this in our severe thread earlier,its kinda like 2023

I mean, it’s January in Canada and you’ll have a ridge poking into Alaska. You don’t need a polar vortex over Hudson Bay.

Dr. No says yes?

no question about I-93. Of course I need to go MHT to CON for an appt at 8:30 tomorrow morning

Seems like tomorrow is going to be a near repeat of last Friday. Mild morning, front blows through, temps crash and wind ramps up. I just hope there's not as many tree branch and powerline problems. I encountered a few road closures and subsequent detours on my last two water loads of the day.

Upton is unsure about this but mentions in their discussion its possible - anyones guess right now

It’s either the Bills, Texans or Chargers. It doesn’t bode well if we get in. I would prefer anyone but the Bills though.

DTX Frontal passage around or just after midnight, as deepening surfacelow tracks into Lake Huron tonight. Strong high res model consensus(RAP/3k NAM/ARW/ARW2/HRRR/Euro) with the low deepening to around 975MB by Monday morning near Georgian Bay. With at least 55-60 knots offlow at the 850 MB level, confidence is high in occasional windgusts of 45-55 MPH throughout Monday, with a surface trough passagearound mid day also likely providing a focus. Steepening low levellapse rates and inversion heights aoa 7 kft, along with much of thecloud depth/minimal cape in the dgz will be conducive to snowshowers/squalls, and isolated wind gusts to 60 MPH seem likely in theconvective rolls. With the soaked ground from today`s rainfall,weakened tree limbs from the ice storm, and long duration of strongwind gusts tonight through early tomorrow evening, have elected to gowith high wind warning for all of southeast Michigan. Expecting tosee a significant number of power outages. 6z Euro ensemble meteogramsindicating close to the half members supporting 55-60 MPH peak windgusts as well.The strong winds and snow squalls will make for tough travelconditions on Monday, despite just an inch or two of snowaccumulation as 700 MB cold pool (-20 C)/trough axis tracks through.Any leftover standing water will also freeze for the Monday morningcommute as temps fall into the upper 20s.