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  2. Well, it was better as in it has precip reach into central VA but it is all rain so its a wash (literally). Though the next wave for the 8th does look much improved and more like the Euro.
  3. Far NW Harford could get an inch or two
  4. https://x.com/commoditywx/status/1995575448089309449?s=19
  5. It’s even better than this time last year.
  6. With what the models are showing for that area?
  7. On topic, bumping this post up. Off topic, I see there's now a Harford station, in Abingdon. Nice!
  8. Solid SN here with vis down to 1/2 mile. Nice weenie band approaching
  9. I'm on the FAR southeast edge to be involved in this forum but it is a nice place to chill....I have to say. The main thread is like the movie Groundhog Day. I feel like I'm reliving Winter 2024-25 all over again with the usual suspects taking their usual stance and "weenie tags" flying all over the place. That being said my 2-4" forecast for MBY is slipping away...I'm now thinking 1" or maybe 2" if I'm lucky and this over performs.
  10. Clouds are on the Southwestern horizon in Cville so I doubt I get much radiational cooling. That said, this was always going to be an ice and not snow "threat" for me.
  11. Too early to tell but I think the GFS might be a little bit closer (still probably nothing) for Friday as it has the NS detach a little more through out 96
  12. GFS at 18z remains colder than any of the mesos for the I-78 corridor and even ends as snow around 2pm tomorrow. It's probably not picking up on the warm punch, but given the soundings are all basically 33-degrees and isothermal, maybe the models are underestimating the cold tonight? Will just have to see what happens, NWS forecast looks great to me based on current guidance.
  13. Dropped 3 degrees in 25 min. Now 37/22
  14. The 18z ICON is flirting with it as well for NE TN/SW VA. Time of day is huge. If that comes in over night, it could be a mess.
  15. The 18z RGEM is threatening to bring frozen precip into the forum area around Dec 5th. Sneaky system...a little bit of ZR can wreck total havoc.
  16. I hope not, but it seems like tradition now that we grill outside in shorts around Christmas lately. Usually get so excited with all the ski areas opening up only to be hit with mild temps and slush during the holiday week, which then turns to ice in January. The good news is at some point the streak has to break.
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