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  2. Forgot about December 2020! Feb 2021 i left out because coastal plain was screwed. Jan 2022 I also forgot. Of these December 2020 should be the best analog
  3. Euro looks like crap right off the bat. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  4. I'm curious whether they are going to host Winter Storm Watches later today even though it's early
  5. Looks like macomb twp coming in at 4 inches. Snow depth has to be close to double digits there.
  6. If Dr. No is still like this after the next few runs...
  7. I can’t see it yet so thanks for the explanation. I mean obviously we take.
  8. You don't need any of that info in the real world so don't sweat it.
  9. 8° here this am...lowest so far, lots more to come!
  10. Where are you? Dec 2020, Feb 2021 and Jan 2022 was major, depending on where you are of course.
  11. I don't like it as much but it IS climo I guess.
  12. 06z was a better solution. 12z got over its skis a bit and the overrunning is kind of disjointed with that trailing energy more than 06z was. They are kind of separate on both solutions but 12z is moreso.
  13. LOL... not willing to say how much of what, but willing to say "13%."
  14. I think we have to be careful with rooting for the more amped looks. Cant let that warm nose sniff the area.
  15. I'm not gonna say it's impossible because in this set up, they could get near 18 inches. What is impossible is them ever accurately measuring 18 inches. Especially in a long duration storm, they usually f up as only they can.
  16. 1.5 QPF at those temps is probably realistically pushing 20 inches out here. I still think we will mix out here as well though. Insane run.
  17. Thank you. Seems like 6" - 10" from the bay to I-95, 8" - 12" west of there.
  18. I've tracked storms long enough to 4 days is still an eternity for things to change. I will say given the wide swath of precip and depth of the cold there's enough wiggle room in all directions where I can't see that much going wrong with this.
  19. It's like 6-8 hours after the precip rolls in that it switches over east of 95. Hours and hours and hours of ZR or sleet after
  20. Mixing still seems to be kept at a minimum for the metros.
  21. Does this storm look like PDII type snowfall, sleet,ZR distribution areawide?
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