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  2. Would that be around Thursday's runs?
  3. BamWx guy sees this as some sort cutter xfer more or less with snow well north but we will have some cad effects in nc/sc/ga but no snow out of it.
  4. Can we pin this thread please?
  5. And Central Park does it again. You would think that their ratios should usually fall somewhere in between Newaks and LGA since they are located in the middle. This is only two events, so a skeptic might say it's just an aberration. Let me assure the doubters it isn't. This happens much more often than it should and rarely the other way around. It all comes down to being sloppy when or how or how far after an event when they take measurements, or don't at all. This is what happens when you don't have a professional manning the ruler (it's actually a pretty simple device to work with). Jan 2026 Weekend Event.pdf
  6. Ill have to check and i dont think we'll quite be in the single digitis in the city / metro areas byt of recent Jan 3 2014 comes to mind. Will need to check (low teens then)
  7. Trends have been great today, but still leaning in he @WxUSAF camp and weighing towards the ensembles until we get inside HR 84.
  8. TAKE YOUR WORDS BACK. Mother Nature isn’t capable of doing it, I don’t think she has that dog in her (reverse psychology).
  9. So honest question is anyone really concerned about suppression with a 1053 high to the north?
  10. I'm leaning suppression less because of what the OP models are showing this far out and more just the pattern/strength of high/depth of cold. I can't think of the last time NYC saw a significant snowstorm at 10 degrees, we don't have 90s climo anymore. Could it happen? sure I guess. It's also possible the models could be overdoing the high/cold etc.
  11. EuriAI gives us 2 more monsters after this weekend while the Eps snowfall this run increases by 1.5" imby after this weekend! Lol wtf Sure hope technology wins this run.
  12. Had to be sub -40C stuff on a Montreal express trajectory. The perfect storm of ingredients to get those types of numbers.
  13. And showing the suppressed GFS isn't going to get clicks.
  14. I will wait until Wednesday/Thursday to take the threat serious. We saw the flip flopping last storm
  15. Yeah I’ll take the over on a high of -5° here. Although 5-10° wouldn’t surprise me. I’d love to know what the mid level temps were for 12/29/33. The afternoon high up here was -15°. That’s like 10° colder than anything else on record up here.
  16. https://x.com/AccuRayno/status/2013290491517743459 bernie rayno buys the euro AI the most, favoring nothern solutions, says there will be 15:1 ratios
  17. Ummmm, You get your girlfriend to change her birthday to Tuesday
  18. My goodness, 12z Euro Ai, CMC, GFS have the 2nd system coming into focus next wednesday.
  19. Just a bone for the NNE crew. In Canada we trust ..
  20. GFS....yeah you can laugh at that one CMC qpf distribution sounds close to euro AI??? Huhh Regardless...plenty of time for changes that will happen, for better or worse.
  21. It’s not possible, every single one of your posts are debbie downers. How could you actually be optimistic.
  22. Welllll… this may not be the only one we are tracking. Carver may need a new coffee machine for the upcoming weeks. .
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