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Bigbald

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    Kmrx

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  1. 2-3 inches over 8 hours is not enough to lay down and overcome ground temps with low rates for ktri. I would love to make a trip to gatlinburg however
  2. Going to be tough looking at brown ground at ktri (once again) but probably a fitting end to a bad winter imby.
  3. CMC 0/12z looks really consistent with a storm that doesn't materialize until basically out to sea, gfs 12z looks similiar. This has been a familiar pattern for what seems like the last 30 days, progressive flow easterly development.
  4. We might set a record for how times we can whiff easterly this year.
  5. One definitely can't call the 12z runs boring, alot of activity even if we aren't showing up as perfect hits on every storm.
  6. It seems like in the last 3 weeks models have shown alot of perfect inland tracks for for the Tennessee Valley in the 7-10 day range only to have the system development much later and further east in the 4-7 day range. What are the players on the field that suggest we've bucked that trend?
  7. 12z gfs is a cutter parade until hr 320, ya know, the sweet spot of all modeling, which blanks west tn but hammers the east. Of course this will be gone by 18z.
  8. Not a great run for anyone except far Northern New england.
  9. The track looked pretty similiar to me aside from the fact it gets more amped earlier, the ramifications which seems to expand the precip shield and change the track more inland for the folks in the middle Atlantic. I can't get myself excited here but I'll watch it all the way like everyone else.
  10. That, and the fact that all 3 models jumped on that one 12z run from friday. I kind of wondered if models were latching on to the big dog that sometimes happens far out.
  11. Two thing I say to myself every saturday: 1) how is will wade still coaching after the fbi tapes? 2) how is Bruce Pearl still coaching aftrr the Chuck Persons scandal?
  12. Yeah this 12z gfs run is going to be a beaut and front loaded (under 250 hrs).
  13. What an awful 12z suite for friday/Saturday ha. At least we were never really in the game to be too invested in this system. Some of the model runs showing the precipitation shield blossoming west always looked funny to me anyways. Will still watch but I guess we are in punt territory.
  14. Do we need that front to either move through quicker, or hang up more? I noticed in some of model runs from the last 4-5 days ago that when the front was originally pushing through it allowed a better track. Further watching would show it sometimes getting "entangled" with the frontal passage but well to our SE and getting pulled that direction?
  15. Nam 12k and 3k try and keep the NW flow stuff around for upper East tn/swva until Tuesday at 2ish. Roan mtn must be a total mess!
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