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When that much cooler water gets upwelled, what temp and depth is it upwelling from? Thanks

One thing I look at entering the Fall is the overall level of heat south of the United States. When you get warm ups ahead of storms in the Fall/Winter from much deeper heat sources it can really kill the cold shots in terms of the averaging out of the monthly/seasonal temps. From 1961-2024, the tendency for the top Atlantic hurricane seasons is for the West Coast to be pretty warm Jun-Aug. We haven't had that this year. There have been pretty cold periods on the West Coast this summer. We don't appear to be heading to a top ten type season based on the composite. 2005 has a passing similarity but had different placements for the subtropical features. But really 1995/1999 are the only two of the ten super seasons that have any kind of cold Summer pattern at all for the West Coast. The precipitation pattern is fairly similar but much wetter in the Plains and a bit drier in the East. But a lot of these active hurricane seasons have storms hitting the east/gulf to drive up their totals in Jun-Aug, which we haven't had this year. The precip pattern difference looks like 2025 is the active hurricane seasons, but on a spoke centered on FL, with the core of the moisture rotated counterclockwise toward the Plans. To me that implies completely different positioning of the Bermuda High from the hyper active seasons. But we'll see.

We had our August deluge on parts of LI and CT last year but after-dry as a bone like this year.

Current 10 pm temps DCA 70, IAD 57, BWI 61, Canaan NWR 33, lol. Edit- 50.1 here.

SSTs took an absolute beating NC and north. Agree that current weather shows no opportunity for recovery. A hybrid storm north of NC could still happen but anything tropical would likely rapidly weaken. Water temps are in 60s in some places and oceanic heat content is very low. SC and south still has fuel. Offshore buoys in FL in mid 80s and still upper 80s in some places off FL east coast. Steering pattern still in protection mode from East.

That sounds insane

These polar jet breakups that drive cool polar air down to latitudes where it is unseasonably have become more common if anything. We had that big Texas freeze a few years back. Just recently New Orleans had a significant snowfall.

Already 32.6 at Canaan NWR. Fast! It was 37.3 this time yesterday.

77 today

Took some adjustments to the Catoctin downslope breeze to get my three point shot to fall, but overall, a very Colorado-like day.

Sussex Airport may only record a trace of rain for the entire month of August? If the trend continues, which it has a chance to, virtually all of New England sees their driest August on record?

IEM is maybe a little overdone here, but very impressive dry pattern. This seems to be the trend these days with dryness August-October, after spring/early summer deluges.

Highs: EWR: 79 ISP: 79 TEB: 78 PHL: 78 New Brnswck: 77 BLM: 77 JFK: 77 * missing intra hour highs (shicking) ACY: 77 LGA: 76 TTN: 75 NYC: 75

Saw 3 wins in a row. Can’t go tomorrow booooo

Looks like we may do this all over again in about 8-9 days if modeling is correct. Bout time for a fall thread!

Not to beat a dead horse but holy moly it’s quiet in the tropics

Just the underground relative of the bald-faced hornets nests. Probably a nest of several hundred. Unfortunate that it occurred.

You have to be careful this time of year. That's when the nests get huge. I've had three major attacks in my line of work. All in the fall. In two , I was stung in the teens and twenties. One in the hundreds.

Was just outside sweeping off the porch in shorts and a t-shirt and it felt great. Nice and chilly! Perfect for late August! On the other hand weather pattern is extremely boring. Real snooze fest.

Just did a quick look up of yellow jackets and I had no idea their hive can have thousands in it. I'm always extra careful doing yard work. No problems yet (knocks wood).

Poor AHATT. What thumping they took after July.

Lots more males in the fall which are smaller than the females and of course the queen.

I think we have them all by now. Confirmed nests of the southern in Western Mass. Not sure how they can possibly be more aggressive than the eastern or German. They all suck.

Are any of these Southern Yellowjackets? I've been seeing much smaller ones lately, usually they're Eastern or German and those are larger? I'm not really sure.

I could take a whiff until December easily.