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  2. I don’t. Probably put a ruler into the ground & called it a day. I think our area got around 7” with more further E into W Suffolk.
  3. What a run its been. The rainless streak is about to end for the mountains, and this one could be a solid soaker. It won't be out of the ordinary, IMO, for a cutter this time of year... but its felt like a good month since we've had a healthy cutter. Two straight weeks to start December at -10.5F departure and plentiful snow, following a cool and wet November that featured plenty of higher elevation snows. Sucks, but it wasn't going to be snowless and warm out west all season... same with it wasn't going to be cold, deep powder all season here. Once it starts to snow in the Sierra and Rockies, it will signal a change. The surface conditions are going to change in New England, but the snowpack should still be solidly above normal.
  4. It’s amazing how if a model shows a winter storm 15 days out so many will say ah that’s not happening. Yet when a model shows dry & warm they take it as 100% happening. Negativity is rampant in many forums. Yeah it sucks having no snow in December but when did December become the only month of winter? I missed the memo that says after December winter is over. I know for Middle & West TN February has most of the top 10 snows. December is running way below average & we still hear winter is over. Good gracious.
  5. Brutal timing for that west coast trough --> central US ridge.
  6. You believe it? Seems unlikely for such a small distance, no?
  7. Sounds like a good way to put it to work. Like you, otherwise it's sus in my book. Already feels out of control on social media.
  8. This is the content I sign on to see. Nice, wintry scene. Classic New England scene. That’s legit December.
  9. Wth temps near 40 and only for a few hours followed quickly by upslope and a surprise Sunday storm its back to your regularly scheduled program
  10. Although I'd prefer for this pattern to stick around, I have zero complaints for the first half of this month. Running a -8 on temps, had 11.1 inches of snow and measurable snow OTG for 9 days and a T for three more.
  11. Looks like we’re in for a good pack wiping up here
  12. 1.5" today and the 19th straight day below freezing. That streak is scheduled to end tomorrow just as my snowpack is looking the best so far. Expecting to loose/settle a lot of it by Thursday evening when the cold shot makes it way back in here. Been a great stretch really.
  13. Looks like Friday's frontal passage (timed for around 0900h EST) could lead to a few hail or snow showers with rapidly falling temperatures? It would be around 45F before the front goes through and low to mid 30s by afternoon in W-NW winds gusting to 35 or 40 mph. Lots of ups and downs in temperature trends now to end of the month, it looks likely to average near normal so the current large negative anomaly would be essentially cut in half (balanced by a zero anomaly for half a month). But it looks very cold near the end of the current GFS run by NYE-NYD.
  14. I think what he means is a northwesterly flow turning more west-northwesterly aloft with winds turning southwesterly and overriding the cold air at the surface. Oh, and we are on the far southwestern edge of the cold air that is slowly being eroded from the west in time.
  15. He’s established and respected. Not some nobody looking for web clicks. He has to believe it on some level. 12/9 with Light Snow. A nice dusting over the past hour. Visibilities staying high though at 3sm.
  16. i saw 22-23 and that scared the shit out of me
  17. Definitely has slowed down the fall, currently 18.3/11.9 at 9 pm here.
  18. Today
  19. I tried to play the video…it wouldn’t play for me. Guess you need the app.
  20. MASSIVE PATTERN CHANGE in the west including Texas and the Californian Sierran Cordillera means well above normal in Austin alongside increased storm chances in the Californian and Navadan Cordillera in the coming days. It would be nice to see a record Atmospheric River smash without mercy right into Mammoth Mountain, dumping meters upon meters of snow upon Mammoth. Palisades Tahoe has yet to open!!! They may not manage that until early 2026 lmao! This ski season may indeed turn out to be the latest seasonal opening ever experienced in Palisades since the resort opened up 75 years ago! We shall see. Meanwhile in the East, continued serious Arctic conditions persist for the Mid Atlantic with a brief mildup and beneficial rains Thursday BUT more cold air and more snow chances continue.
  21. I still am intrigued by the 22-23 period even though the GFS op lost the little event it had at 12z. This feature leading in sliding off NE is getting better for such an event, improving the mid level flow over us for something sneaky: Temps by the 23rd are getting better as well: Precip for 22nd into the 23rd, not as strong of a trend but at the very least the GEFS is not screaming "dry." The ingredients aren't just on the GEFS but I am too lazy to get GIFs for all of them given pivotal's beta GIF creator is borked so I can't do off hour stuff for the euro and... it's a lot of work to invest in when it probably isn't gonna happen! For now I think I just want to see things trend colder for Sat/Sun. Easy to pick out the mid level trends for that, and it's the first requirement to meet for this to at all be possible.
  22. Noyes is top notch. No one better at pattern recognition
  23. Really solid event for the Cape. Especially this early in the season. Not bad to pull borderline warning criteria on Dec 14th.
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