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  2. winterwarlock
    89 right now matches yesterdays high
  3. Eskimo Joe
    If we don't get some storms when this ridge breaks down a bit, then we're setting ourselves up for a very hot July.
  4. dendrite
    Nah. Just need 4-5 hours centered around peak insolation.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Yea, historically east-based events are very unfavorable for snow.
  6. Yanksfan
    That’s what I’m banking on. As long as the ElNino from hell manages to slay the west pacific hot blob dragon, I’ll gladly sacrifice next winter to appease the weather gods.
  7. Cyclone-68
    That thunderstorm complex in Canada looks even better than it did this morning
  8. PhiEaglesfan712
    1997 was close to neutral 2004 was close to neutral 2018 was a modest +QBO. I'll give him that one. That was a meh December (and winter overall), not an all out blow torch, like the other 5 +QBO/el nino Decembers.
  9. PhiEaglesfan712
    NWS has 103 on Thursday, 104 on Friday, and 101 on Saturday for PHL.
  10. Maestrobjwa
    Pretty sure that's a lock with what will be juiced stj. But it won't do us any snow favors unless we get lucky. And the worst part? There seems to be agreement amongst the posters that this event is gonna spawn la nina the next year. And with how the atmosphere LOVES to double-dip, we could be right back where we were the last two years (and 5 of the last 10). Will we ever see a snowstorm of 12" or more? It seems with this event that potential has been pushed back a couple more years (because again, ninas can't do it). I hope we cam get lucky this winter and time something off with a brief cold outbreak of some sort.
  11. bluewave
    It was a weak La Nina like 1995-1996 but with much more warmth across CONUS and less snow in our area.
  12. snowman19
    The new CANSIPS
  13. JakkelWx
  14. PhiEaglesfan712
    Our last backlash nina period had one great snow season (2010-11) and a 5-month torch from November-March (2011-12).
  15. snowman19
    He said the fact that we’ve had 6 +QBO/El Nino Decembers since 1980 is a lie
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Nearly all Euro ensemble guidance has Philly and Wilmington hitting 100° Thursday and Friday. Event ACY is in the upper 90s on Friday.
  17. frontranger8
    Yeah, strong Ninos almost always deliver at least one 12"+ storm here. Most commonly late Oct-mid Dec and then Mar/Apr.
  18. GaWx
    This is likely at least partially tied to the hot biased GFS not being as hot as it was (never was believable in the first place due to bias). But still the Carolinas and Virginia are facing a dangerous heatwave and potential records.
  19. EastCoast NPZ
    It's funny how the heat never wanes as we get close to the event like the precip totals do.
  20. Rjay
    Which sucks bc it kills the old storm threads. This site is frustrating af.
  21. EastCoast NPZ
    I'd be happy if we could get even a single impactful rain storm out if it.
  22. GaWx
    Thanks, Adam. Please explain to me how Marc is calling me a liar. I‘m not saying I don’t agree or disagree. I just want to know what you’re referring to. TIA.
  23. Typhoon Tip
    87/66 Kind of a threshold combo. Just starting to feel it.
  24. Picard
    I think there is a chance of that, especially northern NJ. There's currently a huge blob of heavy rain and storms heading southeast out of Canada. It'll be interesting to track what if anything holds together or redevelops.
  25. Typhoon Tip
    Yeah I was just going add .. I bet they're just as abysmal as any along coastal land/sea contention. But that's part of the whole "local gradient" thing. As always ... resolution resolution resolution
  26. MJO812
    Is canonical a popular word now ? I heard that all winter last year but it wasnt a normal la Nina winter.
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