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Welcome to the board. Tell us more about the PDO going up. I haven't even looked at it lately!

Matches up with my early season MC mismatch analogs well. December 2017-January 2018: December 2024-January 2025:

Solid dusting down here. May be able to squeeze out 1/2 to 3/4ths inch.

RRFS replaces the NAM, right? Nobody should look at its 18z run for this storm, lol

I am waiting to see if new WWAs are posted. Almost would have to be.

Yeah, not a terrible run for us snow wise. Not that it’ll verify (probably)

sounds like my wife

Got flakes in Halls .

Probably this spring. But what about this run is so clearly awful?

This fits my progression for latter December into mid January perfectly...my only issue is I feel that -NAO/-AO in mid January will get pushed back, as I think that will be +TNH post reflection.

Now the question is will this be one of those warmups where it shows 70+ highs 2 weeks out but winds up getting walked back to the 50s once it's in range?

I wonder if he's talking about Wolfie?

Just started snowing steady here. 30.2 degrees.

It's your moment

I never had much hopes for this one. Downhill trajectory across a dozen+ mountains to my west doesn't work on the lee side basically every time. If there was any hint of a southern connection I would have been more interested but pure NS running downhill always runs out of gas by the time it hits the blue ridge.... and I'm even east of that... a clean inch would be a major win for my yard.

Gotta love the NAM. Such a predictably awful model lol. When they gonna retire the damn thing?

Someone in the valley is gonna get a big surprise. There’s a feeder band that’s lined up perfectly towards Knoxville. .

Ewr has fallen below freezing meaning each of the first 11 days of the month will have had lows below 32. The streak should go through at least day 17 before the moderation begins. Looking at other cold Decembers in the past 25 years I can't find another year that matched that feat

Light mix in Powell

Ah, ok, Yeah, I hugging the 12z suite tightly

The first wave trended sw and I ended up with a paltry 0.5".

3k Nam and still snowing

I'd jump at 1-3" at this point.

I’m being delusional. If nothing has ran since, it’s the best guidance we’ve got still. awaiting my 5” storm