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Doesn't look like anything worth looking at the next 10 days, unfortunately. Can't complain about this December though.

Wafting too much TB there. We ogle at the 06z RRFS. Still see no change in my thoughts 24hrs ago.

Still a window

Hunga Tonga volcano assessment report is out. Large effect on stratosphere but relatively small effect at surface: Professor Maycock said, "The Report shows that although water vapor is a greenhouse gas, Hunga had a net cooling effect overall and did not cause the record level of global warming observed in 2023 and 2024. This is a very important finding as understanding what caused the recent surge in global warming is a priority for the climate science community." https://phys.org/news/2025-12-international-reveals-atmospheric-impact-hunga.html https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1049154/files/Hunga_APARC_Report_full.pdf?version=1

Yeah that 00Z run was completely cracked out and unrealistic. We had a similar type nuisance event almost to the day 4 years ago, Dec 24th, 2021. Similar NW-SE track and qpf trajectory, though interior MA should certainly see more snow than that one. I think we're all just tired of these and foaming at the mouth for a region wide warning event to satiate our snowless appetites.

Mehrry Christmas…

Zzzzz

Well good luck to all. Gonna be done here for awhile. Merry Christmas and hopefully Santa brings a girthy weenie down the chimney to you all.

My weather underground is showing 6.6” snow between Friday and Sunday. So some model is showing something

That model backed off at 6z. Toss 00z.

Meh

Yeah, Christmas 2020 was very rough for the ski resorts with the fastest loss of a near 40”+snowpack around BGM on record for late December. Climatological Data for BINGHAMTON (GREATER AP), NY - December 2020 2020-12-17 22 15 18.5 -9.2 46 0 1.69 26.4 39 2020-12-18 22 8 15.0 -12.4 50 0 0.00 0.0 31 2020-12-19 24 3 13.5 -13.6 51 0 0.00 0.0 29 2020-12-20 31 21 26.0 -0.9 39 0 0.14 1.8 26 2020-12-21 36 29 32.5 5.9 32 0 0.02 T 25 2020-12-22 34 27 30.5 4.1 34 0 0.01 0.1 22 2020-12-23 36 22 29.0 2.8 36 0 0.00 0.0 20 2020-12-24 50 34 42.0 16.1 23 0 1.55 0.0 19 2020-12-25 53 20 36.5 10.8 28 0 0.80 0.8 1 Data for Binghamton Area, NY (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1969-12-25 18 -8 0.16 2.4 14 1969-12-26 25 16 0.93 13.6 18 1969-12-27 21 16 0.14 4.9 32 1969-12-28 24 20 0.01 1.0 33 1969-12-29 26 16 0.00 0.0 29 1969-12-30 29 24 T T 24 1969-12-31 27 9 0.31 2.5 20 1970-01-01 19 5 0.00 0.0 19 1970-01-02 17 1 T T 18 1970-01-03 26 13 0.09 1.7 18 1970-01-04 20 9 0.01 0.3 18 1970-01-05 27 8 0.01 0.3 17 1970-01-06 24 17 T 0.1 18 1970-01-07 20 12 T T 18 1970-01-08 12 -1 T 0.3 18 1970-01-09 5 -7 T T 18 1970-01-10 17 5 0.06 2.1 19 1970-01-11 23 13 0.01 0.2 20 1970-01-12 22 14 0.15 2.3 21 1970-01-13 24 15 0.05 2.0 23 1970-01-14 15 7 0.02 0.6 24 1970-01-15 12 2 T T 24 1970-01-16 35 7 0.00 0.0 23

Finally looked back at Fridays stats for Tamaqua (my backyard). Max wind, as I mentioned earlier, was well below most places due to houses and nearby mountains sheltering my neighborhood. High temp: 57 Low temp: 24 Wind gust: 16.2 mph Rainfall: 1.26"

That has some merit

Let's do this.

6z GFS very meh

The big story were all missing is the drought. The local creeks are drying up. The Potomac is super low. The lowest I've ever seen it. We just can't buy a storm or rainy day. Cold and dry to warm and dry. The next 10 days looks warm and dry. Basically the opposite of last January (cold/dry).

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/white-christmas-likely-for-portion-of.html FIRST & FINAL WHITE XMAS CALL:

White Christmas Likely For Portion Of The Area Weak System Impact On Tuesday Synoptic Overview It now appears as though the possibility of a White Christmas has increased for at least a portion of the area, despite Friday's "Grinch" storm having scoured the region of any residual snowpack. This is due to a weak system that will break off of the Pacific energy out west during the day on Tuesday and subsequently slide to the east-southeast in the flow between the polar vortex and central US ridge. Although this energy will begin to amplify upon reaching the coast as it descends the eastern periphery of the ridge, it will do so too far to the east to produce a significant storm for the forecast area. Had this ridge been centered a at the longitude of Montana as opposed to Minnesota, far greater travel disruptions would be likely given that a faster rate of amplification would yield a much more significant storm further to the west, and closer to the coast. While that will not be the case, a period light snowfall will leave light accumulations across especially the interior. However, the track of the system will be to the north of the area prior to a full transfer to the coast, which will allow winds to switch to the south. This will eventually induce a transition to rainfall prior to precipitation ending Tuesday evening across much of the coastal plain, which will obviously affect which locales manage to observe a White Christmas (1" or greater of snow on the ground at 7am Christmas morning). Anticipated Storm Evolution Light Snow will begin overspread the western half of the area during Tuesday morning and reach all but the eastern third of the area by midday. The morning commute should be fine given the late start of the snowfall, meager intensity and the reduced volume of traffic given the holiday period, however, commuters in Connecticut may be wise to leave some extra time, especially southwestern areas. The south coast of Connecticut will have transitioned to rain b early evening, as the storm begins to intensify and the storm moves closer to peak across the area, which will slow a Tuesday afternoon commute that will likely already have a heavier volume owed to holiday traffic. The storm will begin to redevelop off of the coast by midnight into the early predawn hours of Christmas Eve, but not before precipitation ends as rain roughly inside of I 495. Snow and rain showers will taper off during the predawn hours on Christmas Eve, with the first light yielding a festive blanket of white across the interior, a barren, puddle-filled earth near the coast. Stay tuned for more information on what maybe a similar system on Boxing Day. FIRST & FINAL WHITE XMAS CALL:

Don’t look at the 0Z Euro….or better yet look at it OMG! Many NC peeps won’t be thrilled but anyway: this is for 12/30 to early 12/31:

She on a mast cell stabilizer like Cromolyn (sp?) I use the OTC mast cell stabilizer eye drops for when my eyes get attacked, and it works superfast. Made with Ketotifen. Going to order the mast cell stabilizer nasal spray. I have lived off of Afrin for over 2 years. I'm thinking about peptide therapy. Maybe BPC-157, and there are a few others that could be helpful, can't remember their names off the top of my head. And I just read some research that creatine and glutathione can act as mast cell stabilizers

Guess we are on a break. Pretty epic start to winter however. It was cold. Saw some snow. I got nothin’

What the???

And not just snow storms. It's any storm.

when you see something like this - it shows the models still haven't figured out how to handle this situation along with the NAM showing little or nothing . Need to get closer to get a better idea............