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Looks like they were added at around 8pm

It was just strange that all the other models were higher and this was the lowest.... But I wasn't aware it was very conservative. Thanks for explaining

Yes especially driving toward Philly will be crazy by 10:00 AM.

Initial thump colder and heavier precip

Seems like multiple studies disagree with each other. One I read/skimmed said that if we have a freezing layer of 3000+ feet below the elevated warm layer it’ll refreeze to sleet regardless. Just such an extreme setup to where it all breaks down.

Can someone post CMC kuchera? .

GFS is the kicker for the Bills next weekend... Wide Right Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Hopefully you're right. I highly doubt we jackpot around here in this type of system, I can definitely see it for I-84 corridor to Boston.

Umm cmc backed off though southern sections nodding to Nam

I tried that for sleeping and all it did was make me worry that my basement was going to flood.

Something is wrong with Pivotal's Ukie algorithm. The 18z and 0z 10-1 snowfall totals are much higher than the qpf would suggest.

17/-7 in Havre de Grace

GGEM looked good, not as good as RGEM but solid. IMBY it has 10" of snow at 10-1 then probably 0.3" liquid as sleet so that would add another inch.

Yea, over Bermuda.

Might be some virga for an hour or two, but this is going go to come in like a wall.

Thought your last word was viagra on first read. Sort of made sense in context.

When are we expecting this to start? How am I looking for a Sunday morning commute from NYC to Philly. Obviously the earlier the better but is it going to get crazy by 10AM?

Awesome use of AI! So perhaps the NAM is not as north as we thought. More in line with the 3k .

I think this may be most CMC has shown. For all AGC.

1/24 00z GGEM Total QPF Total Snow (10:1)

Does anybody have the UKIE kuchera?

Canadian at 18z looks pretty good!

Has Morristown been in the WSW, or have they just been added? It seems they were in the Ice storm warning earlier in the day.

He must have meant 2” LE / hr at 15:1, which would be 30”/hr and indeed pile up very quickly.