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You should hit 45 for sure I think. Question is duration.

Carolina Hemlocks? My family moved from Europe to that area and have been there since the 1830s. Used to be some of the best brown trout fishing from the Hemlocks down to Halls Chapel Church. I have fished or floated every inch of that river that's accessible. My heart was and still is broken to see how it looks after Helene

WSW for 5-8” with a blizzard warning one county west. Not much lead time on headlines, not sure how many people even know it’s going to snow tomorrow.

Everything keeps it pretty limited . Under 45 and perhaps under 40

You will torch I think.

The models are usually pretty good at picking up that STJ energy. They just cant pick up when/if any of it will actually come east. The Euro used to hold energy back a ton. Not sure if that was addressed in the most recent update or not.

I feel like some really big ones have formed in recent Nina but they either blew up off the coast or just scraped. I wonder why that is? Position of the pna? Racing NS?

24 hours ago the NWS POP for Augusta on Monday was 60%. This afternoon it has plunged to 20%....................... The Drought controls..................................................

Newark airport measures 4.2 inches and LGA also 4.2 inches and right in between the two Central Park, for once, correctly measures 4.3 inches and now someone on social is suddenly concerned Central Park over measures. Amazing.

I'll believe the STJ when I see it. I'd he elated with a region wide 4 to 8 incher

Not much ice here on this . Will be above 32 early Monday . Hopefully stays in 30’s all day for pack . CNE NNE should see a significant amount though

Not gonna lie, you’re doing better than I thought you would.

I notice the NWS has a high of 40 degrees tomorrow on my point and click but the NAM keeps highs within a couple degrees of freezing and the 18z shows some ZR as the rain arrives tomorrow PM edit that is because temps will continue to rise through the evening!

33.6 was the high today.

I’m more bullish this winter, but the 10-15 day patterns have been a let down in recent years. The block has got my attention so let’s see if a KU emerges. The pattern for January is at least for our region is vastly differently than the weeklies a couple weeks back. What a flip flop.

Thats a good threshold imo. And yes the hills definitely get more. I just dont like this nonsense worrying about 18"+ that some expect. Since records began at DTX office in 1996 there have been 12 storms of 10"+ and DTW has had 10. However of those, 7 were 12"+ at DTX and just 2 at DTW. That said, the biggest at DTX was 15.5" (Nov 2015) and DTW biggest was actually greater (16.7" - Feb 2015).

And big dogs are very rare for us in Nina’s

Sunbathing wx. Lol! John always brings the positive lols.

GYX mentioned that models have a hard time handling CAD this morning. All eyes on how quickly the clouds move in or do not Sunday night. Cold snow pack and how much radiation cooling takes place before the clouds move in would seem to be a key item. We are supposed to hit 38 degrees here tomorrow. Eye on that as well.

Getting that EC vibe

A few moderate ones, I’ll be ecstatic. Big Dogs are becoming very elusive and tales of lore

To me it has been a windy 2025. Glad I don’t wear a toupee. Lol

I consider a “big dog” to be at least 12”. That’s just my definition and I feel like that’s been reported more in areas out near the hills in DTX’s CWFA. Obviously storm track plays a major role too and DTW can end up with more snow than DTX if it takes a more southernly Miller B track.

Bipolar weeklies at that.

Middletown is a funny case. For the Tue event the NWS hoisted a last minute WAA and the area ended up with warning snows. For this relatively long lead WSW event, I believe that area ended up in the upper tier of advisory snows. Snow is very difficult to accurately predict.