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  2. In my view, the climate change apocalypse has already arrived. By “apocalypse,” I mean a profound transformation rather than total destruction, while acknowledging that at some point of warming, total destruction would become a viable scenario. The evidence is unmistakable to any objective observer: more frequent and extreme heatwaves, intensified precipitation events, accelerating aridification in the Desert Southwest and parts of Europe, and vast marine heatwaves disrupting ocean ecosystems. Scientists have laid out these findings clearly, coherently, and convincingly. Science has not failed us. Instead, it is many of our leaders, both political and corporate, who have failed. Entrenched in a status quo from which they profit, they are prisoners of tunnel vision, unable or unwilling to see the full picture. They lack the courage to enact the changes needed to prevent this transformation from worsening. Instead, they display staggering creativity in inventing excuses for inaction. They pour vast energy into preserving an unsustainable and increasingly destructive system. They claim that a world that does not burn fossil fuels is impossible. Yet history proves otherwise. Society has achieved far greater transformations within even tighter timelines. It harnessed atomic energy in a desperate race against the Nazis, sent humans to the Moon in less than a decade, and largely phased out CFCs to save the ozone layer in the 1990s. Society could have undertaken a similar transition away from fossil fuels. Moreover, the level of difficulty was less than that for atomic energy or the Apollo Project. This time, society had decades rather than years to act. Ultimately, society chose another path, not because a transition was impossible, but because too many of its leaders lacked the courage to break free from the familiar, comfortable status quo.
  3. In general, global warming does lend itself to providing more moisture, but certainly every event cannot be blamed on that. Floods have been happening since the beginning of time. A large portion of society have flocked to live in coastal areas. Others inhabit areas below sea level. And our population keeps encroaching on what used to be rural areas, so more and more people are affected by bad weather. I can't believe anybody on this site believes in "Chemtrails"...
  4. Modest (at best) shear but a lot of cape and some downdraft cape. I guess it’s worth a SLGT, but right now, it’s a low- end SLGT.
  5. But not in Atlanta, where they had a ~4.5” (major) snowstorm in early Jan, the biggest since the 3/1993 blizzard.
  6. I’ve been hanging at the town swimming area for the past hour and the breeze with mostly cloudy conditions is delightful. 84°
  7. ^Man what a horrible SSTA map, lol Best thing is northern Indian Ocean isn't that warm.
  8. i see them right here in the local park. they are in all counties in nj now; you can spot them in raritan near the landfills too.
  9. Looks like another temperature Ghost Station with the Coatesville 1E precipitation only station....generating high and low daily temps without the observer doing so! Thought ghost data ended back in 2014....looks like it continued right through the end of 2022....
  10. Hmmm I guess that's why there's all those mostly flat, easy to build on FLOODPLAINS along those bigger rivers. I guess that got away from them.
  11. It's a steambath out there. The right trigger and we could easily see massive flooding
  12. The air conditioning is broken in my car and I got heat exhaustion on my way home from work.
  13. I got over 2" that one day last week, I wasn't here for it, but other than that I've gotten it a few hundredths at a time. Today is at .1 (so far).
  14. yes john we are apparently supposed to get a lot of rain chances this week in this unsettled pattern with percentages really increasing by a lot by mid week and starting today and tomorrow according to reading my afds from meg ohx mrx and hun
  15. i don’t think this is physiologically true but 80/78 feels worse to me than 102/80. my body is a nucleation point, i am becoming a giant drop of water. i am setting my apple watch workout to Outdoor Swim
  16. This is heaven..embracing every moment of the atmospheric sauna while the mosquitoes latch on to my ultra manly scent! Ya love to see it..
  17. Sussex and NW Passaic counties for the win again. Just can't catch a break for rain now in se Bergen County.
  18. The damage is being limited to southern Bucks, Montco and Philly
  19. Tomorrow will be very warm with highs reaching the upper 80s to perhaps 90° in New York City and the lower and middle 90s in Newark. Wednesday through Friday will be turn cooler with increased clouds. Highs will mainly reach the lower 80s on Wednesday and upper 70s to near 80° through Friday. Each day could feature the risk of some heavy thunderstorms. The rainfall amount could be enhanced somewhat by some of the moisture from Chantals remnants. No widespread excessive heat appears likely through mid-July. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around July 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.58°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.03°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through the summer. The SOI was -4.00 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.160 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 58% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.5° (1.0° above normal).
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