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Based on past very strong El Ninos, the firehose of ST moisture for much of the SE doesn’t usually fully turn on until Nov.

Hey all, despite the cold season being long gone, I can't help but look towards next winter/ski season. I have begun working on a new project for the upcoming season in which I hope to develop and host some unique tools that can be used for forecasting, akin to what is available on the New York State Mesonet: https://nysmesonet.org/ . Geographically this will be smaller though, with a focus on the mountainous zones of NNE. And no, I am not building a mesonet! I have some visualization ideas for overlays that do not yet exist in the open internet, but are essential to orographic forecasting. I am going to keep the core plots and visualizations I have in plans under wraps for now, but I will drop one hint: think of the critical number for a major Spine upslope event... If you have anything that you would like to see, please let me know! I am open to all ideas for products to host on this future website

It showed up on the list of all-time records, so I noted it.

I think it’s going to get significantly worse before it gets better. I do think the fire hose turns on eventually but I’m not optimistic that happens before Sept

Yep. You chose the hottest one lol, and not the official airport one. Is what it is.

They are statistically in it...but do they have the ability to do it this year? No. While they have the talent, things are just not going to get fixed under this current system we have under Elias. There are some core things that won't be addressed until they show him the door, imo.

85 today

Thanks for the update!

Yeah, saw a bunch while jogging

Huge 6 alarm fire in allentown

I'll side with you right now Carver But i'm not exactly sure what analog you would even start with ATM. in the strong Ninos in 91-92 and 97-98 winter both had a EQBO Now the strong NINO of 2015-16 had a WQBO but the QBO flaked out into winter,not sure thats a worthy analog year or could we see a repeat,dunno.Here is a paer by Kang,WooSoo and Chun on this https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2022GL100101

I'm doing the same as @so_whats_happening, heading out in the am for 2 weeks vacation. I'm likely to end up in a few 'iffy' internet/cell service areas, so I'll pick now and IF I get the chance to review/change before June 30th I'll do. DCA: +2.2 NYC: +2.7 BOS: +3.1 ORD: +2.3 ATL: +1.8 IAH: +1.4 DEN: +2.1 PHX: +1.1 SEA: +2.4

Today's High s: New Brnswck: 86 ACY: 86 EWR: 85 JFK: 85 BLM: 84 PHL: 84 LGA: 83 TEB: 83 ISP: 83 NYC: 82 TTN: 82

We don't do complex well in these parts. Safer to take the under on this event.

WB 0Z NBM

Was hoping you were there when I saw that cell starting to bow out

I hope we get some rain down between Friday night and Sunday. Temps near 100 showing up for next week will exacerbate the drought.

Yes sir it has been!

heres another one from the area.. that other one is questionable https://x.com/TheOfficialMrA1/status/2069938311238459808/video/1

Fire fly's out tonight

I ran some diagnostics on my desktop, but I guess its the site.

Yes! I’m not paying my July monthly premium unless it gets fixed.

This website is really on the struggle bus today

Comments under say its fake?