All Activity

Happy 2026, looks like winter is done for the foreseeable future. It was a great December at least

December 2025 in Minneapolis finished with an average temperature of 18.9F which is 3.1F below average. There were 5 morning lows below zero with the coldest being -11F on the 14th. December saw 16.8” of snowfall, and there was at least 1” of snow on the ground everyday with a peak depth of 10” on the 10th-12th

I suspect we are seeing feedback over the SW which is a known issue w modeling. Now, an actuall cutoff low could be legit under that big EPO. That seems impossible to have a cutoff under the ridge, but it has happened before. But given the massive amounts of model feedback and infinite loops this winter, I suspect that trough kicks right on out. By mid month.

Barring any pop up surprises we seem to be pretty cooked until the 12th. Time to focus on the New Years’ resolutions that we’re all gonna drop by mid-January before getting back to tracking snow!

Had about 1.25” overnight.

Dusting here in southeast Leesburg

Ps: the people who complain about the complainers are actually far worse than the complainers. Imagine tracking weather in hopes of a winter and expressing disappointment when it doesn’t happen. God forbid!!!

Plows have not come once . It’s kind of eerie and nostalgic. https://imgur.com/a/F2ahCg4#XH87xdh https://imgur.com/a/F2ahCg4#M4TQLIW

Easton is about to get hammered.

The early January cold and snowy pattern is no more. But stay tuned everyone; mid January looks great!! Its only 2 weeks away. This time we promise!

Wind gust woke me up. Figured it had to be the front so checked my phone and saw alert and radar and ran out to check it out. Everything covered instantly. Very fun 15 minutes.

7F with 1mi visibility and snow. What a way to kick off 2026, happy New Year to everyone.

2.3” in Holliston

I ran through an 18” drift and exhausted myself but it was worth it

I think the GFS is out to lunch. It has been all winter. I guess a broken clock is right twice a day though, and I won’t discount it quite yet. It has some support from the 0z GEM, but the GEM ends before the transition on ~Jan12 is depicted on other modeling - the GEPS kicks the tucked in trough out of the West right after 240. Eastern trough looks on time on the 0z Euro, every nonGEFS ensemble suite I can find, and the AIs. The ensembles have not budged overnight…EPS, GEPS, AIFS Euro, AIGEFS. Roll with them at this range. Check ensemble member counts. As I noted yesterday, the main concerns are cold source regions and if the ridge continues to retrograde (doesn’t stop in the West or eastern PAC). It could be the MJO is trying to gain same amplitude…but it has been so inaccurate this winter I am not using it a ton - yet. When see switched to the chinook in late December, modeling projected the event to start right after the 10th. It took another 12 days before it actually showed up. I think the same thing is occurring here…just with the cold. If non-GEFS ensembles begin to move…that is worth paying attention to. GFS verification scores have been terrible of late.

Another surprise 1-2”, and I should be around 25-26” for the season.

I’m going with .5” but it’s really hard to tell. Have had a bunch of 45-50 mph wind gusts so it’s blown everywhere

General concensus is still up with the PNA as of today's update.

About 3/4inch of snow fell last night here.

Ah, always forget how north Taunton goes. That piece of the line coming through Attleboro looks pretty healthy.

Tis the new year folks. 19.6 yesterday morning and 39 this morning!

The ECMWF AIFS Ens I heard are doing well. This shows we are back in business by the 15th. GEFS AI at the very bottom.

Missed the squall line since I was sleeping but nice to wake up to a fresh coating of snow. Any chance Sunday’s system keeps trending north?

His new year's resolution was to get more clicks.

yessir, honestly haven't stayed up past midnight on New Year's or any other day in quite awhile now