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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully some clippers get into the flow. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Definitely some cold air for next weekend. If we could just get an Alberta clipper to swing thru. Below average December looks to continue for the next 2 weeks -
The inverted came through. Pouring out
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Pouring lol. Happy holidays -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The GFS is just ridiculously cold and dry as a bone. Shades of December '83 all over again. -
Slow down a bit and it'll churn up to include Baltimore.
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I like the Euro AIFS ens. Tuesday was wacky but it performed very well on Friday. I can handle 1.5" and be happy.
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Enjoy this event on Monday my higher elevation friends. Your foothill brethren still can’t buy a small size event if we try. 3 years and counting at this point.
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Just a little further south.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Good post from @Bob Chill Upper air pattern is pretty potent with the neg nao breaking down but no sign of a big storm trigger yet. Just looking at the indices makes you think an Archambault type event is I the cards but the northern stream is so busy that it's running interference on itself lol. Something compact but potent n the NS could pop imho. Blocking is quite strong over the next 5 days then things unwind for a bit. Interesting and complex period on tap. Not really a setup that "locks into" anything so it would be a mistake to marry anything in the mid/long ranges -
Thank you and it is on the High Bridge Trail which was an old rail line converted for walking/hiking etc. This bridge is over the Appomattox River a few miles outside the actual town.
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Reviewing my event snowfall forecast and I think I did pretty well. Only real miss was underestimating how far east the northern extent of the 2-4 would reach as it ended up getting close to Cville itself.
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That was underwhelming. Bright banding. Was just snizzle.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Buckethead replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Cloudy and 26 currently in Wolf. Not sure that we'll reach 30 today. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk -
Ah, I've considered if its worth upgrading to that one. I didn't know Farmville had a bridge like that but its only an hour and a half from where I'm at currently so next event I might need to make the trek down there. Once again though those pictures are just amazing.
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Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
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Thank you! I used a DJI Mavic 3 Classic. I agree that is probably the one that came out best. It is actually why I chose Farmville specifically.
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Yep the cold hammer is coming down next weekend..
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Plenty of extinct clippers on the guidance. If one digs enough we can get a light event.
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Euro has our 12-13 event….not Big but not nothing
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ensembles are going Zonal in the long range,not a warm look but its not cold either,very little QPFS,probably the only hope would be a bowling ball if it could manifest any cold with it I'm starting to wonder if the CFS is more right with the RMM'S,its been showing it going into WP the last several days,now its showing another Kelvin,Rossby into the WP towards the end of the year and crapping out there,we'll see if it keeps showing this. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Typhoon Tip replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
add the GGEM's 12z improvement.. what leaps out is the extreme general thickness ( hydrostatic hgts) gradient along which this paltry ( for now...) looking low is riding along. The flow is having trouble "kinking" in time... ad nauseam, because of the faster than normal basal velocity. But this elucidates the high potential should that correct just pubes more so... you'd wind up a rapid deepener, albeit progressive - but who's judging when begging. Just gotta bend the flow in time and BOOM
