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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy to report the bridge was wide open with traffic moving freely when I went over at 8:45am. -
Solid overcast here now. 28F.
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Nice here too. Although clouds coming in now.
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roads won't be icy in March with temps around 30 middle of the day-not sure why all the closings today for wet roads lol
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Light Sleet/snow in Sloatsburg. 30 degrees. Roads mostly wet. Salt trucks out
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Interstate replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
31.6 and nothing really glazed... I have been below freezing for 36 hours or so. -
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It's March ... go wonder.
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1. I agree that neither Eric nor anyone can possibly know at this very early stage how strong El Niño will be. It’s not that predictable and some models like the Euro have had a warm bias even all the way through summer progs. It could very well end up strong or even super-strong, but it could also end up weaker just because we and models don’t know.2. I feel like RONI would be a more telling index to predict than ONI. RONI has recently been ~0.4C cooler. Eric may not be explicitly taking that into account. When all is said and done, there’s <100% chance (although not much less as of now) we’ll actually have El Niño per RONI. It would be hilarious if we don’t considering this thread’s name has El Niño in it. 3. There have been some strong to super ones that were cool to cold in most of the E US lower Mid-Atlantic southward: 2009-10, 1965-6, and 1957-8. And 1911-2 was cold everywhere despite peaking at +1.4. So, even if it’s strong, don’t expect a mild winter like 2015-6 in the SE and possibly not mild also in the Mid-Atlantic. And then consider that even up at Boston that although they’ve yet on record to have a cold strong+ Nino, it could end up NN as per 1896-7, 1902-3, 1925-6, 1930-1, 1940-1, 1957-8, 1965-6, and 2009-10. That’s almost half of the 18 strong+ Ninos back to 1877-8. And 1972-3 and 1991-2 were only slightly AN vs their respective climo in Boston. A torch covering the entire E US has occurred only once, 2015-6, as 2023-4 was NN in much of the SE.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I didn't see anything frozen fall, but there's a light coating of crud on my car's windshield. -
Better that than your 298 lbs
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Epic down east stretch
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What’s funny is the ice storm was actually my favorite system of the year. Best sledding and it stuck around forever. If we had received anywhere close to forecast QPF we would’ve had 3” of sleet and I’d probably brought the winter to a solid B range. That was one where we prayed QPF would be underdone but when ZR didn’t materialize we actually missed out on a great opportunity for a sleet storm which I personally really enjoy. As is, neither WSW verified here and we got 3 advisory level events, yay
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This strong front keeps showing up on the euro Ai and euro to a degree. It’s also on the EPS. Around day 8-9. We saw the euro have that fantasy event. It was also loading up at the very end of the run. It’s a +PNA pattern, but not much blocking showing up so probably would have to time waves perfectly
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It’ll go down faster than Spinks vs Tyson
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Sleet falling here
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Warmer more humid air and nights well above freezing. Goodbye.
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That’s because you’re 98lbs.
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Here we go….the two monsters are wearing off…and we have this BS from you back. First off, could be record heat next week, then we look to snap back to a full blown winter pattern afterwards…. What’s crappy about that? You’re the only one saying anything like this….par for the course from you.
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I can stand on top of the pack here. Lots of ice in it. It’ll go next week but it will fight . There’s 13-15” depth depending
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Maybe by 2030
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Ice storm warnings?
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Yes, you can use it.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pawatch replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
31 degrees and freezing stuff. Good day to sit inside and drink coffee. -
I’ll give it a D+ here. We received accumulating snow 3x and twice my road was covered for more than a day. The extended cold and snow/sleet cover for nearly two weeks was nice too. Now the negatives… All 3 systems underperformed in my backyard. Though the ice storm thankfully wasn’t ice it was cold enough for an awesome sleet event like the triad and western areas saw but we didn’t even get 1/3 of the predicted QPF and ended up with about 3/4” of sleet. The snow hole was the most brutal radar watching of my entire life, if you didn’t live through that in the triangle area you don’t know the pain we went through. Yes it snowed but we got literally the lowest total in the entire state and it didn’t start till well after dark. Speaking of after dark, not a single event produced accumulating snow or sleet in daylight. The December system was all after dark, the “ice” storm was almost entirely Saturday morning before light, all day was dry without precip until the last band came through after dark, and the Jan 31 was essentially 7 pm-12 am here. Our total snow for the season was 3.6” which is 2” below normal and I think we were the only spot in NC that didn’t hit climo. That in itself could be a failing grade but I’ll give the 3 systems, 2 cold ones, and extended cold “some” credit but it feels like an F given the rest of the region. We were above climo last year at my house. Also, the Christmas torch was brutal as was the first half of January.
