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Ray's favorite.

It would make for a salvageable weekend up here.

WPC take on precipitation for 72 hour period 8pm this evening until 8pm Sunday. As good as anything right now. Eventual path of surface low will determine final outcome. I kind of like the western extent but thinking maybe totals on the high side? Thinking along the lines of .5" to 1" here. Room for more though. For Suffolk County on ENE into southeast New England including coast of central and eastern CT 2 to maybe 4".

There are coastal flood watches and coastal flood advisories for southern Nassau County and i thin south western Suffolk county issued last night. Highly expect more watches/ advisories to be issued very shortly for more areas.

Maybe Rufus had the right idea

Looks it on the Euro, Apples are pretty small this year with the lack of rain up here.

LBSW

I still think that's a bit too far south, but idk. That's the difference between meh and something far more impactful.

Apple picking may still be on for Sunday!

Stalls east of Jersey and then goes NE over SE MA.

Pretty dry north of Rays area too.

Reminds me of December 1992 except this is stronger.

Hugging that coastline

12z Euro sandy like.

Loops around south of LI all weekend before finally departing across SNE on a Westerly, RI - Weymouth, MA path Monday afternoon.

No Coastal Flood Advisory in place yet?

Due north up your rear

Crazy were heading towards low tide right now, I think that area is as well though it could be closer to it already.

So where does it end up?

12z euro AI a little more east and then violent sling west.

Current conditions at Ocean Bay Park on the Bay side of Fire Island. A fair amount of storm surge is already in place.

almost up to the boardwalk from what ive been sent.

Like I been telling all my employees at work this week, storm or no storm, this is a great dry run for the winter season of big storms, and felt ready for erosion flooding, power outages, etc. And making sure all equipment is prepped working etc.. Same concept with this storm here, practice run for the winter. Gives us an idea of just craziness we might see, from nws, and deft from models. here's to a hopefully very cold, very snowy very stormy winter season with hopefully 5 blizzards!

During winter it would likely end up cutting over W NY...Curse of Methuen Meteorology Rule

Wind advisories are now up for boston nws zone from i think Hartford east. With winds advisories going that far west. I would guess either high wind warning (or watch knowing Upton) suffolk and advisories maybe Nassau County to nyc? Not sure about that part..