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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I remember we got a pretty good wet snowstorm here in January 2006( It was rain down your way) and that month was a massive torch. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah. It could be 32F for a low in January here which would be a massive positive departure and still have a snowstorm ongoing. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://x.com/bennollweather/status/2112536814758121610?s=46 warmest subsurface in east pacific is up to 92 F where its 12c above normal. Crazy -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Exactly. And remember departures are relative to average. The averages are way colder than the east coast. It can be in the + double digits and snow mid winter. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Even the ending of 00-01, with the March snowstorm bust, soured that season. But after 01-02 came one of the best 3-year stretches ever... 1997-98 super el nino was followed by 1998-2000 strong la nina. The 2nd year of the strong la nina (1999-2000) had a good few week stretch in January. -
He is still a very good forecaster, he just cares about making as much money as possible. You can't blame him.
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I legit feel bad for you guys. I mean just when it looked like things are falling into place...I mean y'all finally got rid of Snyder, then it looks like you finally got a franchise QB when he leads ya to the NFCCG...and then it starts to turning to crap again. Goodness gracious, smh
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That's the thing...only need 24 hours- -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
ENSO isn't alone in that respect...watch the impact of that gradient between the boiling Kuroshio current and the Kona low west Hawaii and how it may impact the north Pacific along about mid season, which may constructively interfere with other high latitude blocking downstream over NA. -
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Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Love the BV camera view. I think the red brick building in the foreground is a great place to eat but I don't know if it's that block or the one just to the right (north). -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2nd worst winter ever in my location in NJ outside of the NYC. 5.5" 01-02 was the worst with 4". 96-97 - 01-02 was the worst 6 year stretch for me. 00-01 was good, but the others were all bad, all different enso's - Today
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
i want someone to tell me how we manage to stay cold enough long enough for a snowstorm to happen on the east coast -
I have to disagree. I was just saying to my daughter that this year's colors have been much more vibrant in the last few years. I think it's looking fantastic.
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It depends on the place. 2012 was the only real widespread cancellation. 2011 and 2020 some places had, but there were cancellations. Also, remember that 2011 was on a weeknight (Monday) and 2020 on a weekend (Saturday). In my place, 2011 was cancelled, but 2020 went on (albeit a much lower turnout).
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39 for low KempMill and 34 Frederick
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Keith Central PA replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That's impossible. I mean there's a chance the east coast could be shut out like 97-98, but the upper Midwest?..You'll get snow just by lake effect -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Today’s GEFS NAO forecast is even more positive than yesterdays, which itself was much more + than last week’s GEFS: Today: gets down to only -0.6 and then quickly rises to +0.5 followed by drop back to 0: Yesterday: Last week: -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Majority of forecasts have the Midwest being thr warmest but to say no snow for the Midwest or great lakes is insane. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Are you honestly proposing that objectivity is mutually exclusive with information and opinions? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
According to the troll cult, no measurable snow for me this winter. By comparison, Detroit averages 37 days per season with measurable snowfall and in 152 years of record, the least was 15 days (1889-90). I assume this means you shall sprout palm trees by March. Can't wait til verification time! -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looks like as we head into late October the expression of ENSO becomes more of split North Pacific low between the Bering Sea and Southern California. It will be interesting to see if these centers can eventually merge into one giant low as we head into November and December. If some semblance of a split remains, then it would be indicative of the background 500mb pattern which has been keeping the PDO negative instead of leading to a +2.00 PDO. -
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