All Activity
- Past hour
-
2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I have a very low tolerance for people who can't disagree without hurling insults......talk about a tell-tale sign of feelings of inadequacy. Ball-busting sarcasm is one thing, but there is simply no place for calling anyone an idiot, or referring to a pustulation is "idiotic". -
Why? Did you mean to ask Tblizz this since he’s been divorced and married 4 times at age 25?
-
Typo
-
2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What is idiotic is your inability to wrap your mind around the fact that it works for the strongest of events. Weaker events are much more variable and cool ENSO doesn't get as strong; I have already stated that. Assuming we peak over 2.0 during the coming El Nino, I will bet you an idiotic $100 right now that 2027-2028 is another cool ENSO. -
I honestly don’t know how the wife lives with Kevin
-
Beer?
-
quality ~3 inch soaker, remember the drought?
-
70s? It was 80’s yesterday and next two days at least with dews into 60’s at times
-
Not your area. You are doored overall .Not good there
-
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
US National Weather Service State College PA Morning thunderstorms in the north will give way to a lull, followed by more storms later today. Some late-day storms (approx 6-10 PM) could be severe with damaging wind gusts being the primary threat. Highest chances for thunder will be in western PA. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
No rain here, it was coming here last night watching the radar. Than it did the famous Tamaqua split. -
lol at needing/using a/c when highs are in the 70s and drops to the 50s at night. Sounds like some need to drop some excess fattiness.
-
Had some boomers last night, solid downpour. About 1/4-1/3” of rain.
-
This is HHH?? I'll take it all summer if it is Today A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Tonight A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely after 2am. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Friday A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
-
50.6F Euro is on the warmer side here this week...hope it's right. The mesos at best keep the airmass tainted with easterly modification. Staying cooler may be better for the fruit trees if we are going to freeze again next week.
- Today
-
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Like yesterday morning, low of 60 when I left the house but this time with some rainfall to report, to the tune of .05”. Today will feel like mid July. -
So far 2026 has been running cooler globally than 2024 and 2025, but warmer than 2023. If 2026 warms as much in the remainder of the year as 2023, then a yearly global record is likely. However, warming in 2023 was unusually large for an el nino onset year. We will need to see monthly records begin to be broken in the summer to have a chance of breaking a yearly record. Will be a good test of whether the unusual warmth in 2023 was anomalous or caused by the large earth energy imbalance.
-
2026-2027 El Nino
jconsor replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nice points. I agree - the lean toward La Ninas has acted as at least a slight brake on the global temp rise over the past three decades. Global temp anomalies past 10 years or so have increased more rapidly in the extratropics than the tropics. See this post from Dr. Joseph Fournier: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/joseph-fournier-7077087_following-the-15-year-great-hiatus-2000-activity-7449541780481654784-8jWQ? The attached graph is from the same post and is generated using satellite temperature estimates. -
Three more days of HHH . Not looking forward to Sunday and Monday chill
-
One unit permanently on the side of house and others are windows
-
-
I agree it's ironic. I think that mainly has to do with how slow the downward propagation ("drip down") of above normal heights from the stratosphere to the troposphere was this year. See the attached graphic of polar (65-90N) height anomalies past several months, courtesy of meteorologist Todd Crawford on LinkedIn. Here's his full post: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/todd-crawford-5a02092_the-stratospheric-polar-vortex-spv-had-activity-7447251962808569889--JnW?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop&rcm=ACoAAAB0F_QB1PGc4wDzKl0eXPl_N7X02RAnqV4 Looks to me like there is a direct link between the recent increase in polar blocking (starting in early Apr near Scandinavia with a separate area near the Arctic Circle) + the forecast near-record strength Greenland blocking last week of Apr, with the notable stratospheric warming event in late Feb and early Mar.
-
Do you have central air, splits, or just install/uninstall window units?
-
Yeah it was pretty toasty. Tough to get the motivation to install when you know a week of wood stove is coming.
