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  2. It would be one hell of a cool storm.
  3. 17 degrees and pounding sleet would be epic in it's own way. I'd put this in the digital snow thread but it's name implies sleet doesn't work there
  4. Hey now both PSU and I staked a claim on that period, but if he agrees then its yours.
  5. GFS is an absolute sleet fest. It would be a fun storm, just not the one we want.
  6. The 12Z EPS for SAV has gotten my attention for the small chance of Sun AM light snow/flurries, which in this area would be a big deal due to the relative rarity being that most winters get nothing, not even a T. We got nothing Feb 2018 through Dec 2024. My expectations, especially for measurable, are low due to climo, it being pretty dry overall with member qpf progs being light, and marginal temps. So, fwiw, here are some 12Z EPS images: ~25% of members have snow, which is notably high: Mean: 0.2”, notable for here:
  7. January 6th 2025 storm trended 200 miles south in 7 days, and it's the GFS
  8. Models are in better agreement now with the MJO without the signal getting destroyed. Long range at least right now with the MJO into the WP is ongoing and should have a decent signal into the WH into the 3rd wk of Jan Next weekend right now looks severe,but this could be your typical strong CF before it turns cold again in winter.Thats the way it looks to me right now where the signs are headed
  9. Very warm pattern to start the month, but that's about to change. AK and the Yukon are finally warming up, and that means colder air finally allowed to spill down into the lower 48 again. Map will look much different in 10 days.
  10. GFS keeping "my" storm alive. Verbatim would be a heartbreaker for some of us... what could go wrong 10 days out!
  11. I think that chance might be gone. The primary energy is likely too little too late wrt orientation and also sharpness. Still time with this one though and the guidance has been erratic as hell.
  12. Air Florida disaster 44 years ago today. Heavy snow and inane deicing policies and a great snow day turned horrid
  13. That’s like saying the Giants are better than the Jets
  14. Don't get me wrong the scraps are tasty, but thought most of the more optimistic ens were keying in on the Sunday/Monday thing trending to more of a coastal as opposed to the extra lift from the trailing energy following that vort pass. Beggers can't be choosers either way
  15. Yeah I will take scraps bro if this is the result-
  16. For me it would depend how we get there....several 4" events? Pass.
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