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Yeah I forgot to put mine out after melting down the inch of snow the other day. I got it out there at 1230am after it had already started pouring. It hasn’t budged from 32.3-32.4 here for over an hour. The gutters froze up so I have water pouring over them and water getting into parts of the basement. Hopefully we can get into the upper 30s for a bit so the driveway can melt out otherwise it’ll be unwalkable for awhile.

World’s apart is an understatement lol One of them is going to be dead wrong. @bluewave @donsutherland1 Any thoughts on this?

2.0" snow then light freezing rain. Probably cold rain this afternoon, as the CAD underperformed the forecast. Yesterday's temp was 30/-11, the rare winter 40+ range day without a strong CF/WF.

Your numbers are slightly off since you didn't include the final 18z NAM total. "Newark" was 0.8, NYC was 2.6, Bridgeport was 5.8, and Islip was 5.0". Just a few additional tenths, but it matters. I suspect the annotated value for EWR is wrong. Since Newark is north of Staten Island, that should definitely be above 1" and likely close to the value for MMU. Is it even known where Pivotal pulls these values from? The 18z HRRR was obviously way off across our area. It's way too snowy in NJ and PA and it lacks the gradient that was observed across the LHV and Long Island. Any analysis showing that it performed better than the 18z NAM across this area is seriously flawed.

Feel familiar?

Certainly no lack of QPF with this thing, least around here. I was bad and didn't thaw out my stratus, so it already had about 0.40" in it before this event, but there looks to be about 1.7" total in there now. So, roughly 1.3" from this event so far. And the radar still looks pretty healthy. Rotting at 32.2°.

I had one freeze and burst open so water was pooling underground along the foundation and seeping through So last week I did a serious bush fix and put a 25 foot flex hose to get the water away from the house. It's finally drying but it looks like I have some work to do in the spring.

Eh, the plows up there are amazing - not sure you'd be OK in a Mustang, but pretty much anything else you'd make it. There is an extra bedroom in the Airbnb. Pack your laptop (I am) and c'mon up - dead serious. 5 feet of snow, temps not rising above 20 for the duration and absolutely no worries about whether or not you'll get a half-inch in downtown DC in a 10 day "fantasy" run My kinda winter.

Is the 6 hour measuring guideline completely phased out now and no one uses it anymore? I typically only measure the depth at the end, unless its a long duration snowfall event or ptype changes over. This is from a PDF for snow measuring guidelines for NWS COOP from 2014.

33° here as well. Snowpack should make it through the day here. A general 4-5" depth with 100% coverage

Gefs say that. Eps says otherwise and Geps is back and forth resulting in near normal.

Arctic FROPA’s tend to squeeze whatever little bit of moisture there is out of the atmosphere when they pass. There may be some dustings/coatings in parts of the area, but that’s about it. As you said, we normally end up getting the downsloping NW flow off the Apps which usually dries the snow showers and squalls out

Based on analogs and the block decaying .. The Jan 12-16th period is what I'm watching for a "BIG DOG"

I'd be ok if this rain stopped. *sigh*

BUF gusted to 70 mph about 30 minutes ago...nice

Can't complain about that.

Has another period of interest a few days later too. Obviously the further you go out, the more diffuse the mean gets but that’s definitely still something.

I see blue in the sky!!

This is pretty solid for 200+ hours…forget the OP runs for a bit…maybe it doesn’t work out but you have a very definitive signal there

Jan 96 took a long time to get going here…but for the days leashing up to that one, it wasn’t even thought to get up into SNE…but it kept creeping north each day as we closed in. Was thinking…here we go with a dud…but once it got going, it was a good one. Ended up with about 20” here.

That was my first 2’ event but that was also related to ocean effect.

Pack was holding up well, but I think it has ripened. Starting to go now

Ya that was a good one here..well over two feet. All fluffy too. Fabulous storm.

Up to 33 here. I was thinking the same thing while looking at the solid 5” snow cover out there at the moment, if it can make it through the next 6 hours or so it won’t go anywhere for a while. Glad I had the banks pushed back this morning.