All Activity

More cells firing to the west, might not be a bad idea for a small tor watch from around Gary to near lansing and surrounding areas

23-24, 15-16, 97-98, 91-92, 82-83, 72-73, 65-66

Thought this was wild from the other day. 3 deer floating on the ice between Detroit and Windsor.

What's the severe weather risk look like us tomorrow? I wasn't given it to much thought until I saw this storm in Michigan which has to be EF3+.

About 3" here with .35" of liquid precip so far...very wet. Snow has been falling at 33 degrees all afternoon.

Hard af

The 93 forecast language included "Life-threatening conditions". Only other time I can recall was the morning of Jan 9, 1998 - day 2 of the ice storm here. A line of strong TS had formed in eastern NY and forecasters were faced with the possibility of 50 mph gusts on ice-loaded trees and infrastructure. Fortunately, the storms dissipated quickly. This thread's storm brought 18-20 hours of steady 1/2"/hr snow on 20G30 NE winds, for 9.5". Farmington co-op recorded 14". Two more storms by mid-month added 11" then storms of 22-23 (16") and 30-31 (19") brought the March total to 55.5". Only the 61.5" of Dec 1976 in Fort Kent had more in my experience. Depth at 9 PM on 3/31 here was 48"; even FK never had that much that late (close, 47" on 3/31/84).

Union City in Branch County just got hit hard, this lone supercell is a prolific tornado maker.

I’m just kidding. Nice pic.

Kept ice on the trees all day at 30-32. Onto a week of 70’s!

We melted a bit. Ice damns will not be an issue anymore. So there is that.

Insanity, wild footage and its from MI on a 2% risk Wedge otg.

I couldn’t get very close and just had my phone. I had never seen them on the ice before. They were there again today. Pictures were even worse

RI and SE MA jacks again. Atmospheric memory

I wouldnt necessarily call it a transient "cool down". Transient yes, but there look to be some significant cold departures during it.

well into April before those go...

March 15-17 timeframe is being picked up by all ensembles for a wintry threat.

During the past 50 years those values have resulted in heavy snowfall winters............................

Murky fog here

https://x.com/StormCaptures/status/2030034387295719772/mediaViewer?currentTweet=2030034387295719772&currentTweetUser=StormCaptures

Seems could be interesting out west tomorrow afternoon into night? Afternoon discussion from LWX We`re expecting two rounds of storms tomorrow. The first round is expected to form within a surface trough just to the east of the Alleghenies during the mid-late afternoon hours. Model soundings show a fair amount of dry air in place aloft, and large scale forcing for ascent won`t be overly strong, so areal coverage with this first round of storms is only expected to be isolated to scattered in nature. If storms do become well established, the background environment will have enough instability (around 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE) and shear (around 40 knots in the 0-6 km layer) to promote updraft rotation. Isolated instances of damaging winds or hail may be possible with these storms as they move eastward from the Potomac Highlands toward the I-81 corridor and then the Blue Ridge/Catoctins during the mid-late afternoon hours. Conditions will likely remain dry to the east of US-15 during the daylight hours. A second round of pre-existing storms will approach from the Ohio Valley, reaching the Allegheny Front around sunset. This round of storms could be well organized into a squall line, and may potentially be quite intense. With the loss of daytime heating, the trend will likely be downward with the strength of this activity as it moves into our area, but damaging winds may still be possible, especially along and west of the Allegheny Front. Large scale forcing for ascent may enable these storms to hold together in a weakened form as they move eastward across the forecast area during the first half of the night. As of now, SPC has Garrett County in Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms, with locations further east to about US-15 in a Marginal Risk.

Fyp

Is that an ineedsnow ensemble map