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Storm potential January 17th-18th
BxEngine replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Cant imagine why -
What? Mets in Boston are going for 8-12
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I actually thought H for help
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Clear wind calm 28f humidity 98% dew point 27f a bit of an inversion layer and lots of low level moisture left behind. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
moneypitmike replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I any 6" reports will be few and far between -
This is the part from the afternoon AFD regarding the event s the front moves eastward, mid and upper level dynamics will assist precipitation developing along and behind the boundary. Low pressure will develop along the frontal zone along the coast and ride northeastward through the day. This will be a tricky scenario as snow will be highly dependent on colder air catching up to the moisture, which is sometimes difficult to achieve and offset by dry advection. Temperatures will be colder sooner west of I-95, but these areas will likely see a shorter duration of precipitation. East of I-95, more precipitation is expected, but temperatures may be slightly above freezing for a large part of the event, and precipitation may even be rain for a while. The best potential for cold air and higher precipitation totals to overlap appears to be northeastern Maryland. Thus, confidence was high enough to issue a Winter Weather Advisory for this area with the greatest potential for 2 inches of snow. However, if the afternoon wave of precipitation associated with the low misses to the south and east (which some models show), totals may fall short. Most other areas will see a slushy coating to an inch, perhaps locally higher where any banding sets up. Rates will be important to any sort of accumulations, especially as the day wears on, given marginal surface temperatures. Will have to monitor for possible expansions to the advisory, especially if confidence increases a colder solution near and east of the I-95 corridor. End time for the precipitation could be pretty early in the day closer to and west of the Blue Ridge. How long the precipitation lasts closer to the Chesapeake Bay will depend on the western extent of the second frontal wave. In any event, dry conditions look likely by mid Sunday evening. Temperatures from the mid teens to mid 20s are expected Sunday night, so any residual moisture or slush could refreeze.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Did you look at 18z? -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
HIPPYVALLEY replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Probably -
Wonder if the snow this morning helped you out? I’m up at 1560’ and sitting steady at 43
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Damage In Tolland replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I wouldn’t say 4-8” is gravy tomorrow -
Yeah, I’m def gonna read their AFD to get a feel for what they’re thinking. It’s also sunday, not like its during a rush hour commute.
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
moneypitmike replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
One of his boobs would always be drooped over your head though. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Damage In Tolland replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Lol .. those arrows going all different directions were something else . No one had any idea what they were showing (no offense Ray). That cracks me up -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
18z hasn’t been kind. Sucks to see everyone out west get snow and we’re skunked again. - Yesterday
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I am surprised for sure. My expectations are for less than an inch
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
When he gets like this it’s best to not engage we have learned -
I saw a tooth or bowtie pasta
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Last one out turn off the lights. This party is over. Our front dropped an anchor in the Ohio River.
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we started doing that during the Boxing Day storm Dec 26th 2010 which we were tracking for a week or more at least - go back and take a look at it
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29 and flurries.
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Great call! The latest model runs all support this.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
WWA issued for the I-95 corridor counties - Also a SPS for fog around the area that have some snowpack. Currently below freezing here at 29 with dp 28, -
Yeah I don't get that...and calling for 1-3" at that? Ehhhhh...
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You might be seeing the edge of the arctic air a bit before me. Or at least, that’s what I’m telling myself to feel better.
