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Tomer has a NYC January snowfall poll on Twitter and says his vote is 20-29”. That would bode quite well for us since he also thinks the pattern favors areas south of NYC…

27.2 and precip on the doorstep.

This was just added This Afternoon A chance of freezing rain. Cloudy, with a high near 32. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tonight A chance of freezing rain before 9pm, then a chance of rain. Cloudy, with a temperature rising to around 40 by 5am. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Jelly

a colleague had a photo of his grandfather standing on the ice next to the old orchard lighthouse, washed away by Sandy in 2012, and his great grandfather went out during the blizzard of 1888 and was never seen again.

Also, I feel horrible for Iowa State fans. This week has been basically a red wedding for them. They've lost everyone but at 6 positions Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Oh yeah I was just talking about them the other day--they are a really sneaky threat to surprise in the playoffs. I mean almost nobody is even thinking about them!

I wonder why Houston gets no respect. They have a shut-down defense that can handle most teams.

Albany got me spiking up to 46 tomorrow Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Down to 30.7⁰ / DP 26⁰. Precip will be spotty and light this evening, but probably icy.

I'm with @canderson here with the wind threat here. The low track is a bit north of ideal but the timing of it bombing out and how it translates down here seems like it opens us up to greater probability of a high end event. Tomorrow any cams around Buffalo showing the lake are going to be something else. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Down to 28.2F No precip yet.

I was looking forward to a sloppy frozen Bills game. Too bad it's raining so hard they splash when they hit the ground.

WWA issued finally for coastal zones URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 437 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 CTZ010>012-NJZ006-NYZ072-074-075-078>081-176>179-290300- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0014.251228T2200Z-251229T0300Z/ Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Hudson- New York (Manhattan)-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)- Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 437 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Light freezing rain or freezing drizzle expected. Total ice accumulations around a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and southeast New York. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Surface temperatures should rise above freezing by late this evening allowing any precip to change to plain rain.

I like it!

I should note that no records have been broken at TRI that I know of. Anyway, this is for posterity and future use. What a temp change to go from near record temps on Sunday to single digit wind chills tomorrow night and below zero winch chills in the mountains! National Weather Service Morristown TN 140 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 ...New DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1233 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 - Very warm this afternoon with possible record highs being broken again. - Showers and a strong cold front cross the area tonight and early Monday morning. - Strong gusty winds expected area-wide this afternoon through Monday, especially across the higher elevations tonight. Either Wind Advisories or a Special Weather Statement is in effect. - Much colder air moves in behind the front. Wind chills near zero are expected across the higher elevations Monday night, and highs in the 30s on Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1233 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025 One more day of well above average temperatures before a big pattern change beginning tonight. Low 70s are currently being reported across parts of the valley this afternoon already. Will include climate stats below. Daily Record High Maximum Temperatures: Date Chattanooga Knoxville Tri-Cities Oak Ridge 12-28 73(2015) 76(2015) 73(2021) 72(2021) Southerly to southwesterly winds are also occurring. Expect these to increase throughout the day and overnight tonight. A low center currently over Iowa and Illinois, will deepen through the day as it tracks towards the Great Lakes. A cold front will then develop and trail it to the southwest. Damming to the east under high pressure will kick-start the winds over the Southern Appalachians likely earlier than anywhere else because of increasing pressure gradient. This will not be a true mountain wave set-up for the Southern Appalachians given the flow direction with the frontal passage, but there will still be gusts to near 50 mph, as indicated by the Wind Advisory in place there. Wind Advisories were also added for the plateau and southwest Virginia counties. Upon looking at the latest guidance from HREF, RRFS, and others, winds appear they will generally remain below advisory level for the rest of the forecast area - valley and SW NC. A Special Weather Statement through Monday morning was issued there mentioning gusts up to 35 mph, with possible pockets of near 40 mph. After 7 am or so, winds will slowly decrease from west to east, but will hang on for the most part for the eastern higher terrain. The primary direction following the front will be from the west. The warmest temperatures tomorrow will likely occur near midnight for the forecast area, as the front makes its mark during the overnight hours. A line of showers will accompany the front, but the most we can expect are gusts translated down to the surface from aloft with any gusty showers. The strongest of any storms or severe weather threat, will remain close to the low`s center south of Michigan. It appears any influence of return- flow/northwesterly flow behind the low will remain to our north. With lows in the 20s and teens for the higher terrain forecast Tuesday morning and some winds persisting for the higher terrain as well, wind chills near 0 will be possible. Weather turns dry later tomorrow through Wednesday. High temperatures will rebound 10 degrees or so from Tuesday into Wednesday. A weak system will approach from the north Thursday into Friday, bringing a chance of light precipitation, with best chances across the northern part of the forecast area. By next weekend, precipitation chances increase from the south as the front stalls to our south. Where this sets up may determine how much precipitation we see. The southern valley and SW NC could sure use some beneficial rain to remove some of the moderate drought.

We've actually dropped a couple degrees the last couple hours. Down to 25 in Westfield. Hopefully the actual amount that falls isn't that great... but lighter seems to acrete more efficiently

Its happened before with the AR out west during a NINA,buts its still more common with a NINO not NINA,it happened before in the winter of 2022-23

Down to 31F in E CT, only expecting a light glaze before we warm again

This front tonight and tomorrow is going to be powerful. Real feel temps will differ almost 40 degrees from one end of the forum to another. According to the 18z 3kNAM, wind gusts could reach 40mph as the front passes through. The 18z HRRR, has gusts up to 50mph on the Plateau. Behind the front, on Monday and Tuesday wind chills very well could be in the single digits. Actual temps tomorrow night and Tuesday night should be in the mid teens to upper 20s. Winter is about to come back with a roar. The 3k Nam is picking up on some light snow bands as this passes in eastern areas. It doesn't have much accumulation, but it wouldn't surprise me to see the usual places at higher elevations get some light amounts.

What would say this was ? From 2 years ago . https://imgur.com/a/tAZcUAy#O9931d7 https://imgur.com/a/tAZcUAy#O9931d7

I don't have access but I heard from the ENSO thread that the weeklies today were a solid look for the eastern US.

Praying for your survival

24 here in Thurman NY ADK park. 1800’. Up at the camp. Looks like we could see decent ice for a period. Glad my camp is off grid. Batteries at 90%. Beer fridge full. Be safe! .

that was from 9am this morning.. but the 20z HRRR RAP and RRFS are interesting even for here.. just need the precip not go to far north or else we meh..