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I feel like 2020/2021 is our recent version of 2000/2001.
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40/23, still clear
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
DavisStraight replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Little hairy for me too. News said 8 inches for Sanford -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Jns2183 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Who here is setting alarm for 4am to wake up? Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Stepping back - I would like to say, believe it or not, that I'm not anti-renewable-energy, by any stretch. It will eventually be inevitable and necessary, and will be a good thing in the long run. I'm being devil's advocate here because I see a big sales job being done - some would say a con job even - in overstating the progress of renewables, and in understating the downside costs of the big renewable push, in terms of the hit it's causing on the prosperity of our society. The migration to renewable is going to take a long time - likely well over a hundred years IMO if not two hundred, and it's going to cause significant and unavoidable pain. In pushing it as hard as we are we are, we are only serving to increase that pain. And I'm talking net pain; after any benefit to slowing MMGW (which IMO is negligible) is included in the equation. -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
Chrisrotary12 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Definitely looks and feels like snow on this Sunset walk -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Rd9108 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
According to reports out of Kansas City forecasts have bust low. They received more snow than forecasted in some areas fwiw. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Superstorm replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thump is key for Lancaster and York. The models that “show” thump give us the highest potential. . -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
GrandmasterB replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nowcasting is not what it used to be, but in this situation it may come into play given how tight the gradient is forecast to be between a trace and 4”. We have seen models underestimate WAA, but we’ve also seen them underestimate evaporative cooling. Will be interesting to see play out and hopefully everyone gets a nice snow tomorrow. -
Was supposed to reach a high of 42. Never went above 39. So appears slightly under projected temps.
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
tavwtby replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I went from a borderline warning event here to possibly being skunked by warm mid-level that'll probably work up the valley, also, the WU point and click showed 6+" for almost a week now is at 5", with a WWA and a Aly forecast for possibly 3-4", which keeps getting smaller...rinse repeat last few seasons, at least it's 12/2 and we still have time to correct, maybe. Would be nice to get a phase and stall here, going to be in and out in a few hours I think. Still thinking North ORH/SNH is gonna jack here -
EPS is def more aggressive than other guidance trying to get a few inches in here on Saturday. A potential bigger threat would be middle of next week around the 10th-11th....but that one is all over the place. Lets see if we can amplify that ridge a little more out west....because we have a nice -NAO and some low heights in SE Canada which bodes well for actually trying to hold a high in place.
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18z ICON showing a little snow love for southern and SW VA Friday.
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My backyard station confirms a wet bulb of 32. It’s gonna snow whether it accumulates or not.
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38/22 currently
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Congrats your wet bulb is below freezing already. I think you get an inch of snow.
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Tell me more.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Jns2183 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's suppose to start by 3-4am and be done by 12-1. I'm not feeling the timing plays much into it here Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Dew point is favorable, too
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First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Reggie looks a little better for NE MA. Ends as a little snow at BOS. -
There is a reason I let my slightly above average snowfall forecast ride even while many were jumping ship over the last 2 weeks. My gut says something is different. We will see, maybe I just ate something...
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I wouldn’t hate it. If we are just going to follow the same pattern as the last several years, an early warmup would be nice -
First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Not sure I agree with that logic. -
Just to clarify, this is the WCS PDO, which is often ~~0.75-1.00 <NOAA PDO. So, this implies that the equivalent Nov 29th daily NOAA’s is ~-1.25 to -1.50. I estimate Nov’s NOAA PDO will come out to ~-1.75 to -1.90 vs Oct’s -2.40 and July’s -4.16, which would show the strong rise.
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Thank you for this info
