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  2. Not always. Even northern new england isn't immune to literal torches. See December 2015. I am crossing my fingers we don't get something like this again.
  3. The op Euro has been going back and forth about every model run. From what im seeing things should pick back up in about a week.
  4. 850 anomaly temps are actually near to slight BN on the 9th on EPS. Might be like what we have today with cooler anomalies hanging down in SNE.
  5. Yeah that period has been looking good for at least a couple days of low 90's
  6. nah i mean we're likely looking at a warm winter for most anyway
  7. You're one of the one's that can relate to my interest in monitoring heat in the summer ... heh, I mean shit. It's not like it's part of weather, huh But 12z EPS mean, centered on June 9, came in yet a little more impressive with the over top heat look. Weather this is a flash (pun intended), a heatwave per se, or evolves to something else are obviously notwithstanding at this range, but it's being monitored.
  8. Some of it was the stable air when the wedge lasted a lot longer than expected.
  9. Yeah true...going forward looks great though. No looking back
  10. May 2026 finished exactly 1.0F above the long term average in Minneapolis. 2.24” of precipitation which is -1.67” below average. There was a late freeze on May 6th. The somewhat surprising 0.37” we received yesterday couldn’t have been timed better.
  11. haha... I'd say at least not totally sucking prison balls at shiv point -
  12. waiting until the spring barrier passes to make an ENSO forecast is pretty standard. I said a couple weeks ago that we are probably getting a super event and that a strong event was likely in early April. not sure what the issue is there
  13. Spring 2026 finished as the 8th warmest spring on record in Chicago. Warmest Spring Temperature Rankings 1. 56.6° - 2012 2. 56.2° - 1977 3. 53.9° - 1921 4. 53.8° - 2024 5. 52.7° - 2010 5. 52.7° - 1991 5. 52.7° - 1955 8. 52.6° - 2026 9. 52.1° - 2021 10. 51.7° - 1946
  14. Spring 2026 finished as the 8th warmest spring on record in Chicago. Warmest Spring Temperature Rankings 1. 56.6° - 2012 2. 56.2° - 1977 3. 53.9° - 1921 4. 53.8° - 2024 5. 52.7° - 2010 5. 52.7° - 1991 5. 52.7° - 1955 8. 52.6° - 2026 9. 52.1° - 2021 10. 51.7° - 1946
  15. Cold snow > Cold dry > warm dry > warm wet.
  16. May 2026 finished as the 10th driest May on record in Chicago. Driest May Rankings 1. 0.30" - 1992 2. 0.58" - 1994 3. 0.67" - 1934 4. 0.71" - 2023 5. 0.78" - 1950 6. 0.80" - 1921 7. 0.84" - 1897 8. 0.93" - 1903 9. 1.00" - 1886 10. 1.17" - 2026
  17. May 2026 finished as the 10th driest May on record in Chicago. Driest May Rankings 1. 0.30" - 1992 2. 0.58" - 1994 3. 0.67" - 1934 4. 0.71" - 2023 5. 0.78" - 1950 6. 0.80" - 1921 7. 0.84" - 1897 8. 0.93" - 1903 9. 1.00" - 1886 10. 1.17" - 2026
  18. Today
  19. Looks like the base state still includes a northerly wind component, which is outstanding if you like persistent drought conditions. Seems like the last several years humidity has been the exception to the rule.
  20. My opinion is the east based nature of 97-98 did not prevent a big snowstorm from occurring. 82-83 was east based and produced a big snowstorm in the northeast and mid atlantic, and 72-73 produced a big snowstorm in the south. So whether it is east based or basin wide such as 15-16, there is still usually an opportunity or two.
  21. 64, mainly sun sky with post-card cu utterly opposite condition to this morning, whence it was 48 and light rain.
  22. Isn’t the primary key in winter assuming you're far enough north usually the storm tracks?
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