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Precip wise but damnnnn Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

We've been overdue for a while, so it finally caught up with us. I'll believe the weekend storm when I shovel it, hahaha. At least by that time I'll be in shoveling shape! Seriously, this area has to thread the atmoshperic needle perfectly to get one of the gynormous storms. That's why we only get them on average once every 7 to 10 years. Usually it's 34F and 2" of rain. 2009-10 was my personal holy grail, as I had always hoped to have 2 big storms in one season. I got that and more. Dec 2009 was really interesting because I developed shingles just before that big storm hit, and I had to literally hike my way through thigh-deep drifts to get to the local CVS to fill the prescription. Little did I know what awaited us 6 weeks later. Fun times.

Looks like 23.7 will do it

When tomorrow will the information from the first set of flights be ingested into the models?

ens look pretty good tho (why am I looking at the ICON-EPS)

Look at his post history.

the low in DC is supposed to be 3F, but not seeing it. Temp is 19F here and 22F at DCA, and not dropping quickly.

Last band for BOS and then south shore. What a great event

Don't forget the parachute though..

Well well. Get ready for the “model reshuffle” tomorrow.

Are you and Ruin twins?

nah, im not Ji

Thanks for sharing. Reflections like these are what makes you a better meteorologist after the storm than before, even though it may not feel like it right now. We all take our lumps and then we do it again for the next one, and so on. I don’t do enough of these self reflections in part to lack of time, busy with work/family, and honestly a bit of burnout from model tracking. But it’s good to do so once in a while, and it’s also good to just go outside and enjoy the snowfall (or pouring sleet) for what it is rather than what we hoped to get.

At one point humans were just living in caves and eating what they could hunt/find. And now I'm on a plane 30k feet in air chatting with my wife on the ground and reading a weather forum... I also had some beers in the airport and on the plane. Let's repeat this weekend. That is all.

Yeah...something tells me that if it looked good, you wouldn't have posted...

Tacked on 5” since this morning’s measurement, so that’s a respectable 15” altogether

Yea. This is the biggest threat to this one. Didn’t even snow on the beach. .

The worst of it is you guys are probably in for several more major winter storms. Especially that thing brewing in the models right now. Could be talkin 1993 except this time you guys get laser targeted for maximum snow accumulations! ON TOP of that DEEP solid ice! Might have to start calling that place New Greenland lmao... ...By the time this is over we may all be fully Snowciopathic lol.

nobody cares about that model, look at euro ai

Guess you haven’t heard of “Snowbird Bob”? .

This is one of the stranger setups in recent years. Hard to figure out what's driving it and what its sensitive to.

just pay attention to euro ai that's the model that will get this right

ICON has it too, funny enough

Yeah, ICON ends up much more positively tilted than say 18z AIFS, resulting in weaker cyclogenesis and less northward motion.