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That is correct. The other -7 came on Dec 31, 1917, the day after the -13 minimum. My records show 6 days of -6 at NYC and one of them was 12/29/1917, likely an 11:59 reading. Dec 29, 1917-Jan 4, 1918 stands alone as Central Park's coldest week.

Meh. For 48 hour QPF at D7+ I would expect some pretty major dispersion. If it looked like this inside D5, I would agree with you.

Give me 1-3 and then Sunday storm and we ok

Not great for Albany. Maybe I'll go skating if it doesn't snow

Euro and EPS got cooler in the long range

Euro and EPS got cooler in the long range

Euro and eps trended to a colder pattern moving forward. Sooner or later we will have a warm pattern but yet again it is getting muted.

PARA Canadian (in theory the better version) is a HECS

31 here today. Avalanches of snow sliding off the solar panels onto the front walk, solar production surging with the cold temps and snow on the ground

Quite common in Canada and Alaska. We’re having a special winter stretch.

False spring will be. We will have a late spring that really sets in this year.

Today’s Euro Weeklies fwiw for Feb 23rd-Mar 22nd still show no sustained NE warmth and only limited sustained warmth at most in rest of E US: 2/23-3/1 cold NE/NN elsewhere: 3/2-8 NN NE; this is only AN week of these 4 weeks OH Valley to SE and it doesn’t even have sustained torching as it’s just the edge: 3/9-15 cooled back to NN all of E US: 3/16-22 NN entire E US: Notice that on all of these maps the W 1/2 of US is mild. More often than not, that supports the E US at the least not being mild and sometimes downright cold. This is certainly not a warm look for the E US and suggests no early spring despite the expected false spring next week. @40/70 Benchmark

Despite the low track, I think what’s helping is some of the dynamics. Strong warm air advection over this cold dome can sometimes offset what typically is not a good track for Snow.

That's the $150,000 question.

I go out in it too, still could be cooler. To be honest, I’m more focused after the moderation right now. Monday looks like a massive questionmark.

I thought the same thing. You can definitely tell the sun is starting to rise higher in the sky. Spring will be here soon!

Ice fisherman and skaters are out on the ice right now .

I hope it's sooner than that...

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 36m I have not changed ideas on next weeks storm. Nor have I changed ideas on how the met community is being sold a bill of goods on AI's The is the latest Google graphcast at 500 mb. After 5 straight runs showing a major trough in the east, its got a wimp going thru the south, Is it right? Well it could be. I dont believe it.But how the heck is a model supposedly so good and less than a week out, it has that kind of change on a run. What has happened hemispherically to cause that?

Thanks! I'll be interested to see how this chart evolves over the next few days. Hopefully we can get more members on board and get that 60th percentile down to 40th. Or maybe even 75th down to 25th if our WDI wants to cash in

For NYC I think the -7 1934 entry is just the midnight low on the way down to the -15, as are some other NYC record lows. There are several -6 lows that would be next in the list of morning lows.

Shovel it off..plenty of ice everywhere this year.

4-6?

On iPhone am suddenly seeing AW.com site popup ads in Safari. Can use Chrome, just wondering why I’m seeing ads in Safari. Not on any other sites tho.

Hasn't been great for pond ice though. Too much snow and wind.